Realized P&L
+$591
Unrealized P&L
-$94
Hit rate
38.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
157
lifetime
Volume
$1.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$249
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-09 21:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
45% 67% +$671
Other
37% 0% $-70
Sports
8% 0% $-10
Crypto
6%
Tech
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +719 $39 $30 $-9 06-06 06:04
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +196 $20 15¢ $28 +$9 06-04 07:11
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +368 $29 $20 $-9 06-04 07:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +91 $18 22¢ $20 +$2 06-06 02:31
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +134 $21 15¢ $19 $-2 06-08 19:36
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +188 $21 $17 $-4 06-09 21:57
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +161 $26 10¢ $15 $-10 05-31 06:20
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +113 $15 13¢ $14 $-0 06-04 07:32
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes +151 $18 $13 $-5 06-06 15:34
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +133 $22 10¢ $13 $-9 06-09 19:55
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes +181 $19 $13 $-6 06-04 11:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +123 $20 10¢ $12 $-8 06-04 07:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes +151 $18 $10 $-8 06-06 01:46
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +85 $20 12¢ $10 $-10 06-05 20:45
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? Yes +325 $19 $8 $-11 06-09 12:47
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +149 $18 $7 $-11 06-06 02:53