Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$75.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$506

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 04-01 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

86% 50% $-73

Other

14% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$26.5K	31,166	0	+31,166	open	—	02-16 06:51
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$23.5K	50,044	0	+50,044	open	—	02-16 06:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10.0K	12,049	0	+12,049	open	—	02-10 06:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$3.9K	5,084	0	+5,084	open	—	02-24 07:20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$3.2K	6,601	0	+6,601	open	—	02-24 07:33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$3.1K	4,673	0	+4,673	open	—	02-24 07:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	728	728	+0	Yes	+$63	04-01 08:06
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	4	$1.1K	566	566	+0	open	—	02-14 07:26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	2,926	2,926	+0	open	—	02-28 08:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$685	1,056	1,056	+0	Yes	$-136	04-01 08:05
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$559	563	0	+563	open	—	02-13 10:57
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	3	$310	160	160	+0	open	—	04-01 08:04
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	3	$282	146	146	+0	open	—	04-01 08:05
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$151	81	81	+0	open	—	04-01 08:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$76	85	0	+85	open	—	02-23 10:45
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	1	$52	61	0	+61	open	—	02-23 10:44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	89	$50	0	49,964	-49,964	open	—	02-28 09:34
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	3	$48	104	104	+0	open	—	04-01 08:06
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$26	40	0	+40	open	—	02-24 07:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$10	0	4,756	-4,756	open	—	03-01 06:28
btc updown 5m 1771413600	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 11:23
btc updown 5m 1771353000	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	02-17 18:31
btc updown 5m 1771352700	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-17 18:25
btc updown 15m 1771353000	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-17 18:40
btc updown 5m 1771352100	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-17 18:19
btc updown 5m 1771351800	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-17 18:14
btc updown 5m 1771353900	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-17 18:48
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	5	$1	0	708	-708	open	—	02-28 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-01 08:06:21	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	81	94¢	$76	0x5c8662…
04-01 08:06:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	728	90¢	$655	0xaf7eda…
04-01 08:06:01	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	104	22¢	$23	0x59c470…
04-01 08:05:39	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0xd60ca5…
04-01 08:05:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,056	26¢	$274	0xd77df1…
04-01 08:04:49	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x4f7a84…
03-02 07:01:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	655	81¢	$531	0x47cff9…
03-02 07:00:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	947	39¢	$369	0xad3d22…
03-01 06:28:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	4,756	0¢	$10	0x99b578…
02-28 09:34:01	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	238	0¢	$0	0xb43698…
02-28 09:32:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x15c3ac…
02-28 09:32:31	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x6d126f…
02-28 09:31:49	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x18430c…
02-28 09:31:23	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xeba7ed…
02-28 09:31:23	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xcd2842…
02-28 09:31:07	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	455	0¢	$0	0x9f695e…
02-28 09:31:03	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0x385dc4…
02-28 09:30:07	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	997	0¢	$1	0xbc65b1…
02-28 09:29:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xfb7c68…
02-28 09:29:03	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xb13d52…
02-28 09:28:47	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb36292…
02-28 09:28:45	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x7659cc…
02-28 09:28:33	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	206	0¢	$0	0x6f31cc…
02-28 09:27:53	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	145	0¢	$0	0x93d203…
02-28 09:27:39	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x71e05c…
02-28 09:27:33	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0x194256…
02-28 09:27:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0xb613c0…
02-28 09:26:51	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x29b931…
02-28 09:26:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	471	0¢	$0	0x341305…
02-28 09:26:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x3509e9…
02-28 09:25:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x413414…
02-28 09:24:33	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xba4aeb…
02-28 09:22:31	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xf64376…
02-28 09:21:41	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x71ed28…
02-28 09:20:07	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	244	0¢	$0	0x1a1a1b…
02-28 09:20:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x20f985…
