Live-Exception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-18 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$0

Other

30% 0% $-24

Tech

16% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$2.3K	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	04-28 07:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$1.7K	870	870	+0	open	—	04-09 09:11
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$1.2K	596	596	+0	open	—	04-28 08:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	7	$1.1K	570	570	+0	open	—	04-17 07:57
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	16	$1.1K	965	965	+0	open	—	04-27 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.1K	580	580	+0	open	—	04-09 05:33
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	4	$1.0K	510	510	+0	open	—	04-09 07:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$990	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 11:20
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	05-18 17:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$576	300	300	+0	open	—	04-02 05:58
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$549	361	361	+0	open	—	04-17 02:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$399	203	203	+0	open	—	04-06 05:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	14	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	04-02 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 06:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	04-06 06:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$381	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:19
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$328	250	250	+0	Gentle Mates	$-22	05-10 07:27
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 120 139	3	$311	232	232	+0	open	—	04-16 10:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	03-30 05:54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 05:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 07:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	5	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 07:30
will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$173	348	348	+0	open	—	07-16 13:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	4	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-28 21:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$138	170	175	-5	open	—	03-23 17:01
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$117	129	129	+0	open	—	07-07 09:52
trump out as president by march 31	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	03-24 14:59
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 05:54
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 100 119	9	$99	115	205	-90	open	—	03-14 17:42
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	03-27 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 13:21:33	will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x644a82…
08-18 12:58:34	will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x7bc021…
08-18 12:54:40	will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf44338…
08-13 08:16:33	will virginia have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050383	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x97a48f…
08-13 08:16:07	will virginia have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050383	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x4605ff…
08-13 07:56:25	will minnesota have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025015	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x9a1b1c…
08-13 07:55:36	will minnesota have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025015	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xbd8614…
08-13 07:48:28	will texas have more than 10pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194042463	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xd83f81…
08-13 07:45:46	will texas have more than 10pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194042463	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x28645b…
08-13 07:43:58	will virginia have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050381	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x6fcd6e…
08-13 07:41:46	will virginia have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194050381	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd4987d…
08-07 07:56:58	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xee4407…
08-07 07:56:46	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xfe977c…
08-07 07:56:28	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x991fb7…
08-07 07:54:51	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xcc17a3…
08-07 07:39:24	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xf33247…
08-07 07:38:00	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x373a3f…
08-07 07:34:25	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x846a5c…
08-07 07:31:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xdd894b…
08-07 07:31:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x5aa548…
08-07 07:31:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x41419e…
08-07 07:31:15	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xcaa2ce…
08-07 07:28:33	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x674d03…
08-07 07:27:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc8f66b…
08-07 07:25:34	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xababe2…
08-07 07:24:58	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x18b8eb…
07-16 13:49:49	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	348	27¢	$93	0x360e02…
07-11 04:31:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x20bcbf…
07-11 04:26:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc36478…
07-11 04:25:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc4b866…
07-11 04:25:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x43de84…
07-11 04:23:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x73a148…
07-11 04:23:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x308691…
07-11 04:15:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4b2916…
07-11 04:05:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf32f98…
07-11 04:04:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x811834…
07-11 03:55:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd0dab3…
07-11 03:50:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x3d079d…
07-11 03:49:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x1c2bda…
07-07 09:52:26	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	129	46¢	$59	0xb82062…
07-06 21:37:16	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	348	23¢	$80	0xe166a0…
07-02 12:29:08	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	129	45¢	$58	0xdf059d…
06-29 10:00:01	will lab reach 18 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x353bc5…
06-29 07:58:07	will lab reach 18 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdeac19…
06-29 07:33:59	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf94bda…
06-29 07:32:11	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xeb76c0…
06-29 07:30:44	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x3f2dc2…
06-29 07:29:20	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x3fd6b4…
06-29 07:28:34	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x98cb0e…
06-29 07:28:16	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb675af…
06-29 07:27:41	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9312a0…
06-29 07:23:16	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe075e6…
06-29 07:05:26	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x6ce0c0…
06-29 07:03:40	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x1d3faf…
06-12 09:40:04	will kai havertz score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145926125	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xee3424…
06-12 09:39:36	will christian pulisic score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649593	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x66f135…
06-12 09:39:25	will julian alvarez score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411102	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x76c618…
06-12 09:38:57	will christian pulisic score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649593	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe25f40…
06-12 09:32:22	will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x84d1f9…
06-12 09:31:27	will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1da903…
06-12 09:29:10	will julian alvarez score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411102	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x6599a9…
06-12 09:20:45	will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x28ea95…
06-12 09:20:04	will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5c2058…
06-09 15:09:18	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	SELL	309	1¢	$4	0xd1c771…
06-09 15:09:07	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xc48e5c…
06-05 18:51:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xfda9c5…
06-04 17:45:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x994dde…
06-04 10:18:04	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$37	0x432d5a…
06-01 17:26:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0xe7bec2…
06-01 17:02:01	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x1d6daa…
06-01 15:30:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x1ad98d…
06-01 15:28:00	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$38	0x56d76d…
06-01 15:22:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x5af43d…
06-01 15:19:40	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xdd9cea…
06-01 14:30:40	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	BUY	179	4¢	$7	0x6e897a…
05-31 06:32:28	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xd54ed7…
05-31 06:23:48	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc7c873…
05-31 06:05:41	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x18135e…
05-31 06:03:42	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xbab237…
05-31 05:40:52	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x42c715…
05-31 05:40:34	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x26ba56…
05-31 05:36:38	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x858570…
05-31 05:17:20	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xa29fb7…
05-31 05:16:39	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x33e418…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf4dd9a…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe07aec…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xba8383…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x741b81…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x63338d…
05-31 05:16:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x288217…
05-31 05:16:36	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xc0a4a7…
05-31 05:16:36	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7037c9…
05-31 05:13:44	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x1831b7…
05-31 05:13:25	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5e016d…
05-31 05:09:48	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x91fa30…
05-31 04:51:22	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x52ff63…
05-31 04:45:58	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x1178a3…
05-30 20:27:33	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xf2893f…
05-27 07:54:28	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x2bac80…
05-27 04:01:03	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x204bd6…