Disguised-Equity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$258

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

344

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-30 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% $-258

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	5	$708	636	636	+0	Down	+$208	05-10 16:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$707	1,062	536	+527	open	—	04-26 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$681	525	525	+0	open	—	05-30 15:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$677	586	586	+0	open	—	05-30 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	7	$617	712	581	+130	Down	+$177	05-10 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$575	535	535	+0	open	—	05-03 17:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$394	1,687	0	+1,687	open	—	05-30 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$391	293	293	+0	Down	+$154	05-10 16:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$357	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	04-26 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$325	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	05-30 15:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$315	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	05-30 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	9	$311	735	0	+735	Down	$-311	05-10 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$300	1,770	0	+1,770	open	—	05-15 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$291	290	290	+0	open	—	05-15 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$286	892	0	+892	open	—	05-03 17:33
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$277	1,065	0	+1,065	Up	$-277	05-10 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$257	169	169	+0	open	—	05-30 15:12
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$250	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	04-26 12:37
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$249	191	191	+0	Up	+$50	05-10 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	6	$222	667	126	+541	Up	$-20	05-05 08:24
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$216	147	147	+0	Down	+$76	05-10 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$174	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	05-03 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$174	1,350	131	+1,218	Down	$-16	05-11 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$155	907	0	+907	Up	$-155	05-10 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	8	$148	258	258	+0	Down	+$58	05-05 08:20
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$119	210	210	+0	Up	+$59	05-10 16:48
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$110	1,332	0	+1,332	open	—	05-15 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$109	394	5	+389	open	—	05-15 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$106	21	100	-79	Down	+$9	05-10 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	5	$101	198	107	+91	Down	+$21	05-11 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 15:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xbf7ac2…
05-30 15:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x06ad07…
05-30 15:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x033b56…
05-30 15:21:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	348	29¢	$100	0xac0717…
05-30 15:20:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x1b4a2b…
05-30 15:20:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	272	37¢	$100	0xa0f66c…
05-30 15:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	900	11¢	$100	0x2f38d2…
05-30 15:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	453	22¢	$100	0xe8b3b4…
05-30 15:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x3959a6…
05-30 15:16:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0xe9e566…
05-30 15:16:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	240	39¢	$94	0x737164…
05-30 15:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x59935d…
05-30 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x007655…
05-30 15:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x6dcf85…
05-30 15:13:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	586	81¢	$477	0x0e7399…
05-30 15:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0xf3ba6d…
05-30 15:12:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	344	29¢	$100	0x4e9617…
05-30 15:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	525	92¢	$481	0xa3be58…
05-30 15:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	169	93¢	$157	0xbb8a26…
05-30 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	269	37¢	$100	0xc1b530…
05-30 15:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0xc0e5e3…
05-30 15:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x50488f…
05-15 13:27:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x53ffcc…
05-15 13:26:49	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	445	9¢	$40	0xeeb4bc…
05-15 13:26:02	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	316	9¢	$30	0xa02dea…
05-15 13:25:35	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	522	7¢	$37	0x9e3fa3…
05-15 13:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	783	6¢	$50	0x55ff89…
05-15 13:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	369	14¢	$50	0xf7527e…
05-15 13:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xdcca90…
05-15 13:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0x23a574…
05-15 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd01729…
05-15 13:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x143800…
05-15 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x0427c9…
05-15 13:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x4c39a2…
05-15 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0x9e64d8…
05-15 13:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xbc2f2b…
05-15 13:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x3bac02…
05-15 13:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	237	53¢	$126	0xed997c…
05-15 13:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xa7acde…
05-15 13:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0xa1ba2e…
05-13 13:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x182089…
05-13 13:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x635c6f…
05-13 12:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xad3934…
05-13 12:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0x85eaac…
05-13 12:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x3e58c2…
05-13 12:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	87	35¢	$30	0x87c522…
05-12 13:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x0426dc…
05-12 13:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x84b800…
05-12 13:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	56	37¢	$21	0xa31340…
05-12 13:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x5b17ad…
05-12 13:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x74ee61…
05-11 16:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc25b1e…
05-11 16:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd0299e…
05-11 16:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x166517…
05-11 12:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	155	12¢	$19	0xfae5ce…
05-11 12:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1bc284…
05-11 12:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xbce4d2…
05-11 12:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	69	69¢	$48	0x73e468…
05-11 12:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x37cfb0…
05-11 12:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,026	2¢	$25	0xd5194a…
05-11 12:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xdcb246…
05-11 12:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	131	60¢	$79	0xaf9dce…
05-11 12:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xc38220…
05-11 12:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x19b07c…
05-11 12:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4361d6…
05-11 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	107	57¢	$61	0x7c258d…
05-11 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5f8171…
05-11 12:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2b124d…
05-11 12:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x457eab…
05-11 12:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x0d3060…
05-11 12:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	73¢	$20	0x0d57b4…
05-11 12:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xf0cc87…
05-10 17:27:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xcb4083…
05-10 17:27:09	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5e2e28…
05-10 17:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcd2d97…
05-10 17:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc2541f…
05-10 17:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6d47e3…
05-10 17:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x086ef6…
05-10 17:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x063bf3…
05-10 17:26:29	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x465d76…
05-10 16:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	205	10¢	$21	0x919eca…
05-10 16:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	231	9¢	$20	0xf0172d…
05-10 16:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	380	13¢	$50	0x4dcd6d…
05-10 16:48:01	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	210	42¢	$89	0xbc59cc…
05-10 16:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	296	29¢	$85	0x64d01f…
05-10 16:46:24	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	210	14¢	$30	0xbe7ae2…
05-10 16:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	296	34¢	$100	0x6b146b…
05-10 16:42:25	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	530	19¢	$100	0xda1448…
05-10 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	132	51¢	$67	0xce32a1…
05-10 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xca8e2a…
05-10 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x54cfcf…
05-10 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x42445b…
05-10 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x40a282…
05-10 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x3865cf…
05-10 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x22df8e…
05-10 16:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x2b30f3…
05-10 16:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	114	80¢	$91	0x4d51a0…
05-10 16:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	522	70¢	$367	0xf3c6fb…
05-10 16:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xdead5e…
05-10 16:37:50	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	191	78¢	$149	0x9312ee…