Phony-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

339

Trades

1,269

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-04 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 36% $-12

Other

5% 9% $-27

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	16	$17	122	+122	Down	$-17	05-06 07:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	5	$15	114	+114	Up	+$99	05-05 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$11	41	+41	Down	$-11	05-07 15:00
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	9	$11	77	+77	Down	$-11	05-06 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$10	21	+21	Up	+$2	05-05 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$9	19	+19	Down	$-0	05-05 15:37
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$8	31	+31	Down	$-4	05-05 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$8	46	+46	open	—	05-14 15:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	10	$8	27	+27	Down	$-3	05-05 11:03
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$8	15	+15	open	—	05-04 13:45
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	7	$8	23	+23	open	—	05-14 11:14
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	14	$7	72	+72	Down	$-7	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$7	18	+18	Up	+$1	05-05 14:52
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$7	21	+21	open	—	05-04 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$6	14	+14	Down	+$0	05-06 16:54
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$6	14	+14	Down	$-1	05-05 17:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$6	15	+15	Down	+$4	05-06 13:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$6	21	+21	Down	+$10	05-05 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$6	16	+16	Up	$-2	05-05 15:37
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$6	14	+14	Down	+$3	05-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$6	16	+16	Down	$-2	05-05 13:58
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$6	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-06 17:06
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$6	24	+24	open	—	05-05 11:05
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$6	16	+16	Down	+$5	05-05 17:48
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$6	15	+15	Down	$-1	05-05 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$6	13	+13	Down	$-0	05-06 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$6	13	+13	Up	$-0	05-05 14:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$6	14	+14	Down	+$3	05-06 10:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$6	14	+14	Down	+$3	05-06 16:52
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$6	14	+14	Up	$-1	05-06 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 16:42:55	eth updown 5m 1780591200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2badfd…
06-04 16:38:01	sol updown 5m 1780590900	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x651912…
06-04 16:37:33	xrp updown 5m 1780590900	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa5d45c…
06-04 16:37:06	btc updown 5m 1780590900	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6adfba…
06-04 16:13:03	btc updown 5m 1780589400	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcef551…
06-04 16:07:57	eth updown 5m 1780589100	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe6a07f…
06-04 16:07:28	btc updown 5m 1780589100	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf40368…
06-04 16:03:03	sol updown 5m 1780588800	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0822c9…
06-04 16:03:00	xrp updown 5m 1780588800	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x8255eb…
06-04 16:03:00	xrp updown 5m 1780588800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3c2cc2…
06-04 16:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780588800	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7ce2af…
06-04 15:57:54	btc updown 5m 1780588500	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xcbc370…
06-04 15:57:36	eth updown 5m 1780588500	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfb2168…
06-04 15:52:34	sol updown 5m 1780588200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcb54ec…
06-04 15:52:16	btc updown 5m 1780588200	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x82523f…
06-04 15:47:58	btc updown 5m 1780587900	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb477f5…
05-20 14:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaebb1f…
05-20 14:16:18	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf48604…
05-20 14:16:17	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5b1820…
05-20 13:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa5d408…
05-20 13:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xec9844…
05-20 13:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5d027b…
05-20 13:56:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9f8a84…
05-20 13:56:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x999d06…
05-20 08:00:16	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d1a2c…
05-20 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0b4c66…
05-20 07:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3063c4…
05-20 07:26:26	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x7ff1dc…
05-20 07:26:15	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x7d257b…
05-20 07:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb2d570…
05-20 07:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d25ef…
05-20 07:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x512924…
05-20 07:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8fce26…
05-20 07:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5748cd…
05-20 07:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe03725…
05-20 02:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb69ad5…
05-20 02:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x559ba5…
05-20 02:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb80374…
05-20 02:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x043885…
05-20 02:06:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfaedbe…
05-20 01:45:18	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfd8d71…
05-20 01:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x71019c…
05-20 01:45:16	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x425af4…
05-20 01:45:12	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0689f7…
05-20 01:45:07	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x748c45…
05-20 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff6b21…
05-20 01:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4d409a…
05-20 01:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x50502b…
05-20 01:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f3468…
05-20 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x91c734…
05-19 17:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb5e37a…
05-19 15:26:24	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xee623c…
05-19 15:25:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a0f42…
05-19 15:25:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xac4338…
05-19 15:25:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xac6132…
05-19 15:23:59	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf51e69…
05-19 15:23:57	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfdf635…
05-19 15:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa2ffb…
05-19 15:22:28	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcdcea7…
05-19 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6a9bf4…
05-19 15:22:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2a1a2b…
05-19 15:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x72d3a6…
05-19 15:22:23	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1ddf83…
05-19 14:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8ed1f1…
05-19 14:36:32	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7056f6…
05-19 14:36:28	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x31be75…
05-19 14:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc5416b…
05-19 14:21:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x089578…
05-19 14:16:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf946c2…
05-19 14:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7cbdd0…
05-19 14:16:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd4b13c…
05-19 14:15:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcb735f…
05-19 14:11:39	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2bf9f4…
05-19 14:11:37	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48744a…
05-19 14:11:36	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x122a19…
05-19 14:11:34	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x476b93…
05-19 14:11:32	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x29b88d…
05-19 14:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x23f1ff…
05-19 14:05:58	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x432d8d…
05-19 14:05:54	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x44abdd…
05-19 14:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2e2b4…
05-19 14:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x68f329…
05-19 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7b65e1…
05-19 13:41:30	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5633ee…
05-19 13:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xcef077…
05-19 13:36:27	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6effe1…
05-19 13:36:11	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xff17ef…
05-19 13:36:08	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x948bb7…
05-19 13:36:06	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2c623f…
05-19 13:32:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0cde51…
05-19 13:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaa1380…
05-19 13:30:53	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x74f795…
05-19 13:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x36ebb1…
05-19 13:21:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcd79ac…
05-19 13:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4499f9…
05-19 13:20:49	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa42afd…
05-19 13:20:49	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x35369c…
05-19 13:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd880dc…
05-19 13:15:50	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9f5c29…
05-19 13:15:46	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x36f69a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Favorable-Dawn 0x444f…1469	718	$696	1,012	05-20 14:59
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	688	$66.1K	33,421	06-04 16:43
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	673	$41.0K	6,238	06-04 16:43
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	668	$73.4K	5,872	06-04 16:43
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	639	$1.36K	5,844	06-04 16:38
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	607	$177.2K	13,742	05-20 14:59
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	548	$62.4K	14,059	06-04 16:43
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	543	$200.4K	31,072	06-04 16:43