Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,289
lifetime
Volume
$2.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$17
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-27
last 07-20 12:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90%
Politics
7%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +8 $2 45¢ $4 +$2 06-27 11:06
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 54¢ $2 +$0 06-27 11:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 07-01 10:16
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +4 $2 41¢ $2 +$0 07-01 12:01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 06-30 17:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +2 $2 71¢ $1 $-0 06-27 16:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-30 07:27
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-01 14:03
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-30 12:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-14 19:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +29 $11 $0 $-11 06-30 20:25
New pandemic in 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-30 12:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 19¢ $0 $-0 07-03 11:55