Optimistic-Tracksuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,264

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-06 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 29% $-3

Sports

5% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	05-26 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	7	$34	63	30	+33	open	—	04-27 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$33	28	24	+3	open	—	05-26 18:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$30	30	22	+7	open	—	05-26 19:57
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	11	$28	33	33	+0	open	—	04-28 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$25	30	22	+7	open	—	05-26 19:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$21	0	23	-23	open	—	05-26 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	6	$20	20	14	+6	open	—	04-25 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$17	32	16	+16	open	—	05-26 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	05-26 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$15	31	0	+31	open	—	05-26 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-26 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-26 18:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	05-26 18:31
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 02:55
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$13	83	65	+18	open	—	04-28 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$13	31	0	+31	open	—	05-26 19:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$13	30	0	+30	open	—	05-26 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$12	30	0	+30	open	—	05-26 18:45
eth updown 15m 1780852500	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	06-07 17:28
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 06:03
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	05-26 22:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-26 22:01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 06:07
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	04-26 09:00
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	05-28 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$9	7	6	+0	open	—	04-25 23:42
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 25-31 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 06:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 05:02:34	eth updown 15m 1783314000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x806e5e…
07-06 05:01:35	btc updown 15m 1783314000	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5e26de…
07-06 04:54:19	eth updown 15m 1783313100	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x1b4fb2…
07-06 04:49:26	eth updown 15m 1783313100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xad46c6…
07-06 04:49:26	eth updown 15m 1783313100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4d8330…
07-06 04:49:26	eth updown 15m 1783313100	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x427958…
07-06 03:16:05	btc updown 15m 1783307700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f0237…
07-06 03:12:49	sol updown 15m 1783306800	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x588990…
07-06 03:12:46	sol updown 15m 1783306800	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x9bdd55…
07-06 03:01:05	btc updown 15m 1783306800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x23adf5…
07-06 02:55:05	sol updown 15m 1783305900	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xb303d5…
07-06 02:55:05	sol updown 15m 1783305900	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x6ee752…
07-06 02:55:04	sol updown 15m 1783305900	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x075a11…
07-06 01:06:20	sol updown 15m 1783299600	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x189f11…
07-06 01:01:05	btc updown 15m 1783299600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1884b3…
07-06 00:33:17	sol updown 15m 1783297800	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfc959a…
07-06 00:26:32	eth updown 15m 1783296900	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6d1251…
07-06 00:19:14	btc updown 15m 1783296900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x050ff1…
07-06 00:16:28	eth updown 15m 1783296900	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x782901…
07-06 00:08:28	eth updown 15m 1783296000	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x6849c8…
07-06 00:04:19	eth updown 15m 1783296000	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xf2699c…
07-06 00:04:17	eth updown 15m 1783296000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x74c222…
07-06 00:01:07	btc updown 15m 1783296000	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x54d5d6…
07-05 23:47:23	sol updown 15m 1783295100	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x438bff…
07-05 23:45:58	btc updown 15m 1783295100	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x1f9774…
07-05 23:17:04	sol updown 15m 1783293300	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xa736e3…
07-05 23:17:02	sol updown 15m 1783293300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61cadd…
07-05 23:13:29	btc updown 15m 1783292400	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd97df1…
07-05 23:01:01	btc updown 15m 1783292400	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x74de8f…
07-05 22:50:10	sol updown 15m 1783291500	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x5551b0…
07-05 22:50:01	sol updown 15m 1783291500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3d5cb4…
07-05 22:46:34	eth updown 15m 1783291500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1cd476…
07-05 22:45:47	btc updown 15m 1783291500	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x911851…
07-05 22:40:32	eth updown 15m 1783290600	Up	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xbfdf5c…
07-05 22:40:25	sol updown 15m 1783290600	Up	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x332bd0…
07-05 22:22:22	eth updown 15m 1783289700	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x99afa4…
07-05 22:16:23	eth updown 15m 1783289700	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x92247e…
07-05 22:04:37	sol updown 15m 1783288800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdfb321…
