Thorny-Chicken — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-24 06:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 89% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2400 on february 8	5	$2.4K	1,182	1,182	+0	open	—	02-08 09:53
bitcoin up or down on february 8	1	$1.6K	1,566	0	+1,566	open	—	02-08 16:37
bitcoin above 78k on february 5	7	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	02-05 10:03
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	4	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	02-05 09:18
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	2	$365	198	168	+30	open	—	03-17 10:54
btc updown 15m 1770546600	1	$300	301	0	+301	open	—	02-08 10:44
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	2	$209	210	0	+210	open	—	04-23 11:42
ethereum above 2500 on april 22	2	$209	110	100	+10	open	—	04-22 14:43
bitcoin above 78k on april 21	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-21 14:56
bitcoin above 60k on april 6	1	$190	190	0	+190	open	—	04-05 15:58
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$189	189	0	+189	open	—	03-18 08:37
bitcoin above 80k on february 11	1	$188	188	0	+188	open	—	02-10 16:13
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	2	$188	137	137	+0	open	—	01-31 15:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	3	$179	180	0	+180	Yes	+$2	05-12 02:38
ethereum above 2500 on march 24	1	$178	178	0	+178	open	—	03-23 06:04
bitcoin above 78k on march 30	1	$176	176	0	+176	open	—	03-29 04:41
bitcoin above 80k on april 1	1	$174	174	0	+174	open	—	03-31 06:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	6	$170	170	0	+170	No	+$0	05-06 02:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	05-05 03:09
ethereum above 2600 on march 22	1	$157	157	0	+157	open	—	03-21 07:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	3	$156	156	0	+156	open	—	05-01 05:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	05-24 06:29
ethereum above 2300 on april 7	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	04-07 06:40
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	2	$144	75	69	+6	open	—	03-28 07:42
btc updown 15m 1770302700	2	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-05 14:57
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	03-26 04:06
bitcoin above 78k on february 9	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-09 06:54
ethereum above 2000 on april 18	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-17 12:02
ethereum above 2500 on april 8	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-08 06:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	2	$119	120	0	+120	Yes	+$1	05-07 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 06:30:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 25?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x2af167…
05-24 06:29:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa5c67b…
05-13 15:09:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x140a32…
05-13 14:17:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x493656…
05-13 03:41:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x09229d…
05-13 03:41:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5b765f…
05-12 02:43:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x4855db…
05-12 02:38:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x44bcba…
05-12 02:38:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xb6eeaa…
05-12 02:37:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x044b9e…
05-07 06:09:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x7059d7…
05-07 04:16:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xf9448f…
05-07 02:25:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xbc5a86…
05-06 06:54:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9f9978…
05-06 02:04:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xf18f84…
05-06 01:37:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x575c9c…
05-06 01:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x83ff96…
05-06 01:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7c04ab…
05-06 01:32:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6ec0f4…
05-06 01:32:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xed9762…
05-05 03:34:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8d77be…
05-05 03:09:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xe925a2…
05-01 05:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x7f6050…
05-01 05:24:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x6ee72e…
05-01 04:23:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xecb494…
05-01 03:34:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x9fdf4c…
04-23 11:42:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa0431b…
04-23 11:12:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0xc8359e…
04-22 14:43:36	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4d6aaa…
04-22 02:32:54	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x2c4e33…
04-21 14:56:04	bitcoin above 78k on april 21	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x798ea2…
04-17 12:02:56	ethereum above 2000 on april 18	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x29c4e6…
04-17 12:01:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xee88f8…
04-17 11:55:58	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 18 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x691bac…
04-15 14:42:06	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x62b72a…
04-15 14:41:10	ethereum above 2600 on april 16	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xd19116…
04-13 10:44:31	ethereum above 2500 on april 14	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x9afc67…
04-13 10:40:17	highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 47forbelow	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1120f7…
04-12 05:25:23	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x38b689…
04-11 06:49:11	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x36395a…
04-11 06:48:49	ethereum above 1700 on april 12	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x97b274…
