Grimy-Misrepresentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.8%

Resolved

114

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$8.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-02 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 8% -$4,680

Politics

26% 32% +$265

Other

5% 0% -$318

Sports

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	10	$1.2K	1,223	2,074	-851	Yes	-$460	02-06 11:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25?	3	$434	10,302	0	+10,302	No	-$434	09-24 10:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3?	2	$433	10,765	0	+10,765	No	-$433	10-02 07:45
bitcoin above 98k on january 15	6	$364	1,953	1,831	+122	No	+$114	01-14 15:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$353	549	549	+0	Yes	+$308	04-13 07:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	2	$322	6,902	0	+6,902	No	-$322	10-13 11:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$270	752	752	+0	Yes	+$23	02-22 19:20
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	3	$264	823	578	+245	No	+$64	04-14 18:51
bitcoin above 92k on october 10 2026	1	$234	4,336	0	+4,336	No	-$234	10-05 10:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	2	$233	5,432	0	+5,432	No	-$233	10-28 16:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 31?	1	$229	9,985	0	+9,985	No	-$229	10-29 10:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	1	$200	5,408	0	+5,408	No	-$200	09-16 10:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$192	417	417	+0	Yes	+$187	04-13 07:03
bitcoin above 64k on july 3 2026	1	$190	4,798	0	+4,798	No	-$190	07-02 09:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17?	7	$188	5,931	0	+5,931	No	-$188	10-12 05:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?	2	$182	2,924	0	+2,924	No	-$182	10-01 11:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?	1	$181	5,570	0	+5,570	No	-$181	10-01 11:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	3	$154	1,318	1,318	+0	No	-$30	10-15 12:34
bitcoin above 86k on october 14 2026	2	$143	4,443	4,443	+0	No	-$94	10-14 12:35
bitcoin above 74k on march 6	6	$136	885	885	+0	No	+$49	03-04 09:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14?	1	$133	8,944	0	+8,944	No	-$133	10-13 11:49
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	4	$133	398	299	+100	No	-$29	03-06 09:55
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$111	783	783	+0	No	-$108	02-28 06:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	1	$100	1,212	0	+1,212	No	-$100	10-08 16:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	1	$100	834	0	+834	No	-$100	10-08 16:38
bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	1	$100	4,654	0	+4,654	No	-$100	09-30 07:34
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$100	4,389	0	+4,389	No	-$100	04-16 20:02
si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	2	$97	1,248	1,248	+0	No	-$2	01-13 09:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$95	448	0	+448	No	-$95	07-29 09:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$95	5,252	0	+5,252	No	-$95	08-12 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 11:49:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1,937	4¢	$68	0xde817b…
11-04 11:49:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x1e3932…
11-02 14:13:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	949	6¢	$57	0x58ddf7…
10-29 10:13:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,152	0¢	$4	0x4d739b…
10-29 10:12:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9,985	2¢	$229	0xa1903d…
10-28 16:52:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	432	0¢	$2	0x280553…
10-28 16:51:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4,399	3¢	$116	0x0720b7…
10-28 08:42:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1,033	11¢	$116	0x7ef367…
10-16 07:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	581	9¢	$54	0x4cefa8…
10-15 12:34:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	1,318	5¢	$62	0xcfe210…
10-15 11:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	709	7¢	$50	0x9df552…
10-15 11:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1,783	1¢	$25	0x643318…
10-15 10:58:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	609	7¢	$43	0x9a8d02…
10-14 12:35:26	bitcoin above 88k on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	2,680	1¢	$24	0xcc3fd0…
10-14 12:35:12	bitcoin above 86k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	4,443	1¢	$25	0x62adbc…
10-14 07:00:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2,680	2¢	$58	0x00f837…
10-14 06:59:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4,443	3¢	$119	0x785eab…
10-13 11:49:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8,944	1¢	$133	0xdb88b8…
10-13 11:49:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3,218	2¢	$72	0xb1042e…
10-12 05:17:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$2	0x4ef64d…
10-12 05:15:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3,189	4¢	$115	0x957f6c…
10-11 20:52:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$2	0x6cc444…
10-11 20:50:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	462	3¢	$12	0x5faa04…
10-11 20:49:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	367	2¢	$9	0x1dfa02…
10-11 20:48:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	483	3¢	$14	0x37e39c…
10-11 20:48:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	695	3¢	$18	0x7d6a37…
10-11 20:47:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	625	5¢	$29	0x13eed3…
10-11 16:07:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	650	3¢	$18	0x295e95…
10-11 12:22:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3,683	7¢	$250	0x108207…
10-08 16:39:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1,548	2¢	$34	0xe49473…
10-08 16:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	834	12¢	$100	0xf4bfc1…
10-08 16:38:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,212	8¢	$100	0xbdd2a8…
10-05 10:40:13	bitcoin above 94k on october 10 2026	Yes	BUY	153	3¢	$4	0xe153b9…
10-05 10:39:29	bitcoin above 92k on october 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4,336	5¢	$234	0x420f22…
