Strong-Offset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$160

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$37.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-17 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

56% 90% +$77

Crypto

35% 94% +$42

Politics

6% 100% +$25

Sports

3% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	3	$2.5K	1,833	732	+1,101	No	+$8	03-29 02:22
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	7	$2.4K	1,227	1,227	+0	No	+$25	06-25 19:10
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	2	$2.3K	1,164	1,164	+0	No	+$1	03-28 06:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,353	361	+992	No	+$6	05-07 13:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.5K	773	773	+0	No	+$5	04-24 13:32
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	9	$1.5K	768	767	+0	No	+$1	04-07 07:38
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$1.5K	741	741	+0	No	+$10	03-21 23:11
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$1.5K	747	747	+0	No	+$25	03-05 13:39
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	3	$1.5K	730	730	+0	No	+$2	03-13 17:48
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.4K	724	724	+0	No	+$0	02-25 11:16
will bitcoin reach 82k february 9 15	2	$1.4K	719	719	+0	No	+$3	02-15 09:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$1.3K	632	632	+0	No	+$5	05-07 09:13
epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	2	$1.1K	546	546	+0	No	+$5	07-22 21:43
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.1K	542	542	+0	No	+$15	07-07 22:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$1.0K	529	529	+0	No	+$4	07-02 12:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$1.0K	517	517	+0	No	+$12	08-11 14:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$959	505	505	+0	open	—	09-16 15:10
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$837	421	421	+0	No	+$1	01-19 00:49
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$835	424	424	+0	No	+$10	03-25 04:01
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$834	518	518	+0	Yes	-$5	02-11 13:04
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$825	415	415	+0	No	$0	03-10 12:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$771	774	0	+774	No	+$3	04-26 05:14
solana above 40 on february 18	2	$755	378	378	+0	Yes	+$0	02-16 22:30
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 24	1	$738	739	0	+739	No	+$1	03-24 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$676	342	342	+0	No	+$7	04-27 14:32
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	10	$669	335	335	+0	No	+$0	04-10 13:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$610	310	310	+0	No	+$6	06-16 16:45
bitcoin above 98k on february 4	2	$597	299	299	+0	No	+$0	02-03 14:17
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	2	$595	298	298	+0	No	+$1	01-28 14:02
xrp above 1 on february 11	4	$585	294	294	+0	Yes	+$1	02-10 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 12:12:33	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	94	92¢	$86	0xabd640…
09-16 15:10:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x9a3b43…
09-16 15:10:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x64fe48…
09-16 15:10:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x09a298…
09-16 15:10:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8aeb5c…
09-16 15:10:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0x5d96ca…
09-16 15:10:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xaf8762…
08-11 14:40:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	347	99¢	$345	0xfe23e6…
08-11 14:36:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa54769…
08-11 14:15:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3d7cfd…
08-11 14:15:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5c105f…
08-11 14:15:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x36bcdd…
08-11 14:11:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd2dd76…
08-11 14:11:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x38fb2d…
08-11 14:10:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x975f19…
08-11 14:10:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1cdcb4…
08-11 14:10:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa02960…
08-11 13:58:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7faa4e…
08-11 13:58:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa2c7d7…
08-03 00:23:39	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	94	90¢	$84	0xb75821…
07-29 18:00:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x04b8c6…
07-25 12:08:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x431364…
07-25 12:08:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	505	91¢	$459	0x7cfaf7…
07-22 21:43:45	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	No	SELL	546	100¢	$545	0x034207…
07-08 01:50:35	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	No	BUY	546	99¢	$540	0x61ccb2…
07-07 22:48:53	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	542	100¢	$541	0x3d7210…
07-04 08:41:11	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	542	97¢	$525	0xeec8e2…
07-02 12:36:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	178	99¢	$177	0xbfc9b6…
07-02 12:36:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c009a…
07-02 12:36:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xcc423f…
07-02 12:36:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4ca7ad…
07-02 12:36:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	293	99¢	$291	0x00486b…
06-26 10:57:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	529	99¢	$522	0x752873…
06-26 10:56:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	517	97¢	$502	0xf17260…
