Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.38K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.9%

Resolved

291

Trades

696

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-19 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Politics

60% 21% -$341

Other

28% 5% -$851

Crypto

10% 36% -$137

Sports

2% 25% -$53

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$235	1,339	1,339	+0	No	-$178	03-23 14:48
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$209	2,270	2,143	+127	No	-$27	02-08 22:40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	16	$191	329	329	+0	Yes	-$32	03-09 23:16
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	10	$188	1,181	1,422	-241	No	-$106	01-09 22:47
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	7	$134	103	103	+0	No	+$46	03-10 19:47
xrp up or down january 5 2pm et	19	$125	128	128	+0	Up	+$3	01-05 19:55
iran leadership change by march 31	21	$124	305	305	+0	No	-$58	03-27 20:27
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	10	$104	576	576	+0	No	-$6	03-12 17:18
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	8	$101	44,270	0	+44,270	Yes	-$101	01-02 22:52
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	13	$95	1,235	0	+1,235	No	-$95	03-07 19:12
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$91	87	87	+0	Yes	+$83	03-02 12:55
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	9	$62	15,083	0	+15,083	Yes	-$62	03-10 19:51
will iran strike israel on march 6	9	$54	7,119	39	+7,080	No	-$30	03-11 15:12
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	6	$52	12,328	3,500	+8,828	No	-$38	01-03 19:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$51	153	87	+66	No	-$4	03-30 16:03
will iran strike israel on march 4	4	$50	2,046	46	+2,000	Yes	+$42	03-09 23:20
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	3	$48	196	196	+0	No	-$32	01-05 18:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$47	29	29	+0	No	+$7	03-09 01:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$41	40	40	+0	Yes	+$21	03-02 12:55
us strikes yemen by december 31	8	$41	14,833	0	+14,833	Yes	-$41	01-03 19:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$40	38	27	+11	Yes	+$6	04-05 15:52
will iran strike israel on march 10	14	$39	3,981	0	+3,981	Yes	-$39	03-17 01:58
will trump say where are you during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	2	$39	24	24	+0	Yes	+$9	03-02 19:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$39	180	180	+0	Yes	-$13	03-01 23:22
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$37	61	61	+0	No	-$1	01-14 14:35
will donald trump say nuclear 3 times during israel president events on december 29	6	$35	4,335	1,125	+3,211	Yes	-$15	01-01 21:33
will antnio jos seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$34	252	0	+252	No	-$34	01-18 19:32
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	2	$34	51	51	+0	Yes	-$6	01-03 17:47
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	4	$31	138	92	+46	No	-$11	04-01 16:46
will trump say iran during college football roundtable 125	2	$31	26	26	+0	Yes	+$21	03-06 23:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 23:27:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfeb4c9…
04-13 19:34:33	trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	Yes	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0xc09241…
04-13 19:34:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$4	0x8b1f4b…
04-13 19:33:09	highest temperature in istanbul on april 14 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xe308a0…
04-13 19:31:25	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 24corhigher	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x27c742…
04-13 19:30:09	highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 66forhigher	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7003fd…
04-12 20:35:31	highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x09e0ca…
04-12 20:05:41	highest temperature in austin on april 13 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb2bb36…
04-12 20:05:17	highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8b1b15…
04-12 20:04:45	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 13 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9904b9…
04-12 20:04:19	highest temperature in houston on april 13 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbfa008…
04-12 20:04:05	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xed496f…
04-12 20:03:45	highest temperature in miami on april 13 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x34de5f…
04-12 20:03:13	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 13corbelow	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe73439…
04-12 20:03:05	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7074b9…
04-12 20:02:25	highest temperature in istanbul on april 13 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8d3d0d…
04-12 20:02:11	highest temperature in panama city on april 13 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xdcea2c…
04-12 20:01:55	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 13 2026 28corhigher	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd1daed…
04-12 20:01:19	highest temperature in jakarta on april 13 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xfc55b7…
04-12 20:00:55	highest temperature in san francisco on april 13 2026 60 61f	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xae2510…
04-12 20:00:03	highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 58 59f	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x2287b7…
04-12 19:59:37	highest temperature in los angeles on april 13 2026 64 65f	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x976db9…
04-12 19:57:41	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 13 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x6e98a4…
04-12 19:56:53	highest temperature in helsinki on april 13 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xfce39e…
04-12 19:55:19	highest temperature in milan on april 13 2026 17corhigher	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd76341…
04-12 19:54:43	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x391ed6…
04-11 02:23:35	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x1e16d0…
04-10 23:23:07	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x314a33…
04-10 10:48:41	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	155	14¢	$21	0x2ee72d…
04-09 16:54:53	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x5d6a61…