10-02 07:45:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5,765	4¢	$233	0xa433cd…
10-01 11:08:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5,570	3¢	$181	0xa7aee3…
10-01 11:07:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,351	4¢	$50	0xf8bd42…
10-01 10:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,290	1¢	$11	0xa02575…
09-30 07:35:24	bitcoin above 86k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,573	8¢	$132	0x79dd60…
09-30 07:34:48	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4,654	2¢	$100	0x75c291…
09-29 11:38:20	bitcoin above 92k on october 3 2026	Yes	BUY	2,381	1¢	$33	0x12f905…
09-29 11:36:41	bitcoin above 90k on october 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	4¢	$200	0x30bfe9…
09-24 10:03:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	331	3¢	$9	0xd1a05e…
09-24 10:03:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6,523	3¢	$225	0xefcf96…
09-19 09:36:05	bitcoin above 90k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	1,137	3¢	$34	0xb9e264…
09-19 09:35:24	bitcoin above 88k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	3,448	6¢	$200	0x8fe034…
09-16 10:15:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2,384	1¢	$34	0x4e850e…
09-16 10:14:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5,408	4¢	$200	0x593798…
08-12 10:16:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,252	2¢	$95	0x758647…
08-09 16:07:33	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1,467	3¢	$46	0x8f2b49…
08-07 09:15:18	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	3,277	1¢	$43	0x2bf2b9…
08-07 09:15:01	will bitcoin reach 68k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,468	3¢	$50	0x3700ea…
08-02 09:31:32	bitcoin above 68k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	317	5¢	$14	0xa0fe21…
08-02 09:30:39	bitcoin above 66k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	506	16¢	$80	0x4b0147…
07-29 09:29:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	448	21¢	$95	0x40569f…
07-26 12:48:19	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	84	7¢	$6	0x4ebe00…
07-26 12:47:40	bitcoin above 74k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	193	1¢	$2	0xf7551f…
07-26 12:47:28	bitcoin above 72k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x3da6bd…
07-26 12:42:49	bitcoin above 70k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	358	6¢	$20	0x16a64b…
07-26 12:42:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$2	0x73246f…
07-26 12:42:00	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	341	2¢	$7	0x0e71b0…
07-26 12:41:03	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,003	6¢	$65	0xed98f9…
07-02 09:45:22	bitcoin above 64k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	4,798	4¢	$190	0x53b243…
07-02 09:44:32	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2,546	2¢	$40	0x7d695b…
06-18 07:29:13	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Czechia	BUY	71	27¢	$19	0x5e7b73…
06-17 10:14:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,477	0¢	$4	0x9fe883…
06-15 14:37:57	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$5	0xe78468…
06-14 10:41:09	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	218	2¢	$5	0x724998…
06-11 17:28:16	Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9,030	0¢	$9	0xbf4380…
05-30 09:03:54	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	388	3¢	$12	0x7d179e…
05-21 11:55:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xfa07c2…
05-21 11:55:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	73	24¢	$17	0xd8b923…
05-21 11:55:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	156	8¢	$12	0xca0086…
05-06 07:25:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,059	1¢	$14	0xcdc383…
05-06 07:24:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	103	9¢	$9	0x912e03…
04-26 20:39:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12,325	0¢	$25	0x1305f0…
04-22 05:21:36	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	Yes	BUY	694	4¢	$30	0x3c8c70…
04-22 05:21:28	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	Yes	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0x50ea02…
04-22 03:06:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x3fb925…
04-22 03:05:56	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	Yes	BUY	972	4¢	$35	0x557f64…
04-22 03:05:30	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x4f23eb…
04-20 20:28:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0xc915de…
04-20 20:28:18	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	241	8¢	$20	0xd01449…
04-20 20:27:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	155	6¢	$10	0x8872fd…
04-20 20:24:28	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1,429	3¢	$40	0x98af6b…
04-16 20:15:22	will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	79	31¢	$25	0xdac59d…
04-16 20:14:32	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	Yes	BUY	551	9¢	$50	0xc02f49…
04-16 20:02:38	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	595	9¢	$52	0x362dfb…
04-16 20:02:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	Yes	BUY	4,389	2¢	$100	0xf28aee…
04-14 18:52:08	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	Yes	SELL	306	2¢	$6	0xc3fb39…
04-14 18:51:40	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	Yes	SELL	193	9¢	$18	0xbe5208…
04-14 14:33:57	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x3c37c5…
04-14 13:58:41	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	Yes	SELL	385	38¢	$146	0x5377e7…
04-13 19:58:15	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	Yes	BUY	644	2¢	$16	0x810a2d…
04-13 19:58:01	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	Yes	BUY	1,231	1¢	$10	0x7538aa…
04-13 19:56:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	Yes	BUY	823	12¢	$100	0x832424…
04-13 19:56:27	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	Yes	BUY	932	5¢	$43	0x63421d…
04-13 07:04:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	69	56¢	$38	0x432aa4…
04-13 07:03:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	27	54¢	$14	0xb41071…
04-12 13:48:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0xf584c4…