Immaculate-Rally — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$316

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

860

Trades

25,233

lifetime

Volume

$90.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-21 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% $-316

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 775 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	4	$450	274	274	+0	open	—	03-01 04:04
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	4	$364	1,092	1,092	+0	open	—	02-01 06:30
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	9	$277	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-04 16:09
btc updown 15m 1771163100	72	$158	309	0	+309	open	—	02-15 13:59
bitcoin above 84k on february 6	3	$158	793	793	+0	open	—	02-03 12:10
btc updown 5m 1771167300	75	$132	262	0	+262	open	—	02-15 14:59
btc updown 5m 1771135200	75	$129	256	0	+256	open	—	02-15 06:04
btc updown 5m 1771168800	67	$128	258	0	+258	open	—	02-15 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	9	$126	72	72	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 15:39
btc updown 5m 1771160700	60	$126	254	0	+254	open	—	02-15 13:09
btc updown 15m 1771530300	18	$118	112	168	-56	open	—	02-19 19:58
btc updown 5m 1772554800	48	$118	240	0	+240	open	—	03-03 16:23
eth updown 5m 1774380600	45	$114	220	0	+220	open	—	03-24 19:33
btc updown 5m 1772555100	48	$111	224	0	+224	open	—	03-03 16:29
btc updown 5m 1771155600	50	$108	218	0	+218	open	—	02-15 11:44
eth updown 5m 1774381800	50	$106	220	0	+220	open	—	03-24 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	12	$105	77	76	+1	open	—	04-27 22:30
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	2	$104	639	639	+0	open	—	01-31 14:24
btc updown 15m 1771536600	26	$104	112	119	-7	open	—	02-19 21:43
btc updown 5m 1774381200	51	$102	215	0	+215	open	—	03-24 19:44
btc updown 5m 1771198200	53	$101	201	0	+201	open	—	02-15 23:33
btc updown 5m 1771136400	80	$101	206	0	+206	open	—	02-15 06:23
btc updown 5m 1774380000	48	$101	215	0	+215	open	—	03-24 19:24
btc updown 5m 1771170300	57	$100	199	0	+199	open	—	02-15 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	14	$100	141	0	+141	open	—	04-28 00:12
btc updown 5m 1771205700	50	$99	197	0	+197	open	—	02-16 01:37
btc updown 5m 1771180200	50	$99	208	0	+208	open	—	02-15 18:33
bitcoin above 88k on january 31	2	$99	11,787	11,787	+0	open	—	01-31 09:54
btc updown 5m 1771113000	51	$98	202	0	+202	open	—	02-14 23:54
sol updown 15m 1771097400	57	$98	197	0	+197	open	—	02-14 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 14:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x730870…
05-21 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x391fe9…
05-21 14:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd6b35c…
05-21 14:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x199930…
05-21 14:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2f0b87…
05-21 14:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x21ec87…
05-21 14:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x642ec9…
05-21 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xef1e11…
05-21 14:51:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x996cdf…
05-21 14:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa82dfb…
05-21 14:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9d0234…
05-21 14:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x611bd9…
05-21 14:50:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf1d209…
05-21 14:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x2939c0…
05-21 14:49:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x3c8ab1…
05-21 14:49:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x1ae307…
05-21 14:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0xf11531…
05-21 14:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe82362…
05-21 14:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xae9505…
05-21 14:45:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x1b6f28…
05-21 14:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x3992fd…
05-21 14:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xa839af…
05-21 14:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x289afb…
05-21 14:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x20a7cd…
05-21 13:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x9adf2b…
05-21 13:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x28cdff…
05-21 13:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xe52a48…
05-21 13:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6db98c…
05-21 13:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5979ba…
05-21 13:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x68f8bb…
05-21 13:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa1062c…
05-21 13:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x80a52e…
05-21 13:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2c22f2…
05-21 13:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa0cb93…
05-21 13:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x3699d6…
05-21 12:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x6f048e…
05-21 12:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x76e2da…
05-21 12:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7093bb…
05-21 12:52:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x8569f4…
05-21 12:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbf8501…
05-21 12:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xad30e3…
05-21 12:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xd9f524…
05-21 12:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x415ef1…
05-21 12:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x30cc4f…
05-21 12:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x06121a…
05-21 12:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xe54461…
05-21 12:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x1f3fad…
05-21 12:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1e7a12…
05-21 12:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0xb8f524…
05-21 12:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb2465c…
05-21 12:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x28fb8d…
05-21 12:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8bf825…
05-21 12:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7167a1…
05-21 12:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x11e8f2…
05-21 12:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe9df9b…
05-21 12:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xe069ca…
05-19 23:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$8	0xbb09eb…
05-19 23:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xb7bc05…
05-19 23:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x5c2eee…
05-19 23:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x928983…
05-19 23:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xbd2fa7…
05-19 23:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x78f39a…
05-19 23:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x10ebea…
05-19 23:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa7c921…
05-19 23:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x4b7671…
05-19 23:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x14e58e…
05-19 23:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x4dfbdc…
05-19 23:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x113c80…
05-19 22:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	87¢	$15	0x075f47…
05-19 22:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x678258…
05-19 22:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x72240c…
05-19 22:47:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xad73d7…
05-19 22:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xf39a7a…
05-19 22:46:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x8d8c33…
05-19 22:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3b869f…
05-19 22:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x60a3ad…
05-19 22:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xe092bb…
05-19 22:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x799c62…
05-19 22:29:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$7	0x222514…
05-19 22:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x54dca6…
05-19 22:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb88a82…
05-19 22:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x27a1aa…
05-19 22:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x564e24…
05-19 22:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x01a841…
05-19 22:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa1d438…
05-19 22:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x360436…
05-19 22:18:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x940b10…
05-19 22:18:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbfb24b…
05-19 22:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x643c6e…
05-19 22:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x9caa29…
05-19 22:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x2c5340…
05-19 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x882f7f…
05-19 22:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xee5ea0…
05-19 21:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbc1185…
05-19 21:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x05aca6…
05-19 21:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x95de01…
05-19 21:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xe430ee…
05-19 21:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xe25ffc…
05-19 21:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7ff20b…
05-19 21:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0xf86704…