Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$300

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

549

Trades

576

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-01

last 11-03 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 50% +$259

Other

11% 49% +$37

Politics

9% 52% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	10-26 07:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	10-26 07:19
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+6	$5	80¢	$5	$0	10-26 07:19
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+6	$5	74¢	$5	$0	10-26 07:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	1	$10	18	+18	Down	-$10	10-24 15:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	1	$10	18	+18	Up	+$8	10-24 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	1	$10	18	+18	Up	+$9	10-29 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Down	-$10	10-30 01:00
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 03:15 UTC	1	$10	34	+34	Up	-$10	09-18 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$10	21	+21	Down	+$11	10-29 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$10	21	+21	Up	-$10	10-29 21:10
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$10	21	+21	Up	+$11	10-23 15:45
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Up	+$9	10-28 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$10	28	+28	Up	+$19	10-29 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$10	25	+25	Down	+$16	10-25 02:40
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$10	30	+30	Down	+$21	10-27 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$10	22	+22	Up	+$12	11-01 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$10	25	+25	Up	-$10	10-26 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$10	27	+27	Down	+$17	10-29 01:55
BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Up	+$10	10-24 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	+$10	10-24 15:30
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	27	+27	Up	-$10	10-29 20:15
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$10	27	+27	Down	-$10	10-29 02:35
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$10	33	+33	Down	-$10	10-23 22:55
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	-$10	11-02 01:10
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Up	-$10	10-27 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$10	22	+22	Up	+$12	10-30 04:05
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Down	-$10	10-29 02:15
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:15 UTC	1	$10	58	+58	Up	-$10	09-18 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Down	-$10	10-27 13:00
XRP Up or Down - September 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	27	+27	Up	-$10	09-21 00:20
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$10	22	+22	Up	-$10	10-31 11:45
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$10	21	+21	Up	-$10	10-28 08:30
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$10	25	+25	Up	-$10	10-26 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 06:50:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6564b7…
11-03 06:50:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x1cb9ad…
11-03 06:50:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb69921…
11-03 06:50:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x30c90e…
11-03 06:50:30	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x355f63…
11-03 06:50:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1b7f2c…
11-02 14:05:06	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x9c7b11…
11-02 13:45:06	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc29132…
11-02 13:20:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xcd111e…
11-02 13:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x5b20ff…
11-02 13:20:00	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x591bf8…
11-02 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfd7240…
11-02 01:15:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfa9bcd…
11-02 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x949f9e…
11-02 01:10:00	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa8e302…
11-02 00:01:19	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb26dff…
11-01 20:38:55	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc79075…
11-01 19:10:00	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x52cbe6…
11-01 19:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1e86b2…
11-01 19:00:24	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xbe935d…
11-01 19:00:21	Will Trump say "Boeing" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x99bf5b…
11-01 19:00:18	Will Trump say "Travel Ban" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfdd78a…
11-01 17:31:33	Will Trump say "Alaska" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xaca181…
11-01 15:53:28	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9c90bb…
11-01 15:00:33	Will Trump say "Electricity" or "Chip" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x76d364…
11-01 15:00:30	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc893a3…
11-01 08:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x4b5b1d…
11-01 03:05:06	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x1b37c5…
10-31 11:45:01	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x5ce057…
10-31 11:45:00	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x0dffcf…
10-30 22:44:09	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcedd12…
10-30 21:59:25	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb4a8f5…
10-30 21:17:25	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x24080f…
10-30 21:17:22	israel x lebanon effective ceasefire by november 30	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x610866…
10-30 21:17:21	will russia capture bilytske by november 30 2026	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa98ff8…
10-30 17:00:03	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbd9bc8…
10-30 17:00:00	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa56eae…
10-30 16:59:57	Will Trump say "Two Percent" or "2%" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xebd5ce…
10-30 13:45:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x2c9fa9…
10-30 13:10:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8e0231…
10-30 04:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xd2a6a5…
10-30 01:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x81141f…
10-30 00:30:01	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xab9b8d…
10-30 00:30:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2a6d30…
10-29 21:11:25	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc1e1aa…
10-29 21:11:24	Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x94bd99…
10-29 21:11:21	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by November 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xabcd65…
10-29 21:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xf95120…
10-29 21:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x809783…
10-29 20:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7147e1…
10-29 20:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9e2922…
10-29 20:15:06	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xf655f3…
10-29 15:15:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xc6701f…
10-29 15:15:02	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa9aca9…
10-29 15:15:02	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa79eef…
10-29 14:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xe0dc88…
10-29 14:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xe26c70…
10-29 14:45:02	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xe01e09…
10-29 14:45:02	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x8971c7…
10-29 14:45:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4baa44…
10-29 14:40:02	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xb454e3…
10-29 14:35:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x9fc499…
10-29 12:01:59	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xda1f65…
10-29 10:31:59	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6efd29…
10-29 10:31:55	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1cfc6e…
10-29 05:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfa4fbe…
10-29 03:16:02	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x412847…
10-29 02:35:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3ecc7c…
10-29 02:35:02	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x34284f…
10-29 02:35:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xb2a16e…
10-29 02:15:01	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xbe5379…
10-29 02:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcba7c0…
10-29 02:00:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x39585d…
10-29 01:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xa7f2d7…
10-29 01:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x9d00cd…
10-29 01:50:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x12c1b9…
10-29 01:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x378c1d…
10-29 01:45:02	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x7aa7fe…
10-29 01:35:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe41d57…
10-29 01:13:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xae398b…
10-28 20:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x665631…
10-28 20:05:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4a3bb1…
10-28 19:56:22	Will Trump say "Cleveland" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x073129…
10-28 19:36:59	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8efd46…
10-28 19:14:25	Will Trump say "Climate Change" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7bfcb8…
10-28 17:01:22	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4f6459…
10-28 17:01:20	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x03c6f7…
10-28 17:01:17	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7ab97e…
10-28 17:01:16	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x035020…
10-28 17:01:13	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x159ba1…
10-28 16:21:13	Will Warsh say "Soft" or "Softening" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x149134…
10-28 16:11:14	Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc410bb…
10-28 15:55:08	Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd7a86b…
10-28 14:15:26	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x35c38d…
10-28 14:01:11	Will "Korea" or "Korean" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xeccb07…
10-28 14:01:07	Will "Green" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf4870e…
10-28 14:01:04	Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xed98c8…
10-28 13:57:31	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x199850…
10-28 13:50:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x1d3367…
10-28 13:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x45fb64…