Flawed-Infection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

284

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$88

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	+20	$11	99¢	$20	+$9	05-07 10:21
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Down	+21	$17	86¢	$18	+$1	05-07 04:08
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	+11	$9	99¢	$11	+$3	05-07 10:14
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	+12	$6	94¢	$11	+$5	05-07 10:26
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	+10	$5	98¢	$10	+$4	05-07 08:13
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	+11	$8	78¢	$8	+$1	05-07 10:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Down	+5	$3	100¢	$5	+$2	05-07 09:35
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	+5	$3	96¢	$5	+$2	05-07 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:26:27	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xd8cb6f…
05-07 10:25:17	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc2dac3…
05-07 10:21:03	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xeb62f8…
05-07 10:19:21	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x0877ac…
05-07 10:18:41	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb71e9d…
05-07 10:15:08	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x5f0ada…
05-07 10:14:54	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0xd71f26…
05-07 10:12:42	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x77fe96…
05-07 10:03:00	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb4a304…
05-07 09:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9a79ad…
05-07 09:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x985501…
05-07 09:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x347a40…
05-07 09:25:19	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6dcab3…
05-07 09:00:21	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3ba079…
05-07 08:55:06	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x30e5a2…
05-07 08:40:01	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x3c5d59…
05-07 08:39:56	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0x3c27e1…
05-07 08:35:02	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x06b2e4…
05-07 08:34:56	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x518b09…
05-07 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x54edec…
05-07 08:30:18	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc6e6a2…
05-07 08:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xc722a4…
05-07 08:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x16c827…
05-07 08:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x12a811…
05-07 08:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x96f0ba…
05-07 08:13:27	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd4ea12…
05-07 08:13:16	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd7db8c…
05-07 08:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x84ab2d…
05-07 07:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x8693e0…
05-07 07:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x1bf830…
05-07 07:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x854076…
05-07 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1ebd39…
05-07 07:19:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x00eadd…
05-07 07:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x8b538e…
05-07 07:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$8	0xcd2df5…
05-07 06:59:11	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2171cf…
05-07 06:39:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x71e886…
05-07 06:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x519d5e…
05-07 06:19:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x862495…
05-07 06:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x624902…
05-07 06:08:31	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x94f552…
05-07 06:08:14	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x0a5905…
05-07 05:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8be226…
05-07 05:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x86dc75…
05-07 05:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x21e319…
05-07 05:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x7db5b3…
05-07 05:08:05	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x50ff62…
05-07 04:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x413a85…
05-07 04:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xb4ef76…
05-07 04:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x4a4049…
05-07 04:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x22037e…
05-07 04:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa341ba…
05-07 04:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xd5c4ec…
05-07 04:08:07	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc70f4a…
05-07 04:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2265f4…
05-07 04:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa18831…
05-07 03:53:11	Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$8	0xe90bda…
05-07 03:23:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2ebf43…
05-07 02:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3aa176…
05-07 02:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xe2d9bd…
05-07 02:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xfb8a09…
05-07 02:13:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x6a7d2f…
05-07 02:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xd3607b…
05-07 01:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x0b5f17…
05-07 01:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xbbc104…
05-07 01:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x5e2976…
05-07 00:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x1703a1…
05-07 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x43364d…
05-07 00:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x75afaf…
05-07 00:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xf8137a…
05-07 00:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe51213…
05-07 00:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x66b6a4…
05-07 00:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf33f60…
05-07 00:27:27	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0xbd0420…
05-07 00:23:01	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9f7b6f…
05-07 00:17:44	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf76987…
05-07 00:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x92646f…
05-07 00:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x49fdc4…
05-07 00:08:28	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xeab7ea…
05-06 22:56:55	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x8932de…
05-06 22:46:49	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x060c49…
05-06 22:21:20	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd7dde1…
05-06 22:06:36	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x3902c5…
05-06 21:56:15	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xb4329d…
05-06 21:41:15	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x900f84…
05-06 21:31:45	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc62726…
05-06 20:41:28	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xb21dea…
05-06 20:21:33	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x318df4…
05-06 19:50:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x4c610c…
05-06 19:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xc7788d…
05-06 19:35:05	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdb6a76…
05-06 19:24:58	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x933a04…
05-06 19:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x65c408…
05-06 19:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x351fe0…
05-06 19:15:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7b963d…
05-06 19:13:05	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb671a4…
05-06 19:09:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x16362e…
05-06 19:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x661cf3…
05-06 18:54:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xae64f7…
05-06 18:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xce0955…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	182	$5.48K	509	05-07 10:26
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	163	$3.07K	489	05-07 10:26
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	119	$27.0K	782	05-07 10:51
Apprehensive-Clasp 0x1e82…7c1c	114	$609	374	05-07 10:15
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	108	$6.85K	318	05-07 10:09
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	107	$14.3K	517	05-07 10:40
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	103	$11.3K	600	05-07 10:26
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	98	$18.3K	825	05-07 09:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$18	21	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 20:08
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$18	20	10	+10	Up	+$2	05-05 05:35
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$17	12	10	+2	open	—	05-07 08:35
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$17	20	0	+20	Down	+$3	05-06 00:24
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	2	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	05-07 04:08
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$16	22	10	+12	Down	$-10	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$16	11	10	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 00:39
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$15	24	0	+24	Down	$-15	05-06 04:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$14	11	10	+1	Up	+$2	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 20:08
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$13	11	10	+1	Up	+$2	05-05 19:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$13	21	0	+21	Up	+$8	05-05 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$12	21	0	+21	Down	$-12	05-06 08:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$12	11	10	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 18:54
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$12	22	0	+22	Down	+$10	05-05 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$11	13	10	+3	Down	+$4	05-07 04:43
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$11	11	4	+7	open	—	05-07 08:40
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$11	18	0	+18	Down	$-11	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-07 06:33
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	05-07 10:21
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$10	11	5	+6	Down	+$4	05-05 19:04
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-07 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	05-07 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Down	$-9	05-06 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	1	$9	0	10	-10	Up	$-1	05-05 11:50
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Down	$-9	05-05 01:44