Noisy-Ruckus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$328

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-25 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 33% $-0

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	2	$20	11	9	+1	open	—	01-22 19:14
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$19	10	9	+1	Yes	$-0	05-03 16:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?	2	$18	10	9	+1	open	—	05-03 16:56
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$16	9	8	+1	open	—	03-04 06:23
will aleksandra goryachkina win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	2	$16	9	8	+1	open	—	04-13 05:07
will tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in q1 2026	2	$16	9	8	+1	open	—	03-15 16:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$16	8	7	+1	open	—	05-25 02:41
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	2	$14	8	7	+1	open	—	04-13 05:03
bitcoin above 60k on march 4	2	$14	8	6	+1	open	—	03-04 06:26
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	2	$14	8	6	+1	open	—	04-13 05:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$14	8	6	+1	open	—	05-25 02:40
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	3	$13	7	6	+1	open	—	04-13 05:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$13	7	6	+1	No	$-0	05-03 17:00
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	2	$12	6	5	+1	open	—	03-16 16:18
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	2	$12	6	5	+1	open	—	04-13 05:10
will a candidate win outright in the texas gop senate primary	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	03-04 06:31
will alan bond win the nj 11 special election	2	$10	5	4	+1	open	—	04-13 05:12
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	2	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	03-16 16:19
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	05-03 17:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 36 37f	2	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	03-04 06:35
highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 11corbelow	2	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	04-13 05:14
will there be at least 750 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 8 i8 892 334 598	2	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	01-31 07:48
will melania opening weekend box office be less than 3m	2	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	01-31 07:50
will iran strike two countries in march	2	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	03-04 06:38
will return to silent hill opening weekend box office be less than 1m	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-22 19:15
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	2	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	03-04 06:24
solana above 70 on april 13	2	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	04-13 05:15
si above 40 jan 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-22 19:14
gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 13 2026 15pt95	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-13 05:16
google gemini parlay	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-31 07:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 02:41:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9e2f6c…
05-25 02:41:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfc35a…
05-25 02:40:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf71c77…
05-25 02:40:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x134af4…
05-03 17:08:08	Palantir total customers above 960 in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7295b3…
05-03 17:05:20	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc8bfca…
05-03 17:05:08	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84318f…
05-03 17:00:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x46522c…
05-03 16:59:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8a383c…
05-03 16:56:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x58788c…
05-03 16:55:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eba87…
05-03 16:55:14	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa2d53e…
05-03 16:54:42	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf781e5…
04-13 05:16:03	gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 13 2026 15pt95	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x62ebf2…
04-13 05:15:41	solana above 70 on april 13	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc340a9…
04-13 05:15:31	solana above 70 on april 13	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x31ff5b…
04-13 05:14:51	highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 11corbelow	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0ea9ad…
04-13 05:14:35	highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 11corbelow	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb31137…
04-13 05:12:03	will alan bond win the nj 11 special election	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0e6288…
04-13 05:11:51	will alan bond win the nj 11 special election	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x548765…
04-13 05:10:59	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf9a997…
04-13 05:10:41	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b70c0…
04-13 05:10:05	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6b0747…
04-13 05:09:15	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xda037b…
04-13 05:07:37	will aleksandra goryachkina win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x6b3e03…
04-13 05:07:25	will aleksandra goryachkina win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x591948…
04-13 05:06:25	dota2 glyph yg 2026 04 13	GLYPH	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5e060d…
04-13 05:05:13	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc747e6…
04-13 05:04:21	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x706c97…
04-13 05:03:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xebc842…
04-13 05:03:09	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6c6e58…
04-13 05:01:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeacc29…
03-16 16:19:09	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x493268…
03-16 16:18:53	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x632b5d…
03-16 16:18:03	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcd9417…
03-16 16:17:47	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdcebad…
03-16 16:17:19	wta brengle fruhvir 2026 03 15 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c3911…
03-15 16:04:15	will tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xe4d6c1…
03-15 16:04:03	will tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9408e3…
03-15 16:03:31	lulu quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 17 2026 4pt78	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa53d94…
03-04 06:41:31	andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 370 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x847560…
03-04 06:40:47	will fredrick love win the 2026 arkansas governor democratic primary election	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x251383…
03-04 06:38:29	will iran strike two countries in march	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3588c2…
03-04 06:38:19	will iran strike two countries in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd6ffd4…
03-04 06:35:51	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 36 37f	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0b32f7…
03-04 06:35:35	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdfbd11…
03-04 06:32:41	bbwi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 1pt75	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3611ad…
03-04 06:31:11	will a candidate win outright in the texas gop senate primary	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6dbf59…
03-04 06:30:53	will a candidate win outright in the texas gop senate primary	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x112e90…
03-04 06:29:55	googl above 275 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3dd51e…
03-04 06:29:03	will freecash get paid real money be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x251d1a…
03-04 06:26:25	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x90a26e…
03-04 06:24:35	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x689d23…
03-04 06:24:17	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a52d2…
03-04 06:23:29	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2321e8…
03-04 06:22:35	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xce4b9f…
03-04 06:21:55	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd286fd…
01-31 07:51:42	google gemini parlay	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c94ed…
01-31 07:50:58	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e704d…
01-31 07:50:28	will melania opening weekend box office be less than 3m	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc9410f…
01-31 07:49:12	will melania opening weekend box office be less than 3m	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd9b6a8…
01-31 07:49:00	will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb2e1a…
01-31 07:48:18	will there be at least 750 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 8 i8 892 334 598	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f146b…
01-31 07:47:38	will there be at least 750 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 8 i8 892 334 598	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x62b7d4…
01-22 19:20:58	maduro trial scheduled by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b062b…
01-22 19:20:34	will arthur smith be the next pittsburgh steelers head coach	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcde053…
01-22 19:15:26	will return to silent hill opening weekend box office be less than 1m	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84bc6c…
01-22 19:15:04	will greenland 2 migration make 25 million or more domestically by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x36bda0…
01-22 19:14:34	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdd442a…
01-22 19:14:12	si above 40 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9e47f…
01-22 19:07:00	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcb67eb…