Focused-Shear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.6%

Resolved

140

Trades

568

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-03 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 29% +$5

Politics

2% 0% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$55	191	0	+191	Down	$-55	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	6	$50	956	0	+956	Up	$-50	05-05 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	9	$48	598	0	+598	Down	$-48	05-05 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	14	$46	1,103	0	+1,103	Up	$-46	05-05 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	9	$45	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	$-45	05-05 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$41	792	0	+792	Up	$-41	05-05 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$41	451	0	+451	Up	$-41	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	7	$40	1,560	0	+1,560	Up	$-40	05-09 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	8	$36	342	0	+342	Up	$-36	05-09 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$35	1,646	0	+1,646	Up	$-35	05-05 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	7	$32	845	0	+845	Up	$-32	05-05 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$31	400	0	+400	Up	$-31	05-05 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$31	196	0	+196	Down	$-31	05-05 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$30	161	0	+161	Up	$-30	05-09 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$30	150	0	+150	Up	$-30	05-09 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$30	694	0	+694	Up	$-30	05-09 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$29	924	0	+924	Down	$-29	05-09 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	9	$27	1,289	0	+1,289	Up	$-27	05-05 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$25	656	0	+656	Up	$-25	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$25	704	0	+704	Up	$-25	05-05 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$25	1,066	0	+1,066	Up	$-25	05-09 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$25	425	0	+425	Up	$-25	05-09 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$25	110	0	+110	Down	+$85	05-05 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$25	496	0	+496	Down	$-25	05-09 19:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$25	96	96	+0	No	$-7	05-07 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$24	828	0	+828	Up	$-24	05-12 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$24	823	0	+823	Up	$-24	05-08 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$22	282	0	+282	Up	$-22	05-08 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	5	$22	228	0	+228	Up	$-22	05-09 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$22	203	0	+203	Up	$-22	05-05 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 20:12:57	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf53597…
06-03 20:12:27	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x00ab5e…
06-03 20:11:25	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0x386ed9…
06-03 20:10:42	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x545642…
06-03 20:09:18	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xecbefa…
06-03 20:08:48	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Down	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x2de342…
06-03 20:04:09	btc updown 5m 1780516800	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x954f18…
06-03 19:59:46	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x161978…
06-03 19:59:04	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6c0afd…
06-03 19:58:30	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x59c5f9…
06-03 19:53:10	btc updown 5m 1780516200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3cf742…
06-03 19:52:27	btc updown 5m 1780516200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x957f18…
06-03 19:51:51	btc updown 5m 1780516200	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xcf88a4…
06-03 19:51:21	btc updown 5m 1780516200	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7b946b…
06-03 19:47:21	btc updown 5m 1780515900	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8f63bd…
06-03 19:44:15	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x9d8ffb…
06-03 19:43:03	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x85fc40…
06-03 19:38:10	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xd64a08…
06-03 19:37:51	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd4e5ce…
06-03 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5ebb35…
06-03 17:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd8fc58…
06-03 17:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x05e8f8…
06-03 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x633545…
06-03 06:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b0dc8…
06-03 06:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdba895…
06-03 06:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x896a30…
06-02 21:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x441bbe…
06-02 21:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x29f28b…
06-02 21:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0d1f73…
06-02 21:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf9ffb9…
06-02 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xb5ffb6…
06-02 20:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xe5091a…
06-02 20:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xdadc8e…
06-02 20:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xb8a253…
06-02 20:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x4e7167…
06-02 20:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x919847…
06-02 20:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaca494…
06-02 20:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xdbf6e2…
06-02 20:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x65a001…
06-02 20:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xad23c7…
06-02 20:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa365f6…
06-02 20:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xad5b9c…
06-02 20:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x569e14…
06-02 20:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd3a64e…
06-02 19:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x62fef2…
06-02 19:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1e9962…
06-02 19:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x81a4ff…
06-02 19:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdbcf56…
06-02 18:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d5663…
06-02 18:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4ed668…
06-02 18:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe1ebe1…
06-02 18:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x24561d…
06-02 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x012f86…
06-02 18:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x092447…
06-02 18:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x446f70…
06-02 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x210fee…
06-02 17:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7988c5…
06-02 17:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5bafce…
06-02 17:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x78b468…
06-02 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf2df94…
06-02 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x82329f…
06-02 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7d4bbe…
06-02 17:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5dc8eb…
06-02 17:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb46d5d…
06-02 17:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x595191…
06-02 17:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x560ac2…
06-02 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa49492…
06-02 17:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd04d30…
06-02 17:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x288df7…
06-02 17:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7ce53f…
06-02 17:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x78dc9e…
06-02 17:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x340fdf…
06-02 17:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2f07e7…
06-02 17:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xab590a…
06-02 17:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe80db3…
06-02 17:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6bdb40…
06-02 17:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x129cff…
06-02 17:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb58595…
06-02 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x27c37e…
06-02 17:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf4a167…
06-02 16:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa8fcb6…
06-02 16:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xae9a24…
06-02 16:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xabc80f…
06-02 16:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa0bd4b…
06-02 16:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x502e46…
06-02 16:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf06acf…
06-02 16:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6a291d…
06-02 16:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4bdfd0…
06-02 16:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x126e21…
06-02 16:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8589cc…
06-02 16:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x73943b…
06-02 15:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xab3160…
06-02 15:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0066ef…
06-02 15:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4c809b…
06-02 15:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x63ca2f…
06-02 15:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1968d5…
06-02 15:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb73c63…
06-02 15:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x152c46…
06-02 15:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xdea93f…
06-02 15:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7797ff…