Distant-Spaghetti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

708

Trades

1,292

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% +$1,105

Sports

1% 69% +$8

Other

1% 50% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes		+7	$5	80¢	$6	+$1	10-17 00:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:00 UTC	4	$114	86	85	+1	Down	+$22	01-19 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 14:00 UTC	1	$112	220	0	+220	Up	-$112	03-31 12:21
will his hers be the top global netflix show this week january 20 2026	2	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	01-19 00:49
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 04:15 UTC	2	$73	48	48	+1	Down	+$24	01-19 04:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	4	$57	39	39	+0	Down	+$17	10-11 22:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$57	39	39	+0	Up	+$17	10-12 01:11
Solana Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	5	$57	39	39	+0	Down	+$17	10-11 22:56
XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	7	$57	39	39	+0	Down	+$17	10-13 05:41
Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	5	$57	39	39	+0	Down	+$17	10-13 07:04
XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	5	$57	39	39	+0	Up	+$17	10-12 02:13
Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	5	$57	38	38	+0	Down	+$17	10-12 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:15 UTC	2	$57	38	37	+1	Down	+$17	01-19 07:30
XRP Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$56	39	39	+0	Down	+$16	10-11 22:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:15 UTC	1	$50	92	0	+92	Up	-$50	01-06 04:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 08:00 UTC	1	$50	94	0	+94	Up	+$44	01-05 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 05:30 UTC	1	$50	96	0	+96	Down	+$46	01-05 05:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 10:00 UTC	1	$50	94	0	+94	Up	-$50	01-05 09:54
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 08:15 UTC	1	$50	92	0	+92	Up	-$50	01-05 08:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	1	$50	96	0	+96	Down	-$50	01-06 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 02:15 UTC	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	-$50	01-06 02:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 01:30 UTC	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	+$44	01-06 01:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 01:30 UTC	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	+$44	01-06 01:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 03:45 UTC	1	$50	95	0	+95	Down	-$50	01-05 03:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 09:15 UTC	1	$50	92	0	+92	Up	+$42	01-05 09:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 10:30 UTC	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	+$44	01-06 10:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 03:30 UTC	1	$50	88	0	+88	Up	-$50	01-06 03:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 05:30 UTC	1	$50	93	0	+93	Down	+$43	01-05 05:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 03:15 UTC	1	$50	94	0	+94	Up	-$50	01-05 03:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	1	$50	96	0	+96	Down	+$46	01-06 06:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 01:30 UTC	1	$50	93	0	+93	Down	+$43	01-06 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:42:29	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2e0d28…
10-27 08:06:21	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x07d2b6…
10-17 00:36:45	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x988c9f…
10-13 07:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x73c762…
10-13 07:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x6b870a…
10-13 07:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1afc54…
10-13 07:04:49	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$24	0xafe077…
10-13 07:04:46	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x287531…
10-13 07:04:07	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb602a0…
10-13 07:04:05	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x9af016…
10-13 07:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd68d1f…
10-13 06:45:17	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x754857…
10-13 05:41:15	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xfe6e5e…
10-13 05:40:34	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x189cfc…
10-13 05:40:16	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x25232b…
10-13 05:40:09	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x9ec0d6…
10-13 05:40:09	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x07c8d9…
10-13 05:39:54	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x25a6df…
10-13 05:15:53	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0fb04f…
10-13 05:11:54	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x73cd38…
10-13 04:02:15	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3a409a…
10-13 04:01:45	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9d227b…
10-13 04:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc821f9…
10-13 03:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc4bf03…
10-12 03:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xba8800…
10-12 03:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x684615…
10-12 03:58:56	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x48ddde…
10-12 03:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x2a3072…
10-12 03:45:53	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x698fd4…
10-12 03:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xf2ec6f…
10-12 03:30:18	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x52d8a1…
10-12 03:29:38	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6d87cb…
10-12 03:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x34df28…
10-12 03:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1fd9c9…
10-12 03:11:20	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc8622f…
10-12 03:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xc50e81…
10-12 03:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x33f990…
10-12 03:10:53	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4fb9bf…
10-12 03:10:51	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x6f01ea…
10-12 03:10:47	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1a114c…
10-12 03:10:06	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x869f41…
10-12 03:10:06	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6041c2…
10-12 03:09:50	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x1d7ef7…
10-12 03:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0xb7deb5…
10-12 03:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x41c3ce…
10-12 02:59:05	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd559f1…
10-12 02:59:05	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x247f35…
10-12 02:59:03	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xba197f…
10-12 02:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3df8a1…
10-12 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x20f62c…
10-12 02:47:15	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8f7e96…
10-12 02:46:33	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc60258…
10-12 02:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2082e0…
10-12 02:30:00	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x79a781…
10-12 02:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfdd70a…
10-12 02:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x4c6835…
10-12 02:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x07d1a4…
10-12 02:13:26	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa48fd9…
10-12 02:13:26	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x6b0bc5…
10-12 02:13:24	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb3b6ea…
10-12 02:13:24	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x114f22…
10-12 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x479322…
10-12 01:44:23	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xec266f…
10-12 01:43:21	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xd06608…
10-12 01:43:00	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xbe1ee9…
10-12 01:42:53	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x9bfeaf…
10-12 01:42:36	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xaaa9e3…
10-12 01:27:12	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfa2187…
10-12 01:27:11	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x7e08d8…
10-12 01:27:11	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x33a8ad…
10-12 01:17:15	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6d818d…
10-12 01:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x8d9254…
10-12 01:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xb2e0f2…
10-12 00:59:18	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x768843…
10-12 00:43:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xfbf50b…
10-12 00:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xdd46cd…
10-12 00:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb246d8…
10-12 00:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xafd86c…
10-11 22:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x48d350…
10-11 22:58:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x8f3ec4…
10-11 22:58:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x6c9a4d…
10-11 22:56:05	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x5ce22e…
10-11 22:56:02	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xf1344d…
10-11 22:56:02	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xdecda2…
10-11 22:56:02	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xa0801c…
10-11 22:54:57	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	39	91¢	$36	0xff269b…
10-11 22:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe9ab61…
10-11 22:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbe1555…
10-11 22:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x462d24…
10-11 22:28:32	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x22dcc0…
10-11 22:16:12	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc587f0…
10-11 22:15:42	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xa43116…
10-11 22:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8346e1…
10-11 13:16:33	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xc657c8…
10-11 12:25:27	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x055c51…
10-11 12:18:52	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6ffda1…
10-11 09:44:04	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x8dd402…
10-11 09:44:04	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0debe6…
10-11 09:13:25	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc8a8f7…
10-11 08:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xd92562…