06-25 19:10:07	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x0ac885…
06-25 19:04:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x6454fd…
06-23 22:20:47	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x38bda3…
06-23 13:14:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	517	100¢	$516	0x69abd5…
06-17 16:49:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe422d9…
06-16 16:45:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	310	99¢	$308	0xb92351…
06-10 12:21:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x3187bd…
06-03 16:58:36	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	230	99¢	$227	0xcc677f…
05-30 14:41:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	310	97¢	$302	0xc47bbe…
05-30 14:40:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	307	98¢	$302	0xcb5673…
05-09 03:26:14	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,227	97¢	$1,193	0x20f354…
05-08 16:27:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x51d2ef…
05-07 13:14:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	992	100¢	$990	0x85575e…
05-07 09:13:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	453	100¢	$452	0xd0eda4…
05-07 07:51:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xb9584a…
05-07 07:07:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$63	0x5cea3d…
05-07 03:49:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	361	100¢	$360	0x1941c8…
05-05 02:54:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	361	99¢	$357	0x8da5e8…
05-05 02:52:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x417b4f…
05-05 02:52:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	632	99¢	$625	0x8c4717…
04-27 14:32:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	342	100¢	$342	0xe44024…
04-26 05:14:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	774	100¢	$771	0xb2e422…
04-24 13:32:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	773	100¢	$771	0x6ee72f…
04-11 02:49:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	342	98¢	$335	0x31fbf4…
04-10 13:43:59	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x93a377…
04-10 13:40:29	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x731474…
04-10 13:36:01	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xc22e18…
04-10 13:27:57	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1a39f2…
04-10 13:26:27	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x006bcf…
04-10 13:25:59	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xe2782f…
04-10 13:18:23	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xaab11c…
04-10 13:14:15	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xdea456…
04-10 13:03:47	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x539618…
04-08 03:20:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	773	99¢	$767	0xe9c210…
04-07 07:38:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x221a7c…
04-07 07:38:11	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1d5b3c…
04-07 07:38:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x6219d7…
04-07 07:37:23	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xcfc179…
04-07 07:37:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0x69eeae…
04-07 07:36:47	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0xacb0c6…
04-07 07:34:21	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x557c64…
04-07 07:32:59	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x2c80a9…
04-06 14:01:51	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	768	100¢	$766	0x1822fb…
04-06 14:00:45	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0xab99a2…
03-29 02:22:08	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,099	0x20f341…
03-29 02:21:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0x7cb84b…
03-28 06:37:19	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	1,164	100¢	$1,163	0x898dc5…
03-26 12:49:41	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	1,164	100¢	$1,162	0xc072e0…
03-25 04:01:23	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	424	100¢	$423	0xe9661b…
03-24 14:41:05	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 24	No	BUY	739	100¢	$738	0x4e4977…
03-21 23:11:23	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	741	100¢	$738	0xb627c3…
03-16 01:07:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	741	98¢	$729	0xd110ec…
03-13 17:48:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	SELL	730	100¢	$729	0x988d39…
03-13 15:00:05	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x70346c…
03-13 15:00:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	BUY	691	99¢	$687	0x090544…
03-13 14:58:59	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	732	99¢	$727	0xaef452…
03-10 12:11:13	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	424	97¢	$412	0xe44fa5…
03-10 12:10:31	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	415	99¢	$412	0xb378fb…
03-08 14:12:43	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	415	100¢	$413	0x892679…
03-07 17:12:45	xrp above 1 on march 8	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6d3336…
03-06 09:03:45	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	732	98¢	$720	0x60fc58…
03-06 08:59:29	xrp above 1 on march 8	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0cd482…
03-05 13:39:11	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	747	100¢	$745	0xe25f3b…
02-25 11:17:06	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	747	96¢	$719	0xa013b6…
02-25 11:16:50	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	724	99¢	$719	0x5080e1…
02-18 15:39:58	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	724	99¢	$719	0x3d48c6…