Lonely-Danger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

6,293

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-04 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 67% $-14

Other

8% — —

Politics

8% 50% $-0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772019900	51	$630	552	522	+30	open	—	02-25 12:00
btc updown 15m 1772010000	57	$428	406	377	+29	open	—	02-25 09:14
btc updown 15m 1772006400	52	$386	482	451	+31	open	—	02-25 08:14
sol updown 15m 1772008200	46	$340	351	310	+41	open	—	02-25 08:44
btc updown 15m 1772013600	52	$307	407	346	+61	open	—	02-25 10:15
sol updown 15m 1772019900	35	$302	215	193	+22	open	—	02-25 11:59
eth updown 15m 1772013600	32	$296	305	278	+27	open	—	02-25 10:14
eth updown 15m 1772019900	50	$293	379	274	+106	open	—	02-25 12:00
btc updown 15m 1772009100	46	$288	253	249	+3	open	—	02-25 08:55
sol updown 15m 1772010000	38	$266	257	214	+43	open	—	02-25 09:14
sol updown 15m 1772009100	39	$259	209	206	+2	open	—	02-25 08:59
btc updown 15m 1772010900	84	$259	759	330	+429	open	—	02-25 09:30
eth updown 15m 1772026200	199	$256	226	205	+21	open	—	02-25 13:44
xrp updown 15m 1772036100	95	$247	181	171	+10	open	—	02-25 16:29
sol updown 15m 1772013600	26	$210	170	164	+6	open	—	02-25 10:13
xrp updown 15m 1772019900	24	$209	143	140	+4	open	—	02-25 11:59
btc updown 15m 1772025300	124	$206	170	168	+2	open	—	02-25 13:28
eth updown 15m 1772009100	36	$203	177	175	+2	open	—	02-25 08:58
btc updown 15m 1772026200	91	$203	173	171	+2	open	—	02-25 13:41
eth updown 15m 1772006400	27	$179	249	245	+3	open	—	02-25 08:09
eth updown 15m 1772025300	219	$177	176	154	+22	open	—	02-25 13:27
xrp updown 15m 1772009100	25	$172	141	129	+12	open	—	02-25 08:58
xrp updown 15m 1772010000	18	$164	131	120	+12	open	—	02-25 09:10
btc updown 15m 1772020800	62	$153	176	174	+2	open	—	02-25 12:08
eth updown 15m 1772020800	54	$147	148	146	+2	open	—	02-25 12:08
eth updown 15m 1772027100	141	$138	132	130	+2	open	—	02-25 13:55
btc updown 15m 1772040600	395	$136	143	137	+6	open	—	02-25 17:45
xrp updown 15m 1772008200	15	$134	88	80	+8	open	—	02-25 08:39
btc updown 15m 1772034300	70	$132	117	107	+10	open	—	02-25 15:57
btc updown 15m 1772027100	126	$131	145	118	+27	open	—	02-25 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 02:49:19	btc updown 5m 1780541100	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x924d1f…
06-04 02:49:07	btc updown 5m 1780541100	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x276a13…
06-04 02:44:54	btc updown 5m 1780540800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x491032…
06-04 02:44:27	btc updown 5m 1780540800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e435e…
06-04 02:19:52	btc updown 5m 1780539300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7a10ea…
06-04 02:19:25	btc updown 5m 1780539300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x641eb4…
06-04 01:29:34	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1bd612…
06-04 01:29:10	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8cbbaf…
06-04 00:59:34	btc updown 5m 1780534500	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0370bd…
06-04 00:59:18	btc updown 5m 1780534500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x895fc9…
06-03 21:44:58	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2adfb5…
06-03 21:44:07	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xff15a2…
06-03 16:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x03914b…
06-03 16:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e96f7…
06-03 05:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd1bb7…
06-03 05:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9d605d…
06-02 23:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf75259…
06-02 23:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd29777…
06-02 05:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x61bd46…
06-02 05:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5b8b76…
06-02 04:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6a654a…
06-02 04:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc0079…
06-02 01:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x23b03d…
06-02 01:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x06818d…
06-02 01:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x89809c…
06-02 01:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3256fe…
05-23 21:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00607a…
05-23 21:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0bfa67…
05-20 14:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbc397f…
05-20 14:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf0c150…
05-20 01:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x09e97a…
05-20 01:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf43bdb…
05-19 14:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3c54c0…
05-19 13:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa4da89…
05-19 13:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc847c5…
05-06 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6d220d…
05-06 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa0404c…
05-06 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd847fc…
05-06 01:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x907c41…
05-06 01:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4be5b1…
05-06 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc79177…
05-05 13:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb0f818…
05-05 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7e1ae6…
05-05 06:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2e2401…
05-05 06:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf230af…
05-05 04:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1f0cb6…
05-05 04:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf2918e…
05-05 04:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x974ca5…
05-05 04:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6cff0b…
05-04 13:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xad3c6a…
05-04 13:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x337641…
05-04 13:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd60b5e…
05-04 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x751946…
05-04 11:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd3abb6…
05-04 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9130c5…
05-04 09:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x96c9b7…
05-04 09:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8dae36…
05-04 09:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xbd82f7…
05-04 09:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcba598…
05-04 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2e9535…
05-04 06:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xab9cf4…
05-04 06:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x134f33…
05-04 05:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x8ee04f…
05-04 05:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x74ac7c…
05-04 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x54432b…
05-04 05:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x200264…
05-04 05:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8d7bdc…
05-04 02:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9a912a…
05-04 01:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x640fe7…
05-04 00:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca1146…
05-04 00:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x48fef1…
05-04 00:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xad1619…
05-03 21:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xceae23…
05-03 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcda549…
05-03 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x788486…
05-03 21:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x801fc5…
05-03 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6851d7…
05-03 20:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9d8d9e…
05-03 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x758bf3…
05-03 20:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb58925…
05-03 20:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x502ee2…
05-03 18:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x93f284…
05-03 18:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xb3e85e…
05-03 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc18f05…
05-03 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x10deb8…
05-03 13:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xec0c12…
05-03 03:47:28	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xe17368…
05-02 11:24:28	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf3ea0b…
05-01 21:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2e2852…
05-01 20:44:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x388a9d…
05-01 18:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf7e6b6…
05-01 18:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xa93c08…
05-01 18:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xbe6c45…
05-01 18:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x62b3c8…
05-01 17:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xabc58e…
05-01 17:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xbcb932…
05-01 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x37956c…
05-01 17:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x44f211…
05-01 16:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x4b4fe2…
05-01 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xaff054…