07-05 21:46:37	sol updown 15m 1783287900	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x09517e…
07-05 21:46:07	eth updown 15m 1783287900	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3ce1d1…
06-09 10:50:24	sol updown 15m 1781001900	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xabc51c…
06-09 10:02:28	sol updown 15m 1780999200	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa440ab…
06-09 10:01:36	eth updown 15m 1780999200	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc5026d…
06-09 10:00:49	btc updown 15m 1780999200	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4f9089…
06-09 09:56:22	xrp updown 15m 1780998300	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf6c5d3…
06-09 09:32:10	sol updown 15m 1780997400	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x19576f…
06-09 09:32:03	sol updown 15m 1780997400	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x6dfaa0…
06-09 09:31:21	eth updown 15m 1780997400	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdd499a…
06-09 09:15:37	btc updown 15m 1780996500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa60726…
06-09 09:12:06	xrp updown 15m 1780995600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x94f364…
06-09 08:46:37	eth updown 15m 1780994700	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb0412e…
06-09 08:10:27	xrp updown 15m 1780992000	Up	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x1bfdbb…
06-08 09:01:27	eth updown 15m 1780909200	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdd09ab…
06-08 06:34:42	sol updown 15m 1780900200	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xeef56b…
06-08 06:31:27	eth updown 15m 1780900200	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x362317…
06-08 06:30:40	btc updown 15m 1780900200	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1bfabd…
06-08 06:17:49	sol updown 15m 1780899300	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x03e6a3…
06-08 06:00:40	btc updown 15m 1780898400	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1453a5…
06-08 05:46:48	sol updown 15m 1780897500	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc0a750…
06-08 05:46:16	eth updown 15m 1780897500	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x291941…
06-08 05:39:28	xrp updown 15m 1780896600	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xd435ff…
06-08 05:27:52	xrp updown 15m 1780895700	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x96cff8…
06-08 05:27:52	xrp updown 15m 1780895700	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x85c391…
06-08 05:16:49	sol updown 15m 1780895700	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8600d2…
06-08 05:16:12	eth updown 15m 1780895700	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x1bcdfc…
06-08 05:15:37	btc updown 15m 1780895700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2c73ef…
06-08 05:15:37	btc updown 15m 1780895700	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x077d77…
06-08 05:11:37	xrp updown 15m 1780894800	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xb63961…
06-08 05:02:24	sol updown 15m 1780894800	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x319908…
06-08 05:01:19	eth updown 15m 1780894800	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x99496b…
06-08 05:00:40	btc updown 15m 1780894800	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x683932…
06-08 04:47:06	sol updown 15m 1780893900	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb37247…
06-08 04:46:34	eth updown 15m 1780893900	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x449ad0…
06-08 04:45:43	btc updown 15m 1780893900	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5ed930…
06-08 04:39:27	xrp updown 15m 1780893000	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4bdda3…
06-08 04:32:09	btc updown 15m 1780893000	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc831c1…
06-08 04:32:09	sol updown 15m 1780893000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xafe16f…
06-08 04:32:09	btc updown 15m 1780893000	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x7e7fb8…
06-08 04:31:13	eth updown 15m 1780893000	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0344e5…
06-08 04:16:58	sol updown 15m 1780892100	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5b39e5…
06-08 04:11:33	sol updown 15m 1780891200	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x883d8b…
06-08 04:02:04	sol updown 15m 1780891200	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xebd397…
06-08 04:00:48	btc updown 15m 1780891200	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x33aa8c…
06-08 03:47:10	sol updown 15m 1780890300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x72b7e3…
06-08 03:46:30	eth updown 15m 1780890300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd820f7…
06-08 03:45:54	btc updown 15m 1780890300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc7a8b1…
06-08 03:39:21	sol updown 15m 1780889400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbd518e…
06-08 03:35:51	eth updown 15m 1780889400	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa4f1bb…
06-08 03:35:49	eth updown 15m 1780889400	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0f7e20…
06-08 03:18:03	xrp updown 15m 1780888500	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xfaaf3f…
06-08 03:17:33	btc updown 15m 1780888500	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7b5db5…
06-08 03:17:13	sol updown 15m 1780888500	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe0733c…
06-08 03:16:28	eth updown 15m 1780888500	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4d84f7…
06-08 03:15:45	btc updown 15m 1780888500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc230d2…
06-08 03:02:18	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdc6b8d…
06-08 03:00:48	eth updown 15m 1780887600	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x83d34b…
06-08 02:47:43	sol updown 15m 1780886700	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x883363…
06-08 02:47:18	eth updown 15m 1780886700	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x045260…
06-08 02:47:16	eth updown 15m 1780886700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x682971…
06-08 02:31:10	btc updown 15m 1780885800	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x06acd6…