Trustworthy-Sponsor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

314

Trades

549

lifetime

Volume

$46.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$292

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-05 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

89% 29% -$4,260

Politics

7% 13% -$1,974

Sports

4% 33% +$115

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,162	$280	14¢	$292	+$12	11-05 14:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	2	$2.5K	4,091	4,091	+0	Under	-$1,064	06-18 17:30
atp shelton quinn 2026 06 18	2	$2.2K	1,509	1,509	+0	Ben Shelton	+$622	06-18 13:10
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$1.8K	1,364	1,364	+0	Yes	+$600	06-16 20:45
atp nava buse 2026 06 29	2	$1.2K	863	863	+0	Ignacio Buse	+$182	06-29 12:31
atp rublev safiull 2026 06 29	4	$1.1K	1,047	1,047	+0	Roman Safiullin	+$379	06-29 14:04
atp tirante mensik 2026 08 19	9	$911	1,162	1,162	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	+$311	08-19 18:51
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	6	$908	3,962	1,270	+2,692	No	-$35	07-29 11:10
atp shapova busta 2026 06 29	3	$893	682	682	+0	Pablo Carreno Busta	+$293	06-29 12:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	2	$839	541	541	+0	Yes	+$179	04-28 20:21
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	5	$829	952	952	+0	Yes	+$575	05-01 15:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	3	$755	666	644	+21	Yes	+$516	04-17 19:47
atp kwon landalu 2026 06 29	1	$738	1,573	0	+1,573	Soon-Woo Kwon	-$738	06-29 14:44
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$574	527	527	+0	Yes	+$100	06-30 17:56
atp caniato passaro 2026 08 11	3	$520	967	500	+467	Francesco Passaro	+$60	08-11 20:33
atp struff baez 2026 06 29	10	$519	376	376	+0	Jan-Lennard Struff	+$143	06-29 16:43
atp medjedo humbert 2026 06 17	1	$500	1,136	0	+1,136	Ugo Humbert	-$500	06-19 06:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	4	$499	1,709	1,709	+0	No	-$1	08-12 10:24
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	2	$489	453	453	+0	Juventus FC	+$353	11-01 21:32
Will Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Exeter City FC end in a draw?	2	$442	850	850	+0	No	+$102	08-10 20:01
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$435	709	709	+0	Yes	+$119	03-20 08:56
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	2	$434	1,052	1,052	+0	Côte d'Ivoire	-$219	06-30 18:53
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$420	1,587	1,587	+0	No	+$306	06-05 19:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$404	1,833	0	+1,833	No	-$404	05-20 16:24
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	2	$385	286	286	+0	Yes	+$185	07-28 10:08
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	7	$372	473	473	+0	Valentin Vacherot	+$110	10-30 14:16
atp miyoshi kouzmin 2026 08 01	2	$364	455	455	+0	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	+$164	08-01 10:24
atp minaur cobolli 2026 07 06	5	$350	318	318	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$210	07-06 14:40
Ostrava: Zsombor Piros vs Tom Gentzsch	3	$350	263	263	+0	Tom Gentzsch	+$150	04-29 14:40
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	2	$349	286	286	+0	Yes	+$149	05-03 17:53
atp halys kwon 2026 08 11	2	$331	436	436	+0	Quentin Halys	-$9	08-11 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:42:36	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	13¢	$60	0x4c56df…
11-03 22:56:45	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x2e99d0…
11-03 22:56:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xb6d5aa…
11-02 13:40:15	Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez	Sebastian Baez	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0x3a68f8…
11-02 11:02:21	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xaa305d…
11-02 11:01:58	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	405	2¢	$8	0x65b4e4…
11-02 11:00:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xe6610e…
11-02 11:00:33	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x9018dc…
11-02 11:00:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	347	26¢	$90	0x64e9d0…
11-02 10:59:42	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	39¢	$70	0xe13aa5…
11-01 21:32:13	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	SELL	453	93¢	$421	0x24205d…
11-01 20:47:00	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	453	15¢	$68	0xce8c78…
11-01 19:53:13	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	308	40¢	$125	0xf1559d…
11-01 18:30:25	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0xe3012e…
10-30 14:31:13	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xe432b2…
10-30 14:16:13	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Holger Rune	SELL	328	48¢	$157	0x412da1…
10-30 14:04:58	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Holger Rune	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x377942…
10-30 14:02:07	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Holger Rune	BUY	280	25¢	$70	0x8b240d…
10-30 14:01:49	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Holger Rune	SELL	50	23¢	$11	0x09f34b…
10-30 14:00:51	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Holger Rune	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x4aeb3e…
10-30 13:51:06	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	SELL	95	76¢	$72	0x5b40d8…
10-30 11:25:27	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x38a0d7…
10-30 10:07:31	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	77	58¢	$45	0x4b44fa…
10-30 09:10:46	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xb12e5c…
10-30 09:04:28	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x94adc7…
10-30 09:04:13	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x98468d…
10-30 09:03:54	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	23¢	$40	0xbe535a…
10-25 23:02:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xe830a9…
10-25 22:57:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3b2902…
10-25 22:51:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	294	36¢	$105	0x1b950d…
10-25 22:20:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x60c1b2…
10-25 20:42:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xbebc0b…
10-25 17:40:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x12d4bb…
