Rare-Wafer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

463

Trades

667

lifetime

Volume

$5.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-11 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$36

Other

0% 50% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:45 UTC	1	$119	120	0	+120	Up	-$119	07-14 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 07:35 UTC	1	$115	116	0	+116	Down	+$1	07-14 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 03:30 UTC	1	$115	116	0	+116	Down	+$1	07-14 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:05 UTC	1	$109	110	0	+110	Down	+$1	07-12 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:00 UTC	1	$108	109	0	+109	Up	+$1	07-12 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	07-12 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:45 UTC	1	$104	105	0	+105	Up	+$1	07-14 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:50 UTC	2	$102	62	62	+0	Down	+$2	07-18 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:30 UTC	1	$102	103	0	+103	Up	+$1	07-12 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:45 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	07-13 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	07-12 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:20 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	07-13 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:35 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	07-13 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:05 UTC	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	07-12 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:55 UTC	1	$92	101	0	+101	Up	+$9	07-12 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:25 UTC	1	$92	93	0	+93	Down	+$1	07-12 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:10 UTC	1	$92	93	0	+93	Up	+$1	07-12 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:15 UTC	1	$91	92	0	+92	Down	+$1	07-12 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:55 UTC	2	$90	46	46	+0	Down	+$0	07-10 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:35 UTC	1	$90	91	0	+91	Down	+$1	07-12 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 13:30 UTC	2	$88	47	47	+0	Up	+$2	07-10 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	2	$88	45	45	+0	Down	+$0	07-08 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:35 UTC	1	$88	90	0	+90	Up	+$2	07-11 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 18:00 UTC	1	$87	88	0	+88	Down	+$1	07-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:15 UTC	2	$86	43	43	+0	Down	+$0	07-10 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:15 UTC	4	$84	45	45	+0	Down	+$4	07-08 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:45 UTC	2	$80	41	41	+0	Down	+$0	07-08 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:30 UTC	2	$79	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	07-08 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:05 UTC	2	$78	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	07-08 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$76	39	39	+0	Down	+$0	07-29 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 21:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0x4a4788…
11-11 21:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbcccac…
11-11 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5a3851…
11-11 21:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf4257a…
11-11 21:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd4d534…
11-11 21:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x35f7da…
11-11 21:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa20dd7…
11-11 21:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7a6cda…
11-11 21:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc8824d…
11-11 20:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x85cf52…
11-11 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x75d6dc…
11-11 20:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x266202…
11-11 20:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x860000…
11-11 20:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbc25be…
11-11 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3df1cf…
11-11 20:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1eab29…
11-09 18:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x0fc66c…
11-09 18:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf2c59f…
11-09 18:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x503971…
11-09 18:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7b876b…
11-09 18:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcdcf2a…
11-09 18:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xb2f4af…
11-09 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa2840b…
11-09 17:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc38688…
11-09 17:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x02631e…
11-09 17:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x03c29c…
11-06 19:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3ac937…
11-06 18:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x0ebb53…
11-06 18:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3ec221…
11-06 18:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8fbf54…
11-06 18:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x66967a…
11-06 15:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0b6836…
11-06 15:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xce60f0…
11-06 15:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3994dc…
11-06 15:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x601ebf…
11-06 15:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0c2591…
11-06 14:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcba27c…
11-06 10:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x97c8f0…
11-06 10:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbaf32e…
11-06 09:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf506ea…
11-06 09:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x82b134…
11-06 09:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd26e2a…
11-06 09:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8ccd1f…
11-06 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x623ba9…
10-29 17:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe407f1…
10-29 17:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa9eb46…
10-29 16:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xf0613b…
10-29 16:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x299931…
10-29 16:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa85b0e…
10-29 15:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4592bc…
10-29 10:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeba0ae…
10-29 09:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xa92fe6…
10-29 09:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3013d7…
10-29 09:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa14caa…
10-29 09:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe401a0…
10-29 03:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdc6bb4…
10-29 03:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x3b7a1f…
10-29 03:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4e90bd…
10-27 18:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x36ab2e…
10-27 18:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdcf52c…
10-27 18:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x441b01…
10-27 18:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe43b1c…
10-27 17:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x042ac0…
10-27 17:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x57ca18…
10-27 17:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x517a31…
10-27 17:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xe2b1f5…
10-27 17:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x76494f…
10-27 03:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x49beb0…
10-27 03:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4c1d76…
10-27 03:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1c482c…
10-23 19:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x5c438d…
10-23 19:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x56880e…
10-23 19:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf08e2a…
10-23 19:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb5e06f…
10-23 19:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x77f224…
10-23 18:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x89360b…
10-16 19:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe36848…
10-16 19:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9ec04f…
10-16 19:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2bd8b7…
10-16 17:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9a7a7c…
10-16 17:37:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf4a78b…
10-03 19:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xfd2713…
10-03 19:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4186ef…
10-03 14:08:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xc38c61…
10-03 14:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x33fab4…
10-03 14:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1f07bb…
10-03 07:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa0e6bf…
10-03 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4bf181…
10-03 06:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xab1208…
10-03 06:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x8d6dd7…
10-03 06:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x762ac8…
09-27 08:47:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x9d18b5…
09-27 08:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x56417b…
09-26 04:17:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0762cd…
09-26 04:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x174159…
09-26 03:26:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xea96d5…
09-24 18:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x268797…
09-22 05:46:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x844bd0…
09-22 05:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x64ea68…
09-21 19:22:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x9fe2d5…