Perky-Warden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

353

lifetime

Volume

$5.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-19 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	6	$157	183	183	+0	open	—	05-17 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$126	92	92	+0	open	—	05-18 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$116	261	139	+121	open	—	05-18 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$103	141	141	+0	open	—	05-18 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$99	146	146	+0	open	—	05-18 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$97	226	149	+76	open	—	05-17 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$93	80	80	+0	open	—	05-17 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$92	83	83	+0	open	—	05-18 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$92	76	76	+0	open	—	05-18 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$90	95	95	+0	open	—	05-18 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$81	62	62	+0	open	—	05-17 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$79	66	66	+0	open	—	05-18 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$77	101	68	+34	open	—	05-18 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$74	150	49	+102	open	—	05-18 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$68	101	59	+41	open	—	05-18 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$67	110	53	+57	open	—	05-18 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$65	56	56	+0	open	—	05-18 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$65	48	48	+0	open	—	05-18 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$65	51	51	+0	open	—	05-17 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$65	59	59	+0	open	—	05-18 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	3	$64	68	68	+0	open	—	05-18 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$63	44	44	+0	open	—	05-17 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$61	46	46	+0	open	—	05-17 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$59	64	64	+0	open	—	05-18 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$58	46	46	+0	open	—	05-18 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$58	48	48	+0	open	—	05-14 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$56	91	53	+38	open	—	05-17 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$55	45	45	+0	open	—	05-18 00:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 10:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x10eab0…
05-19 10:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x1cb583…
05-19 07:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xa40ba8…
05-19 07:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb133a5…
05-18 22:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x5feb02…
05-18 22:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	59	51¢	$30	0x16e71a…
05-18 22:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0x8ae544…
05-18 22:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x95b584…
05-18 22:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0x9a21ab…
05-18 22:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x99346f…
05-18 22:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	70	43¢	$30	0x0cfca4…
05-18 22:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0xe4a43e…
05-18 21:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	58	11¢	$6	0xbe7a84…
05-18 21:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0x4aa1e9…
05-18 21:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	102	19¢	$19	0xd2c90b…
05-18 21:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	49	74¢	$36	0x5b5d5c…
05-18 21:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0xe58bc1…
05-18 21:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x75393e…
05-18 21:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x856df6…
05-18 21:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	146	55¢	$80	0xedf107…
05-18 21:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	146	13¢	$19	0x05d937…
05-18 21:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x0039e3…
05-18 21:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	360	5¢	$19	0x606d86…
05-18 21:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	223	13¢	$29	0x5ca3cb…
05-18 21:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,900	1¢	$19	0xd74143…
05-18 21:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	565	3¢	$19	0xc746b6…
05-18 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x15b115…
05-18 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0xf2a07a…
05-18 21:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	450	6¢	$29	0x1cfe95…
05-18 20:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	121	16¢	$19	0xd4c697…
05-18 20:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	139	56¢	$78	0x59433f…
05-18 20:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	139	14¢	$19	0xe8d894…
05-18 20:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	39¢	$29	0xe5ffc2…
05-18 20:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	143	25¢	$35	0x31a39c…
05-18 20:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	85	27¢	$23	0x5f88b3…
05-18 20:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x611425…
05-18 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x193427…
05-18 20:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	83	74¢	$62	0x7e7ee6…
05-18 20:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	83	37¢	$31	0xc2488b…
05-18 20:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	59	77¢	$46	0x83493a…
05-18 20:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0x1580bf…
05-18 20:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0xd62a96…
05-18 20:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	53	76¢	$40	0xba35d2…
05-18 20:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x5d100d…
05-18 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	72	32¢	$23	0x334cc2…
05-18 20:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0xb9d0fb…
05-18 20:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0x0d52f3…
05-18 20:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	68	34¢	$23	0x1db927…
05-18 19:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	64	53¢	$34	0x91db07…
05-18 19:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xb1c528…
05-18 19:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x84d504…
05-18 19:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	38	70¢	$27	0x54c20b…
05-18 19:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xb1f5ec…
05-18 19:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x9cea42…
05-18 19:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0x9a496c…
05-18 19:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x678518…
05-18 19:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0xad5a00…
05-18 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	118	21¢	$25	0xd57b64…
05-18 19:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0xf2c82d…
05-18 19:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	32	64¢	$20	0xafd1a0…
05-18 19:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0x1bdcb5…
05-18 19:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x80e8e8…
05-18 19:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	34	70¢	$24	0xa2172a…
05-18 19:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	34	60¢	$20	0x0e1155…
05-18 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xc151de…
05-18 19:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xd20319…
05-18 19:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x74c6b3…
05-18 19:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0xd5ad39…
05-18 19:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0xf9ccb1…
05-18 18:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	65¢	$21	0x052a05…
05-18 18:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	20¢	$13	0x012f90…
05-18 04:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	34	72¢	$24	0x0726bb…
05-18 04:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	34	60¢	$20	0xce87a0…
05-18 04:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	28¢	$19	0x5d5aea…
05-18 04:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	56	83¢	$46	0x1c2078…
05-18 04:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	56	34¢	$19	0xdeed53…
05-18 02:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0x698959…
05-18 02:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	48	84¢	$40	0xb6d5f8…
05-18 02:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	48	65¢	$31	0xa7017c…
05-18 02:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x797e96…
05-18 02:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	66	91¢	$60	0x79170a…
05-18 02:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	66	29¢	$19	0x1d8aed…
05-18 02:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38	91¢	$35	0x84dd18…
05-18 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x8fb653…
05-18 01:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xebf268…
05-18 01:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xd8c233…
05-18 01:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x8a056d…
05-18 01:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x712a39…
05-18 01:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6bd778…
05-18 01:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x572016…
05-18 01:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3c365c…
05-18 01:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x04fa76…
05-18 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe9c5f6…
05-18 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe7b6ee…
05-18 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xba91a6…
05-18 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb39782…
05-18 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa0d3e3…
05-18 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8a0915…
05-18 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x84829e…
05-18 01:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x767c8c…