Hard-Deduce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-03 13:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$0

Other

24% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	04-18 10:37
will analilia mejia win the nj 11 special election	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	04-15 02:25
bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	2	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	07-02 21:06
bitcoin above 72k on april 22	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-22 01:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-25 09:49
bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	06-06 17:42
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-18 10:38
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	07-02 02:17
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-20 19:35
bitcoin above 82k on april 24	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-23 23:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-15 02:27
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	02-25 17:54
bitcoin above 66k on april 18	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 10:40
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	06-30 20:30
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-29 01:38
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-02 06:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-21 02:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-02 10:01
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	03-24 16:48
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-26 09:45
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	01-13 16:12
bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-22 23:33
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-28 17:43
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	04-16 07:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-01 17:30
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-04 11:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	05-11 00:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-30 22:23
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 64 65f	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-12 01:08
ethereum above 2000 on april 6	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-06 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 13:26:25	bitcoin above 64k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7d0b73…
07-03 10:35:58	bitcoin above 54k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa0c0b7…
07-02 22:57:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f58ef…
07-02 21:06:52	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8f9bda…
07-02 05:56:14	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6f78b7…
07-02 02:17:28	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4a7b0b…
06-30 20:30:10	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd5c1c…
06-22 23:33:32	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xd63493…
06-21 04:09:20	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x223241…
06-06 17:42:40	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf6a091…
06-01 09:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5921b6…
05-30 04:48:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0eea86…
05-29 15:39:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb590cf…
05-29 01:38:50	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xee8d15…
05-28 17:43:08	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x672886…
05-27 20:40:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcdf35f…
05-27 05:29:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaea780…
05-26 10:32:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7502d0…
05-25 20:45:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x882129…
05-25 13:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4330ab…
05-24 22:53:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf9fe6c…
05-24 04:07:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7f43c1…
05-23 11:14:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfe6811…
05-22 03:01:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd9b769…
05-21 17:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7f174d…
05-21 02:38:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x70ded3…
05-20 11:22:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4420d6…
05-19 19:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcc0b94…
05-19 15:43:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3a80bc…
05-18 21:39:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1a664e…
05-13 22:25:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa72ced…
05-11 22:52:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1cee2f…
05-11 00:30:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9096c2…
05-10 05:43:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa5203a…
05-09 07:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x9df98d…
05-07 11:06:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xce051b…
05-06 08:10:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 6?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6d5b93…
05-03 13:59:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x00e970…
05-02 23:16:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2e840a…
05-02 10:01:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x6c9102…
05-01 17:30:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x92dd0c…
05-01 13:34:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbdfa35…
04-30 22:23:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xc22379…
04-27 06:18:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfaaf9b…
04-27 02:33:52	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x6a78ec…
04-26 09:45:08	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcaa12a…
04-26 00:06:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4c081e…
04-25 09:49:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x33a1d0…
04-25 01:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcd1b06…
04-24 09:37:28	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf508b6…
04-23 23:14:28	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xcf2b73…
04-23 17:18:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5d7ef9…
04-23 07:18:02	ethereum above 2500 on april 23	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe4dc3f…
04-22 01:50:04	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41bc2f…
04-22 01:33:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xfa6ddc…
04-21 11:13:36	highest temperature in istanbul on april 21 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x638fbd…
04-20 22:00:56	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdce043…
04-20 19:35:32	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa1e748…
04-20 03:12:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x361f98…
04-19 18:24:40	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6bd70a…
04-18 10:40:06	bitcoin above 66k on april 18	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1abbda…
04-18 10:38:38	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xffccb6…
04-18 10:37:28	Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x684933…
04-18 07:36:40	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x49e501…
04-18 00:46:28	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xb0763b…
04-16 15:49:38	bitcoin above 66k on april 18	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x98a654…
04-16 08:07:40	Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6240b9…
04-16 07:19:42	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x7e4f09…
04-15 13:41:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x208dad…
04-15 02:27:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfcb404…
04-15 02:25:40	will analilia mejia win the nj 11 special election	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb5ec70…
04-14 13:06:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 14	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb6b1db…
04-14 00:43:03	will analilia mejia win the nj 11 special election	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb3104a…
04-12 01:08:13	highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf7b4eb…
04-07 12:20:45	highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 18c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8f1e1c…
04-06 10:32:53	ethereum above 2000 on april 6	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x549afb…
04-02 12:17:07	will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd95861…
03-28 02:54:37	highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 18c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x41d52d…
03-24 16:48:25	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc69337…
03-21 15:15:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4c2cca…
03-03 13:55:33	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x47285c…
03-02 06:06:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb43e1c…
02-25 17:54:24	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x15c70c…
02-22 03:41:12	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc13546…
02-18 16:45:56	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9be7d4…
02-04 11:38:36	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x37121b…
01-24 02:17:26	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9a458a…
01-13 16:12:39	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x45e02d…
01-09 08:44:28	si hit 40 low jan 2026 159 697 786	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0d8f2f…