Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$266

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$62

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-03

last 10-26 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

69% 50% -$4

Politics

18% 0% -$1

Sports

9% 100% +$19

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	+133	$40	18¢	$25	-$15	10-14 10:42
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+22	$20	84¢	$19	-$1	10-13 03:47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+11	$10	94¢	$10	+$0	10-13 03:38
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	+34	$10	23¢	$8	-$2	10-13 01:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+51	$19	1¢	$1	-$19	10-03 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:29:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	71	19¢	$14	0xcae12e…
10-15 09:09:40	will avengers doomsday score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261221	Yes	BUY	71	88¢	$63	0x7a30a0…
10-14 10:42:41	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0xf155dd…
10-13 03:47:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xfd46df…
10-13 03:38:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9ddb19…
10-13 01:11:15	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5f50ef…
10-12 08:07:47	Fearnley vs. Glinka: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x202ff5…
10-10 08:57:12	UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)	Francisco Prado	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8bfccd…
10-08 06:16:49	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x60f684…
10-05 07:06:25	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x495dbe…
10-05 06:53:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	82¢	$18	0x74a147…
10-04 23:26:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x33a5ec…
10-03 05:33:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0xbf9d83…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will avengers doomsday score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261221	1	$63	71	0	+71	open	—	10-15 09:09
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$40	133	0	+133	open	—	10-14 10:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$37	22	22	+0	No	-$1	10-05 06:53
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$25	44	0	+44	Francisco Prado	+$19	10-10 08:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	10-13 03:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$19	51	0	+51	open	—	10-03 05:33
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	1	$16	19	0	+19	Yes	-$16	10-08 06:16
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$16	71	71	+0	No	+$12	10-26 17:29
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	10-13 01:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-13 03:38
Fearnley vs. Glinka: Match O/U 23.5	1	$10	20	0	+20	cancelled	+$0	10-12 08:07