Austere-Quality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$765

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

1,651

Trades

3,975

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 11-03 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 55% +$401

Other

20% 59% +$364

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 23:00 UTC	15	$372	600	+600	Up	-$372	08-25 23:11
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	10	$356	385	+385	Up	+$29	10-06 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:25 UTC	7	$267	280	+280	Up	+$13	08-24 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$233	280	+280	Down	+$47	10-06 22:58
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:10 UTC	7	$222	230	+230	Up	+$8	08-03 12:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:30 UTC	8	$216	235	+235	Up	+$19	10-04 18:43
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 13:30 UTC	40	$182	200	+200	Down	+$18	07-11 13:44
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 08:30 UTC	16	$181	230	+230	Down	+$49	08-17 08:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 01:45 UTC	27	$181	400	+400	Up	+$219	08-01 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:25 UTC	10	$175	190	+190	Down	+$15	08-03 02:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:55 UTC	19	$170	180	+180	Up	+$10	07-11 11:59
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 18:25 UTC	22	$161	320	+320	Down	-$161	07-19 18:25
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 10:45 UTC	20	$158	240	+240	Down	+$82	07-17 10:57
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 08:10 UTC	39	$154	195	+195	Down	-$154	07-15 08:14
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 20:00 UTC	8	$143	310	+310	Up	-$143	08-24 20:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	7	$140	280	+280	Down	-$140	10-13 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	7	$137	280	+280	Up	+$143	09-14 03:26
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 18:15 UTC	22	$131	320	+320	Down	+$189	07-19 18:25
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 09:30 UTC	22	$124	245	+245	Down	-$124	07-18 09:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 04:40 UTC	17	$123	140	+140	Up	+$17	08-01 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$120	200	+200	Down	+$80	09-09 01:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:45 UTC	4	$119	160	+160	Down	-$119	10-04 18:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 03:15 UTC	26	$112	260	+260	Down	+$148	07-10 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$112	160	+160	Down	+$48	11-01 15:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:10 UTC	11	$111	115	+115	Down	+$4	08-06 01:13
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 09:40 UTC	22	$108	245	+245	Down	+$137	07-18 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 23:15 UTC	4	$108	135	+135	Up	+$27	08-26 23:26
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 19:55 UTC	1	$103	175	+175	Up	+$72	06-27 19:55
BNB Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	40	$102	200	+200	Up	-$102	07-15 07:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 01:55 UTC	27	$101	400	+400	Up	-$101	08-01 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:28:21	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x6c2dc2…
11-03 19:57:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x405b9a…
11-02 16:10:58	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4b82b3…
11-01 19:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x4f85a0…
11-01 16:58:12	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	76¢	$31	0x10403a…
11-01 16:58:10	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x38f6a4…
11-01 15:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xb923fe…
11-01 15:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xaa9064…
11-01 15:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x36301d…
11-01 15:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x579023…
11-01 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x82500c…
11-01 14:43:06	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x9693fe…
11-01 14:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x21ab47…
11-01 13:26:46	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xcbb4e1…
11-01 07:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0x1c2d68…
11-01 02:10:07	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x80a355…
10-31 22:42:57	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xc4965a…
10-31 21:55:07	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xb48382…
10-31 20:28:45	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0xf6d64e…
10-31 18:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x7d4ef8…
10-31 16:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xc211a2…
10-31 16:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xf0dc50…
10-31 16:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x79fef7…
10-31 16:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x8206e5…
10-31 16:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xad6d80…
10-31 16:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb27b22…
10-31 16:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x0f0a98…
10-31 10:43:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x39edf6…
10-31 10:42:52	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x119afd…
10-31 10:42:48	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x0c9543…
10-31 10:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xdb089e…
10-31 08:12:57	ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf00dca…
10-31 06:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xc51706…
10-30 22:58:28	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xb1bcd6…
10-30 21:13:03	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xd5950c…
10-30 14:28:55	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc2c2b5…
10-30 10:57:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x535986…
10-29 08:26:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$33	0x884dd8…
10-29 00:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x8b7c52…
10-28 13:12:59	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa9fba6…
10-28 10:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x5fbef3…
10-28 09:56:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x55fd36…
10-27 22:25:14	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7aded9…
10-27 16:43:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa6fd58…
10-27 11:58:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x2c45b0…
10-27 11:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe6fcb6…
10-26 22:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xb455b1…
10-26 19:59:12	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x762d44…
10-26 19:12:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x9396e5…
10-26 19:11:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x29feb2…
10-25 21:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x6769e9…
10-25 18:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x343126…
10-25 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xd54c55…
10-25 18:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb7d755…
10-25 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbf1540…
10-25 17:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x6acd75…
10-25 17:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x2e7265…
10-25 03:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xe10f92…
10-25 03:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xbc2d3d…
10-24 23:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x18a8a2…
10-24 22:57:56	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc77626…
10-24 20:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x5ac22b…
10-24 19:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xbfe0fb…
10-24 11:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8ae72e…
10-24 08:13:35	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf8e8b4…
10-24 05:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x88b966…
10-23 20:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xc726a5…
10-23 19:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xaed7bf…
10-23 09:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0f15bf…
10-23 06:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xc365f3…
10-22 22:56:36	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf29c01…
10-22 20:12:44	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xaae937…
10-22 05:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x8324e5…
10-21 11:10:23	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0x3a374d…
10-21 10:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xee401c…
10-21 10:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xe5ece2…
10-21 10:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x430bb0…
10-21 03:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x13aef4…
10-21 03:57:11	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x25f7d6…
10-20 19:10:12	ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe8e092…
10-20 04:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xdf4ce8…
10-19 09:42:06	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x832253…
10-18 18:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x51454c…
10-18 07:29:33	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0xcb2a8c…
10-18 05:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x377faf…
10-18 02:43:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x7eddf8…
10-18 02:42:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xee1761…
10-18 02:42:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xdc2d5a…
10-17 21:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x640916…
10-17 21:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xbada46…
10-17 19:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x4fd66a…
10-17 18:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x1dd609…
10-17 18:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x467cd4…
10-17 18:40:18	BNB Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xefb666…
10-17 17:13:44	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xac5fca…
10-17 09:11:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x1d8243…
10-17 05:59:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1cf6d8…
10-17 05:59:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xce8e10…
10-17 03:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xd3d068…
10-16 23:57:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x15d3e4…