Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$485

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

115

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-18

last 09-29 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

95% 40% +$574

Crypto

5% 33% -$88

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	07-20 09:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,164	1,164	+0	Yes	+$1,054	08-28 17:57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,076	1,076	+0	Yes	+$921	08-04 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$1.2K	972	972	+0	Yes	+$758	08-14 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$750	2,098	0	+2,098	No	-$750	09-13 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	6	$633	405	405	+0	Yes	+$175	09-15 18:02
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	4	$590	2,069	0	+2,069	Yes	+$1,479	08-23 21:28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$531	1,056	0	+1,056	No	-$531	09-17 06:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$500	1,241	0	+1,241	Yes	+$742	08-20 12:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$485	688	688	+0	Yes	-$17	09-17 18:57
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	6	$479	2,005	0	+2,005	No	-$479	08-23 21:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	8	$390	1,103	1,103	+0	No	-$238	08-28 14:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$370	1,039	0	+1,039	No	-$370	08-11 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14?	2	$344	206	206	+0	Yes	+$68	09-14 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	6	$327	503	0	+503	No	-$327	09-16 12:39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$326	719	719	+0	No	-$4	09-29 17:13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$280	1,009	0	+1,009	Yes	+$729	09-12 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 13?	2	$261	161	161	+0	Yes	+$61	09-13 18:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$250	688	0	+688	No	-$250	09-11 13:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	3	$242	1,066	1,066	+0	No	-$158	09-13 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$233	1,078	0	+1,078	No	-$233	08-08 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$215	609	0	+609	No	-$215	08-19 18:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$204	626	0	+626	No	-$204	09-02 05:29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$201	457	0	+457	Yes	+$256	08-17 11:57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$200	713	0	+713	No	-$200	09-02 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	8	$200	513	0	+513	No	-$200	09-18 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17?	1	$167	519	0	+519	No	-$167	09-16 13:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$160	1,091	0	+1,091	No	-$160	08-27 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$151	402	0	+402	No	-$151	09-29 17:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$150	1,010	0	+1,010	No	-$150	08-11 09:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$150	567	0	+567	No	-$150	08-17 11:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 17:14:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	402	38¢	$151	0x0ff726…
09-29 17:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	719	22¢	$161	0x1efbde…
09-29 00:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	719	23¢	$165	0xd951e5…
09-18 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8ab654…
09-18 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x7df3eb…
09-18 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	37	39¢	$15	0x45385a…
09-18 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x40aebe…
09-18 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x10837e…
09-18 07:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	319	39¢	$124	0x9d90af…
09-18 07:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	81	39¢	$32	0x94a194…
09-18 07:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x838148…
09-17 23:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0a5339…
09-17 22:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x589155…
09-17 19:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7c0800…
09-17 18:57:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	688	34¢	$234	0xa86e54…
09-17 06:10:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,056	50¢	$531	0x11e888…
09-17 06:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	687	15¢	$100	0xef94c8…
09-16 13:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	519	32¢	$167	0xe13a3a…
09-16 12:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xce367a…
09-16 07:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xfbef3d…
09-16 05:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	688	36¢	$251	0x983e4e…
09-16 00:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x95eed8…
09-15 18:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x4fe7c1…
09-15 18:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x54f183…
09-15 18:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	405	100¢	$404	0x861792…
09-15 09:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbcbc5e…
09-14 21:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x70a163…
09-14 21:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0xbfbe1d…
09-13 22:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	206	67¢	$138	0x59b8ad…
09-13 19:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xed47ef…
09-13 18:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x8ef22c…
09-13 17:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x7e9a34…
09-13 17:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8b5eea…
09-13 17:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xce8adb…
09-13 07:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,098	36¢	$750	0xe145cf…
09-13 07:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,066	4¢	$42	0x3efcd0…
09-12 08:49:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	423	26¢	$110	0x90363e…
09-12 08:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x983a36…
09-11 17:40:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	502	20¢	$100	0xf1e5eb…
09-11 16:54:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	586	29¢	$170	0xdbd1ac…
09-11 16:22:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	564	18¢	$100	0xcd0323…
09-11 13:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x8fde7a…
09-11 13:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	416	36¢	$150	0xd86c83…
09-02 05:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	713	28¢	$200	0xc45bff…
09-02 05:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	626	33¢	$204	0xfdd06a…
08-28 17:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,164	100¢	$1,162	0x35c6ad…
08-28 14:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x3902c0…
08-28 14:17:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x73c814…
08-28 14:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,086	7¢	$74	0x8c615a…
08-28 11:23:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0xc26c17…
08-27 23:44:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xed426e…
08-27 15:44:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,091	15¢	$160	0x0d75ff…
08-26 23:00:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x4582bd…
08-26 18:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xdd6afa…
08-26 17:16:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,030	5¢	$55	0x676601…
08-26 14:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3a100f…
08-26 08:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,164	9¢	$108	0xd3938e…
08-26 08:39:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,051	29¢	$300	0x67ab8d…
08-26 08:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbe1e96…
08-26 08:38:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe91e47…
08-26 08:38:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x65176b…
08-26 08:37:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8e53cf…
08-26 08:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x994058…
08-26 08:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x36bef2…
08-26 08:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1edda5…
08-26 08:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa48e3c…
08-26 08:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf727f5…
08-26 08:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xee69e1…
08-26 08:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3ba929…
08-24 09:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfb7372…
08-24 09:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3bb048…
08-24 09:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcde3f4…
08-24 09:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x95cd63…
08-24 09:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x92c07f…
08-24 09:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0171f5…
08-24 09:38:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,263	3¢	$42	0x4b69aa…
08-23 23:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd8da4a…
08-23 23:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x77f206…
08-23 23:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5aeb25…
08-23 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x82f087…
08-23 21:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7c9401…
08-23 21:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,025	29¢	$293	0x9f8477…
08-23 21:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,083	36¢	$390	0xa423d9…
08-23 19:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd89b94…
08-23 19:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd3ce1a…
08-23 19:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x938499…
08-23 19:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x84f9b2…
08-23 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x714aff…
08-23 19:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xd81651…
08-23 19:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xc80e62…
08-23 19:40:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x512083…
08-23 19:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0xc591be…
08-23 19:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x31d8b1…
08-23 19:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x00fad2…
08-23 17:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,139	1¢	$10	0xc88f04…
08-23 10:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xaad014…
08-23 10:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2daeec…
08-23 10:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x54605c…
08-23 10:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5d8565…
08-23 10:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xca40c5…