Live-Exception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$921

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

200

Trades

737

lifetime

Volume

$27.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-30 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

44% 16% -$957

Politics

32% 30% -$30

Tech

13% 57% +$2

Crypto

10% 69% +$4

Sports

1% 23% +$59

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes		+50	$14	3¢	$2	-$12	05-03 14:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$2.3K	1,192	1,192	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 07:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$1.7K	870	870	+0	Yes	-$1	04-09 09:11
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	-$4	04-28 08:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	7	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	+$0	04-17 07:57
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	16	$1.1K	965	965	+0	No	+$0	04-27 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	+$0	04-09 05:33
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	4	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	$0	04-09 07:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$990	500	500	+0	No	$0	04-27 11:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$981	2,200	1,000	+1,200	No	-$1	06-01 17:26
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	3	$589	500	500	+0	No	-$31	04-28 13:50
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$578	300	300	+0	No	-$1	05-18 17:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$576	300	300	+0	Yes	$0	04-02 05:58
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$549	361	361	+0	No	+$0	04-17 02:14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$416	680	0	+680	No	-$416	06-25 14:17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$399	203	203	+0	No	$0	04-06 05:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	14	$388	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-02 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$386	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$383	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-06 06:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$381	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:19
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$330	500	0	+500	Yes	+$170	06-23 13:12
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$328	250	250	+0	Gentle Mates	-$22	05-10 07:27
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 120 139	3	$311	232	232	+0	No	-$5	04-16 10:17
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$310	575	0	+575	Yes	+$264	07-04 07:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$296	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 08:40
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1	$294	700	0	+700	Yes	-$294	06-17 19:31
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	1	$288	600	0	+600	No	-$288	06-27 07:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	5	$254	300	300	+0	open	—	06-04 17:46
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$249	580	0	+580	No	-$249	07-07 16:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$246	124	124	+0	No	+$0	03-30 05:54
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	1	$233	530	0	+530	Yes	+$297	06-30 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 05:47:24	will other mommy score at least 40 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261012	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x4f5100…
09-30 05:47:11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xabb6d4…
09-30 05:44:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x8a6051…
09-30 05:32:44	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1a0b24…
09-30 05:32:00	americaptgov removed by october 31 1	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x3ad353…
09-30 05:30:38	americaptgov removed by october 31 1	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbfab9f…
09-30 05:27:50	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x42a21d…
09-30 05:26:21	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa7a769…
09-30 05:26:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x9b880b…
09-30 05:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xc439d9…
09-30 05:13:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x01546e…
09-30 05:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x7a4662…
09-30 05:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xe6a26b…
09-30 05:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x7e884e…
09-30 05:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x061b8b…
09-30 05:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5a438c…
09-30 05:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbe9736…
09-30 04:53:32	will other mommy score at least 40 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261012	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x14dd02…
09-30 04:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x12029d…
09-30 04:49:32	americaptgov removed by october 31 1	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3e3899…
09-29 07:58:29	will mark stone record 30 goals in the 2026 27 regular season	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x61f38e…
09-29 07:58:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x33e69d…
09-29 07:57:50	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x8fc413…
09-29 07:57:39	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xfda151…
09-29 07:53:05	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeec8c1…
09-29 07:53:05	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x675cc7…
09-29 07:53:03	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x9357a2…
09-29 07:52:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x81bfa9…
09-29 07:51:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x39c842…
09-29 07:50:53	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0xa018df…
09-29 07:50:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x870bd2…
09-29 07:50:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x4aeda6…
09-29 07:49:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd5bb4b…
09-29 07:49:02	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb225e2…
09-29 07:48:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xa99144…
09-29 07:48:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0x48687c…
09-29 07:44:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x21fba5…
09-29 07:42:47	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x4d129c…
09-29 07:42:29	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xca27a8…
09-29 07:42:06	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x9d89e3…
09-29 07:38:38	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x7d0381…
09-29 07:38:33	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x325c38…
09-29 07:33:35	will mark stone record 30 goals in the 2026 27 regular season	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x40d57b…
09-29 07:30:29	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x00b837…
09-29 07:29:11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x560793…
09-29 07:28:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1eb805…
09-29 07:28:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x0641d7…
09-29 07:24:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x09afc0…
09-29 07:24:11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x84ffc4…
09-29 07:23:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xcab0e7…
09-29 07:22:54	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0xa9cf1a…
09-29 07:18:06	trump insults anthropic ceo by october 4	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd59bf1…
09-29 07:15:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe6379e…
09-29 07:14:21	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x641153…
09-29 07:14:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf03b6f…
09-29 07:14:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x3cd73d…
09-29 07:12:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0x2d20c1…
09-29 07:07:38	Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xd3981d…
09-29 07:07:06	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x905e5d…
09-29 07:00:50	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x20adf0…
09-29 07:00:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb521d6…
09-29 06:59:02	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x671aa5…
09-29 06:59:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x47c6f5…
09-29 06:57:33	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe0cbd7…
09-29 06:57:33	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x32148a…
09-29 06:56:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xce563e…
09-29 06:56:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x2c70ba…
09-29 06:54:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xafa36b…
09-29 06:54:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x6ba49e…
09-29 06:54:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x5804a1…
09-29 06:52:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd309c6…
09-29 06:34:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x93523e…
09-29 06:33:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4f434f…
09-29 06:33:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xe771b1…
09-29 06:30:56	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x62edb7…
09-29 06:29:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0xe2e01b…
09-29 06:29:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x809f65…
09-29 06:28:33	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x1cc9a3…
09-29 06:28:26	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0xf62106…
09-29 06:28:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x86a1ee…
09-29 06:28:06	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x5640ca…
09-29 06:27:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x70306a…
09-29 06:27:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x47e07e…
09-29 06:25:59	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xbd4ea3…
09-29 06:25:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xf45972…
09-29 06:25:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x966a83…
09-29 06:25:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x85d185…
09-29 06:23:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x927821…
09-29 06:20:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1f0c65…
09-29 06:18:59	trump insults anthropic ceo by october 4	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc72ddb…
09-29 06:14:59	Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3a5202…
09-26 08:46:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xb20e38…
09-26 08:46:03	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x471060…
09-26 08:45:30	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbf7973…
09-26 08:37:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x560702…
09-26 08:36:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x05a42b…
09-26 07:26:15	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9acf58…
09-26 07:25:14	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x31d633…
09-26 07:15:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x65aa44…
09-26 07:15:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4dcd1e…