Heavy-Wiretap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-08 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 78% -$10

Other

33% 93% -$8

Politics

6% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	$0	10-08 15:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	04-23 11:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	04-15 07:57
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	04-10 09:29
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 14c	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	04-18 08:05
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	03-19 12:37
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	03-14 08:21
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	03-30 12:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 8	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	03-08 03:34
bitcoin above 80k on march 23	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	03-22 10:49
solana above 70 on march 11	1	$104	104	+104	Yes	+$0	03-11 06:23
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	03-26 08:06
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	03-04 08:12
ethereum above 2300 on march 1	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	03-01 07:51
bitcoin above 60k on april 4	1	$104	104	+104	Yes	+$0	04-03 09:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$103	103	+103	Yes	+$0	05-04 10:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	1	$102	104	+104	No	+$2	02-08 11:57
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	01-30 09:35
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	02-01 10:52
bitcoin above 96k on january 25	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	01-24 03:50
bitcoin above 96k on january 4	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	01-04 07:35
bitcoin above 100k on january 14	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	01-13 12:24
bitcoin above 100k on january 9	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	01-08 11:58
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 420 439	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	01-18 11:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	05-07 11:34
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	05-13 08:34
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?	1	$97	97	+97	No	+$0	05-23 06:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	06-01 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	05-17 10:57
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	06-08 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 15:49:09	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8740d9…
10-08 15:45:11	South Florida vs. UTSA	South Florida	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x86a9ba…
09-25 14:09:33	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc42644…
09-25 14:05:36	North American Cup T20I: Bahamas vs Bermuda	Bahamas	BUY	27	13¢	$4	0x185637…
08-01 10:35:03	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x57b842…
06-08 09:19:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x2b04ec…
06-08 09:19:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xa9c213…
06-01 09:08:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x247647…
06-01 09:08:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x33a9a6…
05-23 06:11:35	Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xcf1e7d…
05-17 10:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xd35359…
05-17 10:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x94fa0b…
05-17 10:56:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaee7a7…
05-17 10:56:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x246ae0…
05-17 10:55:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf850a0…
05-17 10:55:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x389cb9…
05-17 10:55:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xffec6f…
05-13 08:34:27	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x02a453…
05-07 11:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc07f45…
05-07 11:33:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	768	0¢	$3	0x0db0fe…
05-04 10:45:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xbfb4cc…
05-04 10:44:12	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x4d0869…
04-26 09:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7fce6a…
04-23 11:15:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6eb8de…
04-18 08:05:06	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x90cbb9…
04-15 07:57:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x957e40…
04-10 09:29:43	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xafa256…
04-03 09:37:43	bitcoin above 60k on april 4	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x52a0ce…
03-30 12:23:36	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x726214…
03-26 08:06:53	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x25027f…
03-22 10:49:39	bitcoin above 80k on march 23	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x471ec2…
03-22 10:49:19	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2700 on march 23	Yes	BUY	275	0¢	$1	0x393ebc…
03-19 12:37:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x8b44cd…
03-14 08:21:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xa66204…
03-11 06:23:39	solana above 70 on march 11	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x9f03ed…
03-08 03:34:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 8	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x32b314…
03-04 08:12:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x31717a…
03-01 07:51:37	ethereum above 2300 on march 1	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe72a6e…
02-08 11:57:49	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x034c4e…
02-01 10:52:00	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6137e5…
01-30 09:35:14	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe6baf3…
01-24 03:50:36	bitcoin above 96k on january 25	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xedb5c7…
01-18 11:04:42	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 420 439	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x2cdd12…
01-13 12:24:47	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xf3cd62…
01-08 11:58:13	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc2b783…
01-04 07:35:25	bitcoin above 96k on january 4	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc44509…