First-Cottage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$33

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$3	10	+10	Up	+$6	05-08 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	05-05 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$3	8	+8	open	—	05-08 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-06 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-06 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-06 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$3	10	+10	Up	$-3	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-05 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	10	+10	open	—	05-08 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	+$5	05-07 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3302a0…
05-08 07:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x76b888…
05-08 05:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8bc18c…
05-07 09:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x4d82be…
05-06 11:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xe4694a…
05-06 06:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9fae55…
05-06 05:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf3dbf8…
05-05 23:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9b1c0d…
05-05 22:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x45386b…
05-05 11:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2436f2…
05-05 01:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa5f5d8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$4.58K	89	05-08 13:40
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$2.71K	111	05-08 13:44
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	11	$632	44	05-08 13:40
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	11	$579	41	05-08 13:40
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$1.17K	97	05-08 07:14
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	9	$802	63	05-08 07:14
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	8	$561	16	05-08 13:40
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$2.27K	24	05-08 07:14