Left-Hearth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.52K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

16,438

Trades

21,370

lifetime

Volume

$858.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 299 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 96% -$4,811

Other

1% 66% -$385

Politics

0% 79% -$298

Sports

0% 43% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+52	$13	28¢	$14	+$1	10-26 14:43
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes		+247	$16	0¢	$0	-$16	10-26 18:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 11:45 UTC	4	$1.1K	644	506	+138	Down	+$34	01-15 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 08:45 UTC	5	$691	528	219	+309	Down	-$1	02-01 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 21:15 UTC	6	$670	624	313	+310	Up	-$22	01-14 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 15:00 UTC	5	$653	732	492	+239	Up	-$150	01-15 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 13:00 UTC	4	$638	508	245	+263	Down	+$16	01-15 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 16:30 UTC	6	$633	697	0	+697	Up	-$87	01-08 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 07:45 UTC	4	$628	352	351	+1	Up	+$28	01-15 07:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:30 UTC	3	$626	467	248	+219	Down	+$45	01-13 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 10:15 UTC	4	$624	757	141	+616	Up	+$38	01-13 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 22:15 UTC	3	$614	475	248	+226	Down	-$186	01-14 22:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 09:00 UTC	6	$612	535	130	+405	Up	+$17	01-13 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 19:30 UTC	3	$609	465	261	+204	Down	+$13	01-14 19:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 09:15 UTC	4	$600	642	0	+642	Down	-$66	01-14 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 21:30 UTC	4	$581	383	380	+3	Down	-$17	01-14 21:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 16:00 UTC	6	$576	612	143	+469	Down	-$62	01-13 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 06:45 UTC	3	$519	213	340	-127	Up	-$8	01-15 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 18:00 UTC	3	$513	326	224	+102	Up	+$15	01-13 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 11:45 UTC	3	$507	339	235	+104	Up	+$11	01-16 11:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 10:30 UTC	5	$505	596	21	+575	Down	-$15	01-12 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 07:45 UTC	4	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	01-14 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 22:45 UTC	3	$496	342	219	+123	Down	+$33	01-14 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 12:15 UTC	3	$467	259	258	+1	Down	+$28	01-15 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 14:45 UTC	3	$460	347	145	+203	Up	+$23	01-15 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 20:45 UTC	4	$440	412	172	+240	Up	+$37	01-14 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 16:45 UTC	3	$430	469	16	+453	Down	-$123	01-13 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 21:45 UTC	3	$427	448	0	+448	Up	-$427	01-14 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 08:45 UTC	4	$425	344	170	+175	Up	+$55	01-13 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:15 UTC	5	$420	457	0	+457	Up	+$7	01-07 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 08:15 UTC	2	$413	220	220	+0	Down	+$13	01-13 08:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:00 UTC	3	$408	211	210	+0	Up	+$8	01-12 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xdde9f4…
10-26 21:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x50e40a…
10-26 21:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x16272e…
10-26 20:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaee54f…
10-26 19:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6ba577…
10-26 19:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x80ddb1…
10-26 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa62462…
10-26 18:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x43ee72…
10-26 18:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xe23eaa…
10-26 18:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb744bb…
10-26 18:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbaef3c…
10-26 18:12:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x629025…
10-26 18:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xea7d7d…
10-26 17:58:38	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4f8668…
10-26 17:58:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xba127c…
10-26 17:58:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe24326…
10-26 17:56:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xb8b106…
10-26 15:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x41196f…
10-26 15:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xbbb7a9…
10-26 15:42:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	143	6¢	$9	0x0b70e5…
10-26 15:41:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x5bffa4…
10-26 15:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1647f2…
10-26 15:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcfc160…
10-26 15:34:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	185	6¢	$11	0xce9781…
10-26 15:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2b414e…
10-26 15:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02259a…
10-26 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x86e201…
10-26 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x15f1ac…
10-26 15:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27918d…
10-26 15:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xe22632…
10-26 14:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x338ba5…
10-26 14:43:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x48398c…
10-26 13:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xdd46a2…
10-26 13:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x91de83…
10-26 12:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe77fe1…
10-26 12:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xebef38…
10-26 12:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xa2d6f1…
10-26 12:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb16140…
10-26 12:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6f72a0…
10-26 12:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x25f21c…
10-26 12:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xef2f3a…
10-26 08:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xadc8a1…
10-26 08:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x5effab…
10-26 07:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45c4bd…
10-26 07:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf71b50…
10-26 07:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x6e6e27…
10-26 07:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x8eff9a…
10-26 06:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x15f26b…
10-25 20:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x412c4b…
10-25 20:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x88de4a…
10-25 18:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x82f34c…
10-25 18:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdf5f7a…
10-25 18:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xb87792…
10-25 18:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0f5bfd…
10-25 16:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xa04085…
10-25 16:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x36e961…
10-25 15:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2013a2…
10-25 15:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x13ae66…
10-25 15:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdeb0a6…
10-25 15:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x06dcf4…
10-25 15:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2efb62…
10-25 15:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xe1ff29…
10-25 15:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7ae296…
10-25 14:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x405fb6…
10-25 14:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9b6ebe…
10-25 14:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xa63c6d…
10-25 14:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96d97e…
10-25 14:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0c0f70…
10-25 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x958ab5…
10-25 12:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x788af0…
10-25 12:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xb74f7d…
10-25 12:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xedd717…
10-25 12:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x186603…
10-25 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xd6c3a5…
10-25 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x0d61e9…
10-25 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x9acf2a…
10-25 10:33:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7a5c1b…
10-25 10:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x7d153a…
10-25 10:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x02899e…
10-25 10:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xbb4a9c…
10-25 10:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x95c437…
10-25 09:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x543e8d…
10-25 09:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x351c4b…
10-25 09:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf7189e…
10-25 09:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xab9b35…
10-25 09:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb975cd…
10-25 09:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdd1acb…
10-25 09:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1cdb06…
10-25 09:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x5050b2…
10-25 09:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xf944e3…
10-25 09:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xe45fea…
10-25 09:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb126e2…
10-25 09:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x4d8170…
10-25 08:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x82151f…
10-25 08:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa15050…
10-25 07:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x242f4b…
10-25 07:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7f06c3…
10-25 07:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x7576b0…
10-25 07:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x926212…
10-25 06:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xc983ec…