Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$396

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

19.2%

Resolved

200

Trades

1,009

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-19

last 10-01 13:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

52% 19% -$175

Crypto

20% 47% -$107

Politics

18% 0% -$57

Tech

8% 14% -$44

Sports

2% 0% -$13

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 564 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+12	$10	71¢	$8	-$2	10-01 13:14
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No		+12	$2	29¢	$3	+$2	09-21 14:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	46	$183	393	393	+0	Yes	-$10	09-20 09:15
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	6	$139	135	135	+0	open	—	09-22 11:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	15	$100	160	160	+0	No	-$5	09-20 12:30
Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E41?	2	$86	60	60	+0	Yes	-$9	09-23 19:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	6	$73	245	245	+0	open	—	09-20 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 20?	12	$72	80	80	+0	Yes	-$2	09-20 14:29
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	8	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	09-23 12:59
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?	8	$69	180	180	+0	Yes	-$16	09-20 17:38
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	2	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	09-22 16:29
Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	2	$64	55	55	+0	open	—	09-23 09:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	7	$60	75	75	+0	open	—	10-01 13:14
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	4	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 00:05
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$56	100	100	+0	No	-$40	09-24 00:25
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	2	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	09-20 17:38
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?	8	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	10-01 13:14
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	09-22 14:13
Will Malta win 2026-27 Nations League Group D1?	6	$50	60	60	+0	open	—	09-20 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	23	$48	0	100	-100	Down	-$2	09-24 22:35
Trump renames AI by September 30?	2	$48	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	09-22 17:17
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	2	$47	45	45	+0	open	—	09-23 07:24
trump x greenland deal signed by september 25	2	$46	200	200	+0	Yes	-$14	09-19 23:14
Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E41?	2	$46	30	30	+0	No	+$0	09-23 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	7	$45	53	53	+0	Yes	$0	09-20 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?	7	$45	62	58	+4	No	$0	09-20 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	16	$45	0	96	-96	Up	-$1	09-24 22:55
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	3	$43	60	60	+0	No	-$2	09-22 22:47
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?	6	$43	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	09-20 13:55
Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$42	50	50	+0	No	-$8	09-22 19:08
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	8	$40	50	50	+0	No	-$5	09-20 23:01
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?	5	$39	78	78	+0	Yes	-$4	09-20 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 13:15:06	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xbe4167…
10-01 13:15:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x02f9f9…
10-01 13:14:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xd77908…
10-01 13:14:48	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xc82244…
10-01 13:14:44	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xde6e71…
10-01 13:14:38	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xcad59e…
10-01 13:14:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x41ff81…
10-01 13:14:23	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xaa21aa…
10-01 13:13:54	Will Ben Johns be Number 1 in the PPA 2026-27 Men's End of Year Rankings?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x0ba3d9…
09-26 21:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xa8df7d…
09-26 21:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x92758a…
09-26 21:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x5a0849…
09-26 21:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x690c84…
09-26 21:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x9de3de…
09-26 21:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0xb7c51f…
09-26 21:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x69882e…
09-26 21:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xb0ef4e…
09-26 21:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8adbd0…
09-26 21:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x4d864a…
09-26 21:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x2ebb20…
09-26 21:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x2285ce…
09-26 21:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x09e3a9…
09-26 21:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xab1563…
09-26 21:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x697e04…
09-26 21:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xdcba47…
09-26 21:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x0589ef…
09-26 21:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xa35e21…
09-26 21:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x83dd71…
09-26 21:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x6463fc…
09-26 21:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x710aff…
09-26 21:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x23d09b…
09-26 21:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xc8e2dd…
09-26 21:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x430c55…
09-26 21:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xb0420d…
09-26 21:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x0d5e83…
09-26 21:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xefd3ff…
09-26 21:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9a7b41…
09-26 21:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x1de689…
09-26 21:25:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x2c0f5a…
09-26 21:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x930776…
09-26 21:25:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xf8f8f1…
09-26 21:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xf9b85b…
09-26 21:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xf7ae48…
09-26 21:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x3bef44…
09-26 21:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x0f43a0…
09-26 21:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x9cf528…
09-26 21:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x14b8b6…
09-26 21:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xfd0ae9…
09-26 21:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x4d9c45…
09-26 21:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xfb47d5…
09-26 21:15:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa86666…
09-26 21:15:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x50984b…
09-26 21:15:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x463917…
09-26 21:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xb2457e…
09-26 21:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe6e65f…
09-24 23:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x1ddac0…
09-24 23:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x632f78…
09-24 23:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2520bd…
09-24 23:00:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xc4bd18…
09-24 23:00:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x4a4430…
09-24 23:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x95bac3…
09-24 23:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x1b100a…
09-24 23:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x2e43fe…
09-24 23:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xfc65a8…
09-24 23:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa127fb…
09-24 23:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf61bf9…
09-24 23:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa85bc5…
09-24 23:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x6aa781…
09-24 23:00:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe1d2c4…
09-24 23:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xed0c07…
09-24 23:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xdf22e3…
09-24 22:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x0aab3c…
09-24 22:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe87fe6…
09-24 22:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x27aa3f…
09-24 22:55:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x7dbb02…
09-24 22:55:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x70a5e4…
09-24 22:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x455cd4…
09-24 22:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0xd72d46…
09-24 22:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x565be3…
09-24 22:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x295a7d…
09-24 22:55:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xdf4160…
09-24 22:55:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x9558d5…
09-24 22:55:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x0452c5…
09-24 22:55:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x958a17…
09-24 22:55:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa7d19a…
09-24 22:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x7fe146…
09-24 22:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x4eddcf…
09-24 22:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xc7e399…
09-24 22:35:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x03a73c…
09-24 22:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x2c7aca…
09-24 22:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x2b3fe6…
09-24 22:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x2bf59f…
09-24 22:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xeaf9c9…
09-24 22:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xda2bac…
09-24 22:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xcc6c6d…
09-24 22:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xaa86c7…
09-24 22:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x7c5960…
09-24 22:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x09bd35…
09-24 22:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xb7f48b…
09-24 22:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x385fbb…