Realized P&L
-$21.1K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved
103
Trades
5,110
lifetime
Volume
$4.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$917
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 02-08 08:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Politics
48%
45%
-$101,696
Other
34%
61%
+$136,143
Sports
18%
36%
-$52,260
Crypto
0%
50%
-$3,326
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-08).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 335 | $746.5K | 753,179 | 269,997 | +483,182 | Yes | +$83,499 | 02-02 21:45 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 40 | $384.6K | 275,097 | 275,097 | +0 | Yes | -$54,648 | 02-08 08:01 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 141 | $359.4K | 386,323 | 298,641 | +87,683 | Yes | -$26,461 | 02-08 07:58 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 345 | $275.7K | 542,854 | 0 | +542,854 | No | -$40,933 | 01-14 23:58 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 291 | $238.4K | 606,306 | 41,015 | +565,291 | No | -$17,369 | 01-31 17:57 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 115 | $201.8K | 104,403 | 156,393 | -51,990 | No | -$26,149 | 02-08 07:51 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 373 | $164.5K | 380,147 | 0 | +380,147 | No | +$15,679 | 01-18 10:41 |
| maduro out by january 31 2026 318 | 119 | $152.3K | 347,483 | 0 | +347,483 | Yes | +$60,886 | 01-03 09:22 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 12 | $152.0K | 78,040 | 78,040 | +0 | No | -$1,403 | 02-08 07:45 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 46 | $131.9K | 142,167 | 142,167 | +0 | Yes | +$2,337 | 02-08 07:53 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 65 | $108.3K | 110,234 | 0 | +110,234 | No | +$1,895 | 01-07 19:06 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 21 | $90.1K | 107,448 | 90,756 | +16,692 | Yes | +$7,314 | 02-08 07:50 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 21 | $88.1K | 121,001 | 151,277 | -30,276 | No | -$12,517 | 02-08 07:48 |
| nfl lac ne 2026 01 11 | 282 | $81.5K | 222,984 | 0 | +222,984 | Patriots | +$25,484 | 01-12 03:57 |
| will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026 | 1 | $72.5K | 0 | 107,519 | -107,519 | Yes | -$35,001 | 02-08 07:51 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 68 | $72.4K | 78,319 | 0 | +78,319 | No | +$5,943 | 01-08 14:19 |
| will the government shutdown last 5 days or more | 125 | $72.2K | 119,539 | 85,172 | +34,367 | No | +$17,280 | 02-03 21:09 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 45 | $53.9K | 86,316 | 6,316 | +80,000 | Yes | -$1,891 | 02-08 08:05 |
| nfl sea sf 2026 01 04 | 71 | $51.2K | 79,070 | 0 | +79,070 | Seahawks | +$14,764 | 01-04 03:19 |
| maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483 | 16 | $47.5K | 72,571 | 0 | +72,571 | Yes | +$18,519 | 01-03 09:22 |
| will sam darnold win the super bowl lx mvp | 2 | $43.4K | 50,000 | 50,000 | +0 | No | -$580 | 02-08 07:49 |
| nfl car tb 2026 01 04 | 253 | $43.4K | 74,851 | 0 | +74,851 | Buccaneers | +$31,438 | 01-03 19:35 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 43 | $41.1K | 38,642 | 38,643 | -2 | No | +$174 | 02-08 07:48 |
| nfl la sea 2026 01 25 | 7 | $40.6K | 71,201 | 0 | +71,201 | Seahawks | +$30,616 | 01-22 03:34 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 236 | $39.9K | 82,513 | 0 | +82,513 | No | +$9,856 | 01-20 23:40 |
| nfl gb chi 2026 01 10 | 139 | $39.2K | 73,136 | 0 | +73,136 | Bears | -$39,231 | 01-11 01:07 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 5 | $38.9K | 229,086 | 229,086 | -0 | No | -$5,262 | 02-08 07:52 |
| will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026 | 1 | $38.0K | 0 | 119,967 | -119,967 | No | +$37,964 | 02-08 07:46 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 2 | $35.9K | 20,086 | 20,086 | +0 | No | +$1,852 | 02-08 07:50 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 63 | $35.2K | 59,368 | 0 | +59,368 | No | +$19,220 | 01-15 02:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||