10-20 06:33:28	Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x583300…
10-19 13:38:09	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x7fef21…
10-18 22:20:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	159	31¢	$50	0xafa666…
10-18 15:48:09	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x794828…
10-17 17:27:23	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	16¢	$50	0x0b1206…
10-14 15:46:19	wta teichma bronzet 2026 10 14	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x1473fc…
10-14 15:28:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x4752c6…
10-14 14:16:38	ilhan omar arrested by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	116	17¢	$20	0xd07eef…
10-14 14:16:29	ilhan omar arrested by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	600	13¢	$80	0x6a5c5d…
10-13 11:35:07	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x3b0fa1…
10-12 19:09:57	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x4d865d…
10-12 19:07:30	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x3674bb…
10-12 19:07:08	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	36¢	$61	0x397424…
10-12 08:27:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xbaeeb7…
10-11 11:30:18	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0x904193…
10-11 11:24:00	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	4¢	$15	0xe4c910…
10-11 11:19:51	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	28¢	$70	0xf98459…
09-24 19:12:03	Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0x25b1e3…
09-24 15:46:41	Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	800	5¢	$40	0x8fe1b5…
09-24 15:19:38	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0066e6…
09-24 14:43:27	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0xc63cff…
09-20 13:20:09	Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	194	26¢	$50	0x71b3ca…
09-19 14:36:09	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x2fefa9…
09-16 22:44:39	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbd88c9…
09-16 22:31:37	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x1de584…
09-16 01:21:45	Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xc204b0…
09-16 00:03:04	wta parry stearns 2026 09 15	Diane Parry	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xb1411c…
09-04 18:11:04	atp wu alcaraz 2026 09 04	Yibing Wu	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x220660…
08-31 18:34:55	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	113	17¢	$19	0xd5b0fd…
08-30 17:31:51	atp lehecka busta 2026 08 30	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	174	14¢	$25	0xab5506…
08-30 17:13:54	atp lehecka busta 2026 08 30	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	172	12¢	$20	0x50363d…
08-30 16:30:09	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	578	12¢	$67	0xb14caf…
08-30 16:24:57	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	308	31¢	$95	0xfc1604…
08-30 16:16:45	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0xfc94bd…
08-30 14:57:40	atp aguilar fucsovi 2026 08 30	Marton Fucsovics	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x314727…
08-30 14:54:33	Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x576bb9…
08-29 20:26:18	Will Juventus FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe1f8e1…
08-29 12:26:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	155	29¢	$45	0x1fdb7b…
08-28 16:38:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	SELL	237	3¢	$7	0x2a4ee2…
08-27 20:05:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	237	7¢	$18	0x9da138…
08-27 20:04:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	SELL	1,071	2¢	$19	0xf695a1…
08-23 22:03:27	Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	663	1¢	$10	0x4942e5…
08-23 20:34:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	138	11¢	$15	0xe653d0…
08-23 20:15:13	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	260	11¢	$30	0x720547…
08-23 18:09:48	Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Assche	Stefanos Sakellaridis	SELL	375	2¢	$9	0xfcc8f9…
08-23 18:09:46	Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,279	0¢	$2	0x18087d…
08-23 17:08:10	Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Assche	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	375	32¢	$120	0x014282…
08-22 23:43:24	atp hurkacz echargu 2026 08 22	Moez Echargui	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0xbc1346…
08-22 23:28:09	atp hurkacz echargu 2026 08 22	Moez Echargui	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x43c21c…
08-22 23:27:57	atp hurkacz echargu 2026 08 22	Moez Echargui	BUY	323	13¢	$42	0xd6d208…
08-22 22:58:58	atp royer martine 2026 08 22	Pedro Martinez	BUY	501	2¢	$10	0x62331e…
08-22 18:15:43	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x729969…
08-22 04:04:54	atp baez wong 2026 08 21	Sebastian Baez	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xff4250…
08-21 23:17:31	atp safiull hurkacz 2026 08 21	Roman Safiullin	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0xfaf21d…
08-21 23:03:46	atp safiull hurkacz 2026 08 21	Roman Safiullin	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xfd2e36…
08-21 22:47:48	atp safiull hurkacz 2026 08 21	Roman Safiullin	BUY	384	21¢	$80	0x059c46…
08-21 22:00:46	atp fritz nakashi 2026 08 21	Taylor Fritz	SELL	146	90¢	$131	0xdfcf17…
08-21 20:57:28	atp fritz nakashi 2026 08 21	Taylor Fritz	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0xac63b4…
08-21 19:49:55	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	210	33¢	$69	0x3c2cf2…
08-21 19:28:54	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	210	33¢	$70	0x5cb719…
08-21 19:25:25	wta bejlek keys 2026 08 21	Madison Keys	SELL	346	49¢	$169	0x051179…
08-21 19:04:28	wta bejlek keys 2026 08 21	Madison Keys	BUY	346	13¢	$45	0x994ed7…
08-21 15:38:42	atp bonzi assche 2026 08 21	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6373ed…
08-21 11:26:30	atp tseng gombos 2026 08 21	Norbert Gombos	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x6bcfd6…
08-21 11:11:09	atp maxted poullai 2026 08 21	Lui Maxted	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xc254c7…
08-20 19:41:58	atp sakamot assche 2026 08 20	Rei Sakamoto	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x94d3c4…
08-20 19:10:46	atp bonzi kwon 2026 08 20	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0ed894…