Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

14.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$220

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 10-30 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

98% 11% -$14

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	+100	$46	57¢	$57	+$11	10-22 20:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+80	$45	68¢	$54	+$9	10-22 08:31
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	+100	$56	42¢	$42	-$13	10-22 20:01
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+40	$33	80¢	$32	$0	10-22 21:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+80	$37	32¢	$26	-$11	10-22 08:31
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+40	$8	20¢	$8	$0	10-22 21:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	7	$111	150	50	+100	open	—	10-22 23:03
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	5	$106	233	67	+166	No	-$3	10-22 12:48
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	2	$102	200	0	+200	open	—	10-22 20:01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	2	$101	200	0	+200	No	-$1	10-22 22:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	10-22 18:35
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$86	161	39	+122	open	—	10-23 01:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$82	160	0	+160	open	—	10-22 08:31
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	2	$59	120	0	+120	Yes	+$1	10-22 15:52
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$50	150	0	+150	open	—	10-22 11:23
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	2	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-22 21:31
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	2	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	10-22 21:05
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	4	$39	85	11	+74	No	-$9	10-22 13:30
Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-22 04:12
Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	10-22 18:43
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	2	$24	31	31	+0	No	$0	10-22 18:37
dwts 35 week 7 elimination jendew	5	$24	60	20	+40	No	-$1	10-22 04:09
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 06:33
Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	2	$18	36	0	+36	open	—	10-22 16:22
will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the cash rate target at the march 2027 meeting	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	10-30 06:35
will the bank of england increase the bank rate by 25 bps at the february 2027 meeting	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	10-30 06:34
will the bank of brazil decrease the target for the selic rate by 25 bps at the january 2027 meeting	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	10-30 06:35
will the ecb make no change to the deposit facility rate at the march 2027 meeting	3	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	10-30 06:34
will the next israeli government hold 67 69 seats	1	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	10-30 06:34
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	$0	10-22 18:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	10-22 19:44
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 20:32
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	2	$3	11	11	+0	No	$0	10-22 18:37
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	10-22 04:57
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in October?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	10-30 09:59
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 18-20%?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	10-30 09:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:59:04	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x40ad6b…
10-30 09:59:04	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 18-20%?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x229773…
10-30 06:35:31	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the cash rate target at the march 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa53edc…
10-30 06:35:03	will the bank of brazil decrease the target for the selic rate by 25 bps at the january 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9e11d1…
10-30 06:34:24	will the ecb make no change to the deposit facility rate at the march 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb54132…
10-30 06:34:24	will the ecb make no change to the deposit facility rate at the march 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x671b68…
10-30 06:34:24	will the next israeli government hold 67 69 seats	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x1d5fb5…
10-30 06:34:24	will the bank of england increase the bank rate by 25 bps at the february 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0f82e1…
10-30 06:34:24	will the ecb make no change to the deposit facility rate at the march 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x06f085…
10-23 01:18:30	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xe25841…
10-23 00:16:27	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xc048c8…
10-23 00:16:17	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	37	16¢	$6	0x2f4372…
10-22 23:03:56	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x583e7d…
10-22 23:03:56	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0x459436…
10-22 22:29:23	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xc88b9e…
10-22 22:27:53	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x563065…
10-22 22:27:51	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0xa182dd…
10-22 22:27:51	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	28	60¢	$16	0x4fed31…
10-22 22:27:51	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x348f2e…
10-22 22:08:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xbe06de…
10-22 22:08:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x9c81cc…
10-22 21:31:59	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x56b1f6…
10-22 21:31:57	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x4120f3…
10-22 21:05:39	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xe71473…
10-22 21:05:39	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x1dadbd…
10-22 20:32:47	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x016a9d…
10-22 20:32:41	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2ec40b…
10-22 20:01:53	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xdcfd61…
10-22 20:01:51	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x0bfec3…
10-22 19:44:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe46962…
10-22 19:44:21	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0b4d1e…
10-22 18:50:51	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc489d8…
10-22 18:50:50	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xce0990…
10-22 18:43:54	Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x905f22…
10-22 18:43:54	Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x80b89a…
10-22 18:37:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0x5a18d8…
10-22 18:37:20	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0x4532d2…
10-22 18:37:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0x999284…
10-22 18:37:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x512f5d…
10-22 18:35:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x9c884f…
10-22 18:35:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4e074d…
10-22 16:22:44	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xb469a2…
10-22 16:22:42	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x77c709…
10-22 15:52:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xbd4ea4…
10-22 15:52:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	No	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x224212…
10-22 13:30:36	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x9dbb42…
10-22 13:26:54	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xabbdb7…
10-22 13:26:50	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x8bc87d…
10-22 13:26:48	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x262696…
10-22 12:48:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x770784…
10-22 11:57:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xf4d8fd…
10-22 11:56:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x499f67…
10-22 11:56:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0x9e68aa…
10-22 11:56:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x3d41f4…
10-22 11:23:14	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xf2ec6a…
10-22 08:31:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0xe22753…
10-22 08:31:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x94b4b7…
10-22 06:33:11	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x3ef718…
10-22 04:57:50	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x144a23…
10-22 04:56:33	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe0f54a…
10-22 04:12:44	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x9eb23f…
10-22 04:12:42	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x52ac6e…
10-22 04:09:27	dwts 35 week 7 elimination jendew	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc90a4c…
10-22 04:09:27	dwts 35 week 7 elimination jendew	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7a204a…
10-22 04:08:38	dwts 35 week 7 elimination jendew	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x78995e…
10-22 04:08:35	dwts 35 week 7 elimination jendew	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x93f7c4…
10-22 04:08:35	dwts 35 week 7 elimination jendew	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x26de1c…
10-22 02:37:15	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x2d0a8c…
10-22 00:01:15	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xc6f809…
10-22 00:01:15	Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x3bb800…