Thunderous-Hearth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

605

lifetime

Volume

$7.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-11 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 82% $-23

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$335	192	192	+0	open	—	06-01 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$257	209	101	+107	open	—	06-03 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$161	95	95	+0	open	—	06-03 13:53
btc updown 5m 1776770100	3	$128	104	46	+58	open	—	04-21 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$113	145	35	+110	open	—	06-03 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$84	61	36	+25	open	—	06-01 14:29
btc updown 5m 1780570500	1	$80	123	0	+123	open	—	06-04 10:56
btc updown 5m 1776768000	3	$79	104	78	+25	open	—	04-21 10:44
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	2	$77	47	47	+0	open	—	06-11 19:53
btc updown 5m 1776785400	3	$74	77	19	+58	open	—	04-21 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$60	68	0	+68	open	—	05-28 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	05-28 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$60	62	0	+62	open	—	05-27 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	05-28 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	05-28 13:59
btc updown 5m 1776788100	1	$57	66	0	+66	open	—	04-21 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	06-03 15:08
btc updown 5m 1776768600	3	$52	77	32	+45	open	—	04-21 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	06-03 11:14
btc updown 5m 1776784800	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-21 15:23
btc updown 5m 1776795300	3	$50	96	63	+33	open	—	04-21 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	06-03 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	06-01 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	06-03 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	06-03 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	06-03 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	06-03 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	06-03 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	06-01 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	06-01 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 20:33:31	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 second half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x915de7…
06-11 19:53:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x1ed3d4…
06-11 19:41:21	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa10d1e…
06-11 19:34:49	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0xc73482…
06-11 19:13:55	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x132b7b…
06-11 10:29:18	btc updown 5m 1781173500	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf96765…
06-11 09:50:00	btc updown 5m 1781171100	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xce8634…
06-11 09:29:40	btc updown 5m 1781169900	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x541123…
06-11 09:19:52	btc updown 5m 1781169300	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9897a8…
06-11 08:54:46	btc updown 5m 1781167800	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfc0f99…
06-11 08:34:45	btc updown 5m 1781166600	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x5f8193…
06-11 08:34:19	btc updown 5m 1781166600	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5431b1…
06-10 14:54:57	btc updown 5m 1781103000	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaa5d1c…
06-10 11:54:33	btc updown 5m 1781092200	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd36a4e…
06-10 10:49:49	btc updown 5m 1781088300	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe8548f…
06-10 10:38:55	btc updown 5m 1781087700	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa8352c…
06-10 07:09:46	btc updown 5m 1781075100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa5c86e…
06-10 07:09:30	btc updown 5m 1781075100	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x33ec2d…
06-09 12:54:46	btc updown 5m 1781009400	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf2bf4c…
06-09 12:44:13	btc updown 5m 1781008800	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5163c4…
06-05 08:21:03	btc updown 5m 1780647600	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xaea2e0…
06-04 10:56:13	btc updown 5m 1780570500	Down	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0xb8c261…
06-04 10:54:24	btc updown 5m 1780570200	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x04767a…
06-03 15:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9ca5ca…
06-03 15:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	35	23¢	$8	0x08f87c…
06-03 15:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	99	71¢	$70	0xdf6de9…
06-03 15:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe27d57…
06-03 15:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x48e9dd…
06-03 15:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x893a64…
06-03 15:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xde8f75…
06-03 15:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x10d3c6…
06-03 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x4a3109…
06-03 14:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xd9a2a7…
06-03 13:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x819018…
06-03 13:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x813b03…
06-03 13:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	101	86¢	$87	0x278c6e…
06-03 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0xf124c4…
06-03 13:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	95	85¢	$81	0xc151c1…
06-03 13:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0x5a6a7c…
06-03 13:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x4b2730…
06-03 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x5d8f53…
06-03 13:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x60f3d4…
06-03 13:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xca1909…
06-03 11:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xc55bc3…
06-03 11:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x9b2415…
06-03 11:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xc61ce3…
06-03 11:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x90e154…
06-03 11:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb9890c…
06-03 11:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x7827b9…
06-03 10:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x935af0…
06-03 10:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x96aafe…
06-03 10:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x4ce9c6…
06-03 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x6a3e6c…
06-03 10:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd25fba…
06-03 10:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xbc8e04…
06-02 10:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8961df…
06-02 09:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xcf7297…
06-02 07:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xcc0d16…
06-01 15:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x63408a…
06-01 15:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xa59a5f…
06-01 14:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x1bd1c1…
06-01 14:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xa96bed…
06-01 14:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xd37565…
06-01 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xeece5a…
06-01 14:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7e9677…
06-01 14:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x3f15d0…
06-01 14:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xb75f45…
06-01 14:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x16847b…
06-01 14:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x117338…
06-01 14:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8f7486…
06-01 14:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x87bf7f…
06-01 14:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x076655…
06-01 13:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x058433…
06-01 11:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x2665ff…
06-01 11:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4c149c…
06-01 10:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x003dad…
06-01 09:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7bf397…
06-01 08:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xa0a667…
06-01 07:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7a8428…
06-01 07:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x53bc17…
06-01 07:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x7d7290…
06-01 07:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd928ec…
06-01 07:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	83	93¢	$77	0x7b1a32…
06-01 07:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x087a3d…
06-01 07:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9780af…
05-31 13:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x698060…
05-31 12:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcc5c95…
05-31 12:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5b956c…
05-31 12:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x150a1f…
05-31 12:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x929d3b…
05-31 11:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x104443…
05-31 11:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcc8a69…
05-31 11:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x94bb39…
05-31 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xb1adc0…
05-31 11:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef165b…
05-31 11:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4e062f…
05-31 11:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xebf330…
05-28 15:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdad609…
05-28 15:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa884c1…
05-28 15:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9760b1…