Jittery-Historian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$482

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-07 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 14% $-36

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$34	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$33	24	23	+1	open	—	04-28 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$28	53	34	+19	open	—	05-04 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$25	75	0	+75	Down	$-25	05-06 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$21	87	0	+87	open	—	05-04 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	3	$21	203	0	+203	open	—	04-28 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	04-29 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$17	63	17	+47	open	—	04-29 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$15	44	0	+44	Up	$-15	05-06 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$13	43	0	+43	open	—	04-28 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$12	23	12	+11	open	—	05-04 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$11	42	42	+0	open	—	04-29 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	04-28 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	$-10	05-07 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	05-03 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$9	29	0	+29	open	—	04-29 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	04-28 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-04 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$6	42	42	+0	open	—	05-04 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Up	+$18	05-06 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-04 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Up	+$15	05-06 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	04-29 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd9314a…
05-06 22:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd2993d…
05-06 21:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3115ea…
05-06 21:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8b196e…
05-06 21:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x98cd79…
05-06 19:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x082659…
05-06 19:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3825a5…
05-06 19:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd70291…
05-06 19:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd439b4…
05-06 19:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8dac61…
05-06 19:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0a138c…
05-06 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3d80ce…
05-06 19:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xdf1d6b…
05-06 19:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfc20d9…
05-06 18:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8367f0…
05-06 18:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3a9735…
05-06 09:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x30c6cf…
05-05 14:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x37b75c…
05-04 14:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xb530c7…
05-04 14:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb93bed…
05-04 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x388f91…
05-04 14:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x081dc5…
05-04 14:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2780aa…
05-04 14:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xed62e7…
05-04 14:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xfadbb0…
05-04 14:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x30c8cb…
05-04 14:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb66677…
05-04 14:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x745261…
05-04 14:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x851166…
05-04 14:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf7c657…
05-04 14:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xb8fe22…
05-04 14:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x2fa6e1…
05-04 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x177f32…
05-04 14:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x918cdb…
05-04 14:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0ed9fc…
05-04 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x43d1dd…
05-04 14:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1dc833…
05-04 14:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb697ee…
05-04 14:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x292851…
05-04 14:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7ab98e…
05-04 14:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf23777…
05-04 13:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x02228b…
05-04 13:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbd0270…
05-04 13:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb41f6e…
05-04 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x507d22…
05-04 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xffed56…
05-04 13:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x6b3a80…
05-04 13:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2d3fef…
05-03 21:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4ed544…
05-03 21:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x639789…
04-30 18:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x7f73c5…
04-30 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xfc0d12…
04-30 18:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x365b60…
04-30 18:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x18df18…
04-30 18:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xef8286…
04-30 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7894b0…
04-29 19:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x77d572…
04-29 19:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xb70208…
04-29 01:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xa5c186…
04-29 01:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x350002…
04-29 01:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x11ef4c…
04-29 01:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0x87b7fd…
04-29 01:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xec93b5…
04-29 01:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x674812…
04-29 01:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x64dca2…
04-29 01:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x83e767…
04-29 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc30c9e…
04-29 01:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x421f54…
04-29 00:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x110b16…
04-28 10:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0a0173…
04-28 02:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x7961f3…
04-28 02:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe4cf4b…
04-28 02:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc502a2…
04-28 02:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x082797…
04-28 02:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x00dd8e…
04-28 01:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe297d0…
04-28 01:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xc33fde…
04-28 01:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc59bc4…
04-28 01:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x224e78…
04-28 01:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xab5710…
04-28 01:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x547d44…
04-27 22:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0x56cd81…
04-27 22:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	189	2¢	$3	0x55cca1…
04-27 22:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	159	11¢	$18	0x34dcdf…
04-27 18:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x055317…
04-27 18:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xe41854…
04-27 18:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x71b513…