Selfish-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$258

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

259

Trades

764

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 09-22 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 55% -$727

Other

32% 48% -$398

Sports

11% 50% -$136

Politics

7% 50% +$1,009

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	8	$1.6K	1,287	1,280	+7	Yes	-$438	05-07 14:05
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$7	04-30 19:26
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	2	$1.1K	631	631	+0	Eternal Fire	-$70	05-01 16:27
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$1.1K	706	706	+0	Detroit Tigers	-$99	04-30 17:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?	2	$843	443	443	+0	No	+$43	05-08 17:23
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$730	886	886	+0	No	-$70	05-04 03:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	7	$627	802	802	+0	Up	-$273	05-27 06:41
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	4	$624	2,283	2,283	+0	No	-$176	05-09 13:21
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?	1	$500	611	0	+611	No	+$111	05-17 12:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$484	358	358	+0	Down	+$84	05-27 06:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	6	$450	736	0	+736	Down	+$286	05-25 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$425	338	338	+0	Up	+$25	05-27 13:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$410	852	0	+852	Up	-$410	05-27 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?	2	$400	459	0	+459	No	+$59	05-09 11:07
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	4	$393	224	224	+0	No	-$7	05-04 03:23
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	2	$390	250	250	+0	Yes	+$110	05-09 13:28
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	7	$380	1,716	330	+1,386	Yes	+$1,046	05-04 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$350	678	0	+678	Down	+$328	05-11 07:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?	4	$342	364	364	+0	Yes	+$22	05-06 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$339	274	274	+0	Down	+$39	05-10 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	9	$323	399	76	+323	Down	-$66	05-13 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$280	522	0	+522	Up	-$280	05-11 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$253	167	167	+0	Down	+$73	05-27 06:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$240	426	0	+426	Down	+$186	05-25 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	8	$230	400	0	+400	Down	+$170	05-24 17:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?	4	$219	138	138	+0	No	+$17	05-01 12:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$210	389	0	+389	Up	-$210	05-27 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	6	$181	242	175	+67	Up	-$2	05-22 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	5	$160	369	0	+369	Down	+$209	05-12 06:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$160	292	0	+292	Up	-$160	05-25 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 15:29:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	78¢	$84	0x75b4ae…
09-22 15:29:33	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	65¢	$27	0x20ee55…
09-22 06:27:33	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x7bc5c2…
09-22 06:27:04	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xcce4e1…
09-08 16:30:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x1bad9b…
08-28 15:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9f2726…
08-28 15:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x134120…
08-28 15:22:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xef4875…
08-28 15:21:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1163a2…
08-28 15:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x55cb5d…
07-29 10:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:20 UTC	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0xd8262a…
07-29 10:22:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xc2e18f…
06-13 21:13:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xa24a62…
06-13 11:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0xfd9748…
06-13 11:26:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xdac376…
06-12 21:06:15	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb7a230…
06-12 21:06:07	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x14389f…
06-12 19:54:31	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe71698…
06-12 19:54:15	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4a8cfb…
06-12 19:43:51	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x0f1c29…
05-30 10:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8d97b5…
05-30 10:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x3919a3…
05-30 10:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe1a96a…
05-30 10:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf37146…
05-28 07:08:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	357	42¢	$150	0x915071…
05-28 07:05:34	Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	SELL	185	52¢	$96	0x010ceb…
05-28 07:05:33	Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	SELL	266	22¢	$59	0x36c878…
05-27 16:54:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf15d61…
05-27 16:54:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x28c82a…
05-27 16:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe8b5f4…
05-27 16:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x878882…
05-27 16:49:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xb40302…
05-27 16:44:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x0cd528…
05-27 16:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x33e060…
05-27 16:40:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa38518…
05-27 16:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xdd953e…
05-27 16:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8caba2…
05-27 16:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xc1641e…
05-27 16:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x19aca5…
05-27 16:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xf1ff32…
05-27 16:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7a09b3…
05-27 16:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1e21ad…
05-27 16:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe5433b…
05-27 16:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x61703f…
05-27 16:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	61	57¢	$35	0x1aad43…
05-27 16:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xfdef32…
05-27 14:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x41f769…
05-27 14:10:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x89933a…
05-27 13:38:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x8c6089…
05-27 13:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0x18490f…
05-27 13:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xaf4eb4…
05-27 13:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x823ac2…
05-27 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	51	70¢	$36	0x891a84…
05-27 13:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	47	70¢	$33	0x4b0351…
05-27 13:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbd2451…
05-27 13:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0x5343b7…
05-27 13:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x212c6d…
05-27 13:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	172	90¢	$155	0x99ae2c…
05-27 13:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x49b77f…
05-27 13:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	166	42¢	$70	0x8615ea…
05-27 13:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x19d93f…
05-27 09:54:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x566269…
05-27 09:48:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0xf67680…
05-27 09:47:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x66eeb5…
05-27 09:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4129b5…
05-27 09:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb2556f…
05-27 09:42:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xf785bc…
05-27 09:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x063452…
05-27 09:37:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x877a25…
05-27 09:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x91e367…
05-27 09:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd59f4f…
05-27 09:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x963f9c…
05-27 09:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x22b70e…
05-27 09:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6cd6be…
05-27 09:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa832a9…
05-27 09:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x624b9f…
05-27 09:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xae20a8…
05-27 09:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xf37902…
05-27 09:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x3d916c…
05-27 09:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x21e061…
05-27 09:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x75204c…
05-27 09:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5845d6…
05-27 09:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x261460…
05-27 09:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc26bbf…
05-27 09:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x20c107…
05-27 09:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8373ed…
05-27 09:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6a88e2…
05-27 09:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xed25d8…
05-27 09:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9c285e…
05-27 09:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6088fa…
05-27 09:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x033ac0…
05-27 09:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0x305ae4…
05-27 09:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4db4ff…
05-27 09:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xee701f…
05-27 09:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa3e7a5…
05-27 09:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x200a1d…
05-27 09:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xba2cbd…
05-27 09:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa34c07…
05-27 09:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x95e9c9…
05-27 09:09:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x69b730…