Live-Exception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-07 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$0

Other

29% 0% $-24

Tech

16% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No		-100	$-93	99¢	$-99	$-6	05-30 20:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$2.3K	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	04-28 07:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$1.7K	870	870	+0	open	—	04-09 09:11
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$1.2K	596	596	+0	open	—	04-28 08:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	7	$1.1K	570	570	+0	open	—	04-17 07:57
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	16	$1.1K	965	965	+0	open	—	04-27 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.1K	580	580	+0	open	—	04-09 05:33
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	4	$1.0K	510	510	+0	open	—	04-09 07:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$990	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 11:20
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	05-18 17:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$576	300	300	+0	open	—	04-02 05:58
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$549	361	361	+0	open	—	04-17 02:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$399	203	203	+0	open	—	04-06 05:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	14	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	04-02 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 06:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	04-06 06:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$381	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:19
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$328	250	250	+0	Gentle Mates	$-22	05-10 07:27
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 120 139	3	$311	232	232	+0	open	—	04-16 10:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	03-30 05:54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 05:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 07:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	5	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 07:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	4	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-28 21:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$138	170	175	-5	open	—	03-23 17:01
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$117	129	129	+0	open	—	07-07 09:52
trump out as president by march 31	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	03-24 14:59
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 05:54
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 100 119	9	$99	115	205	-90	open	—	03-14 17:42
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	03-27 12:06
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	2	$96	93	93	+0	open	—	04-19 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 09:52:26	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	129	46¢	$59	0xb82062…
07-06 21:37:16	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	348	23¢	$80	0xe166a0…
07-02 12:29:08	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	129	45¢	$58	0xdf059d…
06-29 10:00:01	will lab reach 18 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x353bc5…
06-29 07:58:07	will lab reach 18 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdeac19…
06-29 07:33:59	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf94bda…
06-29 07:32:11	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xeb76c0…
06-29 07:30:44	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x3f2dc2…
06-29 07:29:20	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x3fd6b4…
06-29 07:28:34	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x98cb0e…
06-29 07:28:16	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb675af…
06-29 07:27:41	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9312a0…
06-29 07:23:16	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe075e6…
06-29 07:05:26	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x6ce0c0…
06-29 07:03:40	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x1d3faf…
06-12 09:40:04	will kai havertz score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145926125	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xee3424…
06-12 09:39:36	will christian pulisic score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649593	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x66f135…
06-12 09:39:25	will julian alvarez score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411102	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x76c618…
06-12 09:38:57	will christian pulisic score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649593	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe25f40…
06-12 09:32:22	will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x84d1f9…
06-12 09:31:27	will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1da903…
06-12 09:29:10	will julian alvarez score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411102	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x6599a9…
06-12 09:20:45	will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x28ea95…
06-12 09:20:04	will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5c2058…
06-09 15:09:18	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	SELL	309	1¢	$4	0xd1c771…
06-09 15:09:07	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xc48e5c…
06-05 18:51:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xfda9c5…
06-04 17:45:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x994dde…
06-04 10:18:04	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$37	0x432d5a…
06-01 17:26:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0xe7bec2…
06-01 17:02:01	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x1d6daa…
06-01 15:30:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x1ad98d…
06-01 15:28:00	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$38	0x56d76d…
06-01 15:22:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x5af43d…
06-01 15:19:40	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xdd9cea…
06-01 14:30:40	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	BUY	179	4¢	$7	0x6e897a…
05-31 06:32:28	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xd54ed7…
05-31 06:23:48	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc7c873…
05-31 06:05:41	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x18135e…
05-31 06:03:42	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xbab237…
05-31 05:40:52	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x42c715…
05-31 05:40:34	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x26ba56…
05-31 05:36:38	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x858570…
05-31 05:17:20	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xa29fb7…
05-31 05:16:39	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x33e418…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf4dd9a…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe07aec…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xba8383…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x741b81…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x63338d…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x288217…
05-31 05:16:36	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xc0a4a7…
05-31 05:16:36	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7037c9…
05-31 05:13:44	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x1831b7…
05-31 05:13:25	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5e016d…
05-31 05:09:48	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x91fa30…
05-31 04:51:22	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x52ff63…
05-31 04:45:58	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x1178a3…
05-30 20:27:33	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xf2893f…
05-27 07:54:28	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x2bac80…
05-27 04:01:03	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x204bd6…
05-27 02:47:22	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc54eda…
05-27 02:37:40	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x262263…
05-19 09:57:17	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4c364a…
05-19 09:56:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x67bca7…
05-19 09:55:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xfd7386…
05-19 07:30:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x61c72e…
05-19 07:30:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x5ebc26…
05-19 07:15:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xf91fa0…
05-19 06:29:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xa0c2b9…
05-19 06:05:28	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb38e85…
05-19 05:31:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xaf356c…
05-18 21:37:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc386bf…
05-18 19:16:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3af1de…
05-18 17:54:40	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0x40d064…
05-18 17:49:45	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1404da…
05-18 17:14:03	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbdf12d…
05-10 07:27:29	Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	K27	SELL	250	61¢	$153	0x8fbb5d…
05-10 07:26:56	Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	K27	BUY	250	70¢	$175	0xe1d16e…
05-07 13:57:03	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xba1afd…
05-07 12:04:18	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x1c7179…
05-07 06:55:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	99	96¢	$96	0xfce760…
05-07 06:54:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd46835…
05-07 06:25:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xda667b…
05-07 06:25:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	91	96¢	$88	0x1be91d…
05-07 06:19:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	190	95¢	$181	0x92963c…
05-07 06:18:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbb975f…
05-07 06:17:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6ab9c2…
05-07 06:16:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa09a5d…
05-07 06:11:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x3ffaac…
05-07 05:46:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x2b7930…
05-02 16:13:10	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xb4f2d0…
05-02 16:08:10	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x51533a…
04-28 16:17:54	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xee5622…
04-28 15:29:18	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xa7988e…
04-28 15:20:14	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x6ebc36…
04-28 14:21:08	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb97bbd…
04-28 08:34:58	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	596	97¢	$580	0x51cf66…
04-28 08:06:38	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	596	98¢	$584	0xa822f8…
04-28 07:36:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	592	99¢	$584	0xf27cba…