Wasteful-Stem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

201

Trades

1,664

lifetime

Volume

$192.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-20 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$2,618

Other

0% 75% +$35

Sports

0% 0% -$105

Politics

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+80	$20	3¢	$3	-$17	08-20 14:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	23	$7.9K	7,181	7,181	+0	Up	+$3,872	05-14 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	60	$6.0K	7,696	0	+7,696	Down	-$2,701	05-15 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	19	$5.7K	3,861	3,763	+98	Up	+$803	05-14 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	39	$5.6K	8,623	0	+8,623	Up	+$1,046	05-14 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	35	$5.1K	15,600	0	+15,600	Up	+$156	05-14 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	33	$4.8K	6,521	0	+6,521	Down	+$371	05-14 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	33	$4.8K	7,725	0	+7,725	Up	+$2,909	05-14 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	31	$4.6K	6,080	0	+6,080	Up	-$38	05-14 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	28	$4.2K	5,512	0	+5,512	Down	-$4,200	05-14 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	12	$4.1K	2,939	2,442	+497	Up	+$779	05-14 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	27	$4.0K	5,151	0	+5,151	Down	+$1,101	05-14 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	25	$3.7K	4,331	0	+4,331	Up	+$581	05-14 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	12	$3.5K	2,035	2,035	+0	Up	+$583	05-14 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	9	$3.3K	2,620	2,620	+0	Down	+$97	05-14 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	20	$3.3K	6,029	4,123	+1,905	Down	-$913	05-14 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	31	$3.0K	5,103	0	+5,103	Down	+$2,053	05-14 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	21	$3.0K	4,429	0	+4,429	Up	+$1,379	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	12	$2.9K	1,482	1,482	+0	Down	+$56	05-14 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	16	$2.8K	3,947	0	+3,947	Up	-$2,441	05-14 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	28	$2.8K	3,466	0	+3,466	Up	+$306	05-14 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	18	$2.7K	2,754	0	+2,754	Up	+$54	05-14 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	27	$2.7K	4,431	0	+4,431	Down	-$2,568	05-15 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	12	$2.5K	2,642	1,149	+1,493	Down	-$245	05-14 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	25	$2.4K	2,762	0	+2,762	Down	+$402	05-15 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	27	$2.3K	4,047	0	+4,047	Up	+$1,707	05-14 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	15	$2.2K	3,315	0	+3,315	Up	+$1,109	05-14 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	14	$2.1K	2,454	0	+2,454	Up	-$73	05-14 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	12	$2.1K	2,168	2,168	+0	Up	-$902	05-14 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	20	$2.0K	2,252	0	+2,252	Down	+$252	05-14 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	2	$2.0K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$155	05-14 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 14:26:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xa5b054…
06-08 15:51:30	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd674e3…
05-30 11:13:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4c2225…
05-30 06:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xee81bc…
05-30 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdc9c73…
05-28 10:40:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xadc32c…
05-28 05:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xeb3824…
05-28 05:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8bf391…
05-28 05:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb742f1…
05-28 05:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd49c5b…
05-28 05:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3762ee…
05-26 20:23:24	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xd6e967…
05-26 20:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x85e379…
05-26 19:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5d1b66…
05-26 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xde23b9…
05-26 19:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6b6750…
05-26 18:57:12	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x175003…
05-16 05:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xc733d6…
05-16 05:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x92fd59…
05-16 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xddc54d…
05-16 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb1e0c6…
05-16 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3beb88…
05-16 05:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf40fe2…
05-16 05:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x960261…
05-16 05:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xbce203…
05-16 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xbd602b…
05-16 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9c0ddb…
05-16 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x70442e…
05-16 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x11ac7f…
05-16 05:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0d7453…
05-16 05:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe419df…
05-16 05:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x31d80e…
05-16 05:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x916505…
05-16 05:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x696564…
05-16 05:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7c0b1b…
05-16 05:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xb039b5…
05-16 05:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xadb9f0…
05-16 05:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9358af…
05-16 05:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x9c6338…
05-16 05:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xf8f17a…
05-16 05:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xf54ea0…
05-16 05:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x4a6c79…
05-16 05:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xffb820…
05-16 05:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xa39fb0…
05-16 05:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xde6b7f…
05-16 05:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x11bcab…
05-16 05:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xbc7640…
05-16 05:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x4a9dc6…
05-16 05:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x748a52…
05-16 05:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x67494e…
05-16 05:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa50520…
05-16 05:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xdc95c4…
05-16 05:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x2f8c85…
05-16 05:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x2613a1…
05-16 05:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3cd716…
05-16 05:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xfe8e07…
05-16 05:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xebfdf1…
05-16 05:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3c3a67…
05-16 05:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x757d34…
05-16 05:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x38bf7f…
05-16 05:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5487c9…
05-16 05:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbc376a…
05-16 05:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x016242…
05-16 05:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x62fb9f…
05-16 04:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x17e8b7…
05-16 04:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x652a0e…
05-16 04:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xca3a43…
05-16 04:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xaebc48…
05-16 04:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x1150b2…
05-16 04:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x12e14f…
05-16 04:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8a7425…
05-16 04:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x01fa06…
05-15 21:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x25ba87…
05-15 21:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xbbfa9a…
05-15 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x784229…
05-15 21:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x626f88…
05-15 21:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x2836af…
05-15 21:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x615e85…
05-15 21:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xa2d7d0…
05-15 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd031f7…
05-15 20:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb5f099…
05-15 20:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x79eceb…
05-15 20:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x23c14f…
05-15 20:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x476b27…
05-15 20:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x833372…
05-15 20:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x23d004…
05-15 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x6bd030…
05-15 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4d08da…
05-15 20:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x767c84…
05-15 19:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5c47e6…
05-15 17:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x7b30f6…
05-15 16:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xbcfbb9…
05-15 16:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd1d054…
05-15 16:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xdfe508…
05-15 16:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x9f805f…
05-15 16:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x91dcea…
05-15 16:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x4f1ead…
05-15 16:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xd45103…
05-15 16:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x482b93…
05-15 16:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf59fba…