02-28 09:18:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x157ead…
02-28 09:17:57	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe15aed…
02-28 09:17:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x705b42…
02-28 09:16:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xec3215…
02-28 09:16:17	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xbb884a…
02-28 09:16:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xfa06e1…
02-28 09:15:49	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	0¢	$0	0xb202d9…
02-28 09:15:33	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x85cddc…
02-28 09:14:47	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xd4331e…
02-28 09:14:47	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x00eaf3…
02-28 09:13:21	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,072	0¢	$1	0x40481b…
02-28 09:12:59	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x7ee4d9…
02-28 09:12:21	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xb8343a…
02-28 09:12:13	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	356	0¢	$0	0x9b028b…
02-28 09:10:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x85c1a5…
02-28 09:10:01	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,786	0¢	$11	0x70039b…
02-28 09:09:53	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x88f459…
02-28 09:08:27	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x49fb56…
02-28 09:07:47	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x02ddf2…
02-28 09:07:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x938b01…
02-28 09:07:27	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdc830c…
02-28 09:06:27	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x003cb3…
02-28 09:06:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,050	0¢	$1	0xd4b4ad…
02-28 09:05:59	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	263	0¢	$0	0xee4ef0…
02-28 09:04:29	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xfb9021…
02-28 09:03:47	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xa1097f…
02-28 09:03:23	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0xcd2b45…
02-28 09:03:15	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x4d419b…
02-28 09:02:21	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	134	0¢	$0	0xe8eb92…
02-28 09:02:09	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,177	0¢	$4	0x903d2d…
02-28 09:01:59	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x897814…
02-28 09:00:23	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	267	0¢	$0	0x74ead2…
02-28 09:00:17	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xf578e2…
02-28 08:59:59	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	260	0¢	$0	0x2a9cb1…
02-28 08:59:45	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x568aeb…
02-28 08:59:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x9f87dc…
02-28 08:58:45	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	163	0¢	$0	0x732c43…
02-28 08:58:19	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	692	0¢	$1	0xb82f56…
02-28 08:58:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xe410b4…
02-28 08:56:43	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0x8e2890…
02-28 08:56:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8b2109…
02-28 08:56:27	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x0d29fa…
02-28 08:56:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,080	0¢	$1	0x72d47d…
02-28 08:55:09	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x078516…
02-28 08:54:33	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x0bbcdc…
02-28 08:54:05	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0x1e5ea5…
02-28 08:53:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	352	0¢	$0	0x73173d…
02-28 08:53:03	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	187	0¢	$0	0xeb0588…
02-28 08:52:55	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xa8cfd5…
02-28 08:52:55	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x6ed529…
02-28 08:51:33	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x22ac40…
02-28 08:51:13	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x05f2ad…
02-28 08:50:25	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	515	0¢	$1	0x4e6974…
02-28 08:49:59	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x67194a…
02-28 08:49:59	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x477ef4…
02-28 08:49:49	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xc19231…
02-28 08:49:37	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xfe4ccd…
02-28 08:49:15	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0xdeeac0…
02-28 08:48:57	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	626	0¢	$1	0x044a14…
02-28 08:48:47	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,002	0¢	$2	0x4bb92b…
02-28 08:48:15	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	124	0¢	$0	0xd282bd…
02-28 08:48:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	196	0¢	$0	0x0a64ae…
02-28 08:48:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	123	0¢	$0	0xf2383c…
02-28 08:47:51	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x915497…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Outstanding-Change 0xc03f…249d	27	$52.4K	818	05-08 18:04
(anonymous) 0x2b36…473b	22	$25.7K	1,567	02-18 11:24
(anonymous) 0x7022…f64e	21	$103.2K	5,485	02-27 23:27
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	21	$85.3K	594	04-28 23:08
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	21	$10.6K	754	05-01 10:21
(anonymous) 0x78d2…7a2b	21	$1.44K	460	03-29 17:26
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	20	$7.82M	15,545	05-09 12:49
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	20	$2.38M	7,673	05-08 19:22