Perky-Warden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 40% +$57

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	-25	$-4	25¢	$-6	$-2	05-14 19:12
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	+57	$6	8¢	$4	$-1	05-14 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	+17	$3	1¢	$0	$-3	05-14 19:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$15	0	15	-15	Up	$-0	05-13 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$10	40	0	+40	Up	+$30	05-14 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$10	37	0	+37	Up	+$27	05-14 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$8	33	0	+33	Up	$-8	05-14 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$7	88	0	+88	open	—	05-14 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-14 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-14 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	Up	$-5	05-14 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-14 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	+$10	05-14 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Up	+$18	05-14 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$4	0	25	-25	open	—	05-14 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$4	200	0	+200	open	—	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 19:32:24	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0x68199c…
05-14 19:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x982c8e…
05-14 19:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x8442b1…
05-14 17:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x700784…
05-14 17:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xce4536…
05-14 17:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x8db710…
05-14 05:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x5641ba…
05-14 05:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe7f842…
05-14 04:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf02358…
05-14 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xc0936e…
05-14 04:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x54f653…
05-14 04:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7eb234…
05-14 04:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x59d31a…
05-14 04:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x22c618…
05-14 04:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1c0019…
05-13 19:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x583895…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$2.29K	215	05-14 19:27
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	14	$3.13K	121	05-14 19:28
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	13	$1.83K	72	05-14 19:28
Questionable-Miter 0x7b55…8f95	13	$765	157	05-14 19:28
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	13	$713	61	05-14 19:27
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	13	$502	100	05-14 19:28
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	12	$3.37K	86	05-14 19:27
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	12	$2.76K	120	05-14 19:28