Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$64

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 10-22 04:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

69% 46% -$12

Politics

25% 67% -$1

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-15 08:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-19 23:05
will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-12 12:53
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-21 15:32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-11 12:39
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-14 05:34
spx up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-13 04:57
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-19 05:57
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-12 04:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-13 12:59
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-20 19:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	07-24 13:30
will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	07-23 13:25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 20:56
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-15 08:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-13 21:25
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 20:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-16 08:56
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-19 14:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-23 01:24
will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	07-26 01:36
will warsh say projection during july press conference 20260720204109048	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-25 13:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	07-25 01:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	07-24 01:30
will trump say china or chinese during michigan remarks 20260724162420365	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	07-26 13:37
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	$0	07-27 17:26
sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	07-27 01:39
will googl dip to 315 by july 27 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	07-28 01:49
will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	07-29 18:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	10-07 00:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 04:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x23da26…
10-21 20:14:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4c55cc…
10-16 08:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbdab98…
10-16 00:25:40	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd3f6b3…
10-15 15:06:38	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x178187…
10-13 14:54:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x829b09…
10-11 18:26:19	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x56a561…
10-07 08:05:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0f0ab3…
10-07 00:05:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc28dcb…
08-22 11:39:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x135d72…
08-21 15:32:36	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8b488d…
08-20 19:22:58	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb6ef45…
08-19 23:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa643f5…
08-19 14:30:25	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x54d2f7…
08-19 05:57:06	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9b9cfc…
08-16 08:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa4e679…
08-15 08:51:37	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe9f227…
08-15 08:48:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfb023e…
08-14 05:34:18	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x53bd13…
08-13 21:25:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xef6505…
08-13 12:59:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2ce3ea…
08-13 04:57:18	spx up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x549113…
08-12 20:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd1e439…
08-12 12:53:31	will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc803cc…
08-12 04:48:25	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x09f73b…
08-11 20:44:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7cadab…
08-11 12:39:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb03ec8…
07-29 18:29:41	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa16b4c…
07-28 01:49:49	will googl dip to 315 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9d464d…
07-27 17:26:48	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x3705de…
07-27 01:39:24	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x12eb89…
07-26 13:37:39	will trump say china or chinese during michigan remarks 20260724162420365	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x279814…
07-26 01:36:13	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6c49f2…
07-25 13:35:39	will warsh say projection during july press conference 20260720204109048	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa6720c…
07-25 01:31:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xfc3232…
07-24 13:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc21ce4…
07-24 01:30:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x13fc7a…
07-23 13:25:36	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xad7b10…
07-23 01:24:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa8c88c…