04-07 22:12:41	highest temperature in los angeles on april 8 2026 76forhigher	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xbc5e31…
04-07 22:11:39	highest temperature in san francisco on april 8 2026 64 65f	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xf5d5cd…
04-07 22:05:17	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x53b95e…
04-07 16:28:35	highest temperature in warsaw on april 8 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0cb131…
04-07 16:26:03	highest temperature in busan on april 8 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xdb6550…
04-07 16:24:17	highest temperature in wellington on april 8 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5cb8d8…
04-07 16:22:59	highest temperature in los angeles on april 8 2026 76forhigher	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x4b88ec…
04-05 21:49:33	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xff96b4…
04-05 21:36:27	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x13cce6…
04-05 21:27:33	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0xb31b71…
04-05 19:46:49	will iran strike uae again in march	No	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xa44286…
04-05 15:52:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1fd789…
04-05 14:21:03	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xa0d612…
04-05 14:11:13	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe88c3d…
04-04 16:43:57	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf165bc…
04-04 16:43:47	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x194498…
04-04 16:43:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	80¢	$13	0xfe3809…
04-04 16:32:23	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdadb77…
04-04 12:07:15	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x65cc2c…
04-04 12:06:23	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	37	46¢	$17	0x96b52c…
04-04 12:05:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xd583d2…
04-03 21:51:09	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x37830d…
04-03 21:48:35	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0af423…
04-03 21:48:19	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x749fe0…
04-03 21:47:57	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x789ca7…
04-03 21:47:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x59d296…
04-03 19:33:47	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	No	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xf2e2cc…
04-03 19:07:41	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xc5250b…
04-03 19:06:51	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x525174…
04-02 10:46:03	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 28 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ac5e9…
04-02 10:43:51	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xf008c0…
04-01 17:25:35	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xc4b501…
04-01 17:21:01	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	No	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xed9590…
04-01 17:16:01	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x27a2b1…
04-01 17:13:27	will trump say proxy or hezbollah during address to the nation	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x399b96…
04-01 17:12:17	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2dc72d…
04-01 17:00:17	will trump say regime change during address to the nation 537	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x875235…
04-01 16:59:07	will trump say proxy or hezbollah during address to the nation	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x034217…
04-01 16:57:19	will trump say fake news during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaf5843…
04-01 16:57:01	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc456af…
04-01 16:56:43	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2e9c3b…
04-01 16:55:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xcbaa9b…
04-01 16:47:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2c470d…
04-01 16:46:49	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xee5111…
04-01 16:46:27	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x8c449e…
03-31 14:12:25	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x22825b…
03-31 14:07:43	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	No	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x724b2a…
03-31 13:59:23	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	No	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xfd3a8a…
03-31 13:57:43	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x9efe51…
03-31 13:55:37	will iran strike bahrain again in march	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x37e4e3…
03-31 13:55:17	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x8e7fba…
03-31 13:53:19	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	92	11¢	$10	0xb4fff0…
03-30 18:44:51	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 30 2026 278	No	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x80229d…
03-30 18:35:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 30 2026 933	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x61888c…
03-30 18:31:37	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	111	17¢	$19	0x3aced5…
03-30 16:08:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8c9443…
03-30 16:03:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xf5c479…
03-30 16:02:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x34dd6e…
03-30 15:51:15	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x28ea4a…
03-30 15:51:09	will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xed4d7e…
03-30 15:49:43	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 30 2026 278	No	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xaccbc5…
03-30 15:48:55	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x865a6b…
03-30 15:46:37	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x8a0655…
03-30 15:37:57	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5c97f4…
03-30 11:47:34	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6f0f96…
03-30 11:43:32	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27 387	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xead150…
03-30 11:31:44	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf352d2…
03-29 23:08:10	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xb6a6b1…
03-29 23:07:48	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$5	0x843f13…
03-27 20:27:03	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x529f3f…