Lasting-Arm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

259

Trades

1,986

lifetime

Volume

$138.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-11 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 58% +$63

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1777038300	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-24 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-27 16:40
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-25 13:25
eth updown 5m 1776974400	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-23 20:05
btc updown 5m 1777043100	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-24 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	05-01 16:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-27 20:15
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-26 03:30
sol updown 15m 1776998700	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-24 03:00
xrp updown 15m 1776986100	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-23 23:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	05-01 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-26 12:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-29 18:30
BNB Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-25 13:30
btc updown 5m 1777053000	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-24 17:55
eth updown 15m 1776910500	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-23 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	05-01 12:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-28 01:30
bnb updown 5m 1776969300	2	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-23 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	05-01 14:30
btc updown 5m 1777001400	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-24 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	05-01 02:00
btc updown 5m 1777000500	5	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-24 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-29 18:05
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-25 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-28 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	05-01 15:05
btc updown 5m 1776998700	11	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-24 02:50
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-25 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$500	500	+500	open	—	05-01 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x483ff3…
05-11 14:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfc95a3…
05-11 14:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdd3b52…
05-11 14:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0x4a70a0…
05-11 14:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x43834d…
05-11 14:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x15eeca…
05-11 14:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x4e6e78…
05-11 14:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x68e7a2…
05-11 13:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x5677ec…
05-11 13:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdb7f9b…
05-11 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe7a272…
05-11 13:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x5f755e…
05-11 13:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf596d0…
05-11 13:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfaa3f3…
05-11 13:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x400396…
05-11 13:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9c459a…
05-11 12:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5a2539…
05-11 12:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6e7491…
05-11 12:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xce81fb…
05-11 12:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x893c45…
05-11 12:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf41e03…
05-11 12:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd97ba8…
05-11 12:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x3e3e10…
05-11 12:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9ce626…
05-11 12:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x1ba6e7…
05-11 12:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb64782…
05-11 12:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x97a306…
05-11 12:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x3849f3…
05-11 12:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1c44f7…
05-11 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xbce739…
05-11 12:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x332e80…
05-11 11:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc5a0cf…
05-11 11:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf3abd3…
05-11 11:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xea4a70…
05-11 11:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xf85dd3…
05-11 11:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc11d0b…
05-11 11:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5adbb7…
05-11 11:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3cbbac…
05-11 11:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8f167c…
05-11 11:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5198bd…
05-11 11:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x597064…
05-11 10:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x70fde5…
05-11 10:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xddd5c7…
05-11 10:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x82384b…
05-11 10:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x27bb6e…
05-11 10:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa37244…
05-11 10:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xe57b38…
05-11 10:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7088e0…
05-11 10:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xec319b…
05-11 10:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x27c722…
05-11 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0e2a23…
05-11 10:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd41f37…
05-11 09:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73dd8c…
05-11 09:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x830be2…
05-11 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4c0a0e…
05-11 09:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9712b6…
05-11 09:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xe483a3…
05-11 09:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe71bf4…
05-11 09:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x2ec8ec…
05-11 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x6fec9d…
05-11 09:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa35bd6…
05-11 09:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x59c9e8…
05-11 08:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3fe4b2…
05-11 08:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x11d85b…
05-11 08:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8f1cd6…
05-11 08:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3439a4…
05-11 08:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x4bbb6b…
05-11 08:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x144f90…
05-11 08:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x06f887…
05-11 08:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc31359…
05-11 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x177eac…
05-11 07:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3a09e5…
05-11 07:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x5fb661…
05-11 07:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xafac24…
05-11 07:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2c8907…
05-11 07:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8d4460…
05-11 07:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x96f00e…
05-11 07:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8a665e…
05-11 07:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x485b08…
05-11 07:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x399931…
05-11 07:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x1d0678…
05-11 07:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xfaf614…
05-11 07:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x562baa…
05-10 10:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x1e965d…
05-10 10:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xde3d5e…
05-10 10:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xf96eca…
05-10 10:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xf6ef85…
05-10 10:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x2613e4…
05-10 10:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xc82a21…
05-10 10:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x68e36f…
05-10 10:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x33d30b…
05-10 10:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x4c46f1…
05-10 10:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xd53d65…
05-10 10:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	30¢	$11	0xe3a5cd…
05-10 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x9ed260…
05-10 10:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf918af…
05-10 10:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x8478d0…
05-10 10:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x000f24…
05-10 10:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xebdbab…
05-10 09:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x702f81…