Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
129
lifetime
Volume
$187
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$36
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-27
last 06-29 06:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51%
Politics
32%
Sports
10%
Tech
6%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +20 $8 38¢ $8 $-1 06-28 10:31
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 06-28 13:21
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +7 $7 93¢ $6 $-0 06-29 06:49
New pandemic in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-28 21:29
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +8 $2 26¢ $2 +$0 06-27 11:06
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 51¢ $2 +$0 06-27 11:33
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-28 19:21
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 06-27 23:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +2 $2 76¢ $2 $-0 06-27 16:33
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $0 80¢ $1 +$1 06-28 20:37