04-11 06:45:45	highest temperature in chicago on april 12 2026 25forbelow	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd878fd…
04-09 12:18:45	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xad9ef0…
04-09 12:04:31	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 74forhigher	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3eab5c…
04-08 06:15:31	ethereum above 2500 on april 8	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x32d0fd…
04-08 06:14:25	ethereum above 1700 on april 9	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb71710…
04-08 05:52:15	highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x80dd88…
04-07 06:41:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc1b466…
04-07 06:40:43	ethereum above 2300 on april 7	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x731f3b…
04-07 06:38:39	highest temperature in denver on april 7 2026 63forbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9aa49…
04-05 15:58:53	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xeef57d…
04-05 15:58:17	highest temperature in atlanta on april 7 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe54d61…
04-05 15:57:41	highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2dfbdc…
03-31 06:43:45	highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 73forbelow	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcd2fe2…
03-31 06:43:09	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xa13ffa…
03-30 08:15:22	highest temperature in toronto on march 31 2026 neg 2corbelow	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12ab71…
03-30 08:14:56	ethereum above 2400 on march 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3556f3…
03-29 04:41:16	ethereum above 1700 on march 29	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1d63e1…
03-29 04:41:00	bitcoin above 78k on march 30	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xb062aa…
03-29 04:40:44	will seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in march	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0908ab…
03-29 04:40:24	highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9c3ec…
03-28 07:42:31	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x536eae…
03-28 05:16:43	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xee64b8…
03-28 05:16:13	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xe9ed90…
03-28 05:15:47	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa71c2a…
03-27 06:07:55	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 560 579	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xac4cb8…
03-27 06:07:21	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa768a5…
03-26 04:07:37	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7557c…
03-26 04:07:13	ethereum above 2600 on march 27	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x50c126…
03-26 04:06:41	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x01836c…
03-23 06:04:09	ethereum above 2500 on march 24	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x2ef1ec…
03-21 07:28:03	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xe4d776…
03-21 07:27:33	ethereum above 2600 on march 22	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xdf44cf…
03-21 07:26:33	highest temperature in madrid on march 22 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc4b5bd…
03-19 09:45:53	highest temperature in atlanta on march 19 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9f5238…
03-18 08:37:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0xaff61f…
03-17 10:54:49	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x57b935…
03-17 07:51:17	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x5929b0…
03-17 07:43:21	highest temperature in hong kong on march 18 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e4f5e…
03-13 06:19:35	btc updown 15m 1773382500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcf5f80…
03-13 03:26:49	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x8aeb1a…
03-13 03:26:11	highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 50forhigher	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x136fc6…
03-10 08:40:45	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x87a989…
02-12 22:51:41	bitcoin above 76k on february 13	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x79ee16…
02-12 18:09:23	bitcoin above 68k on february 13	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7d6506…
02-12 18:07:41	will how to get to heaven from belfast be the top us netflix show this week	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xabadac…
02-12 11:38:57	will how to get to heaven from belfast be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x991d51…
02-10 16:13:27	bitcoin above 80k on february 11	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x4060ab…
02-09 06:54:57	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x8c75fd…
02-08 16:37:57	bitcoin up or down on february 8	Up	BUY	1,566	100¢	$1,564	0x9710d6…
02-08 16:13:15	btc updown 15m 1770566400	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x674b7f…
02-08 12:54:39	btc updown 15m 1770554700	Up	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x96eb92…
02-08 12:41:45	btc updown 15m 1770553800	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x406ba8…
02-08 11:59:35	btc updown 15m 1770551100	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x305eb3…
02-08 10:44:27	btc updown 15m 1770546600	Up	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x19e367…
02-08 09:53:25	ethereum above 2400 on february 8	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0xc0e330…
02-08 09:52:59	ethereum above 2400 on february 8	No	SELL	967	100¢	$966	0x2427de…
02-08 09:32:11	ethereum above 2400 on february 8	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xaf98bc…
02-08 09:30:59	ethereum above 2400 on february 8	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xe8ea49…
02-08 09:26:45	btc updown 15m 1770542100	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x31eb3d…