Robust-Sheath-Iceberg — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

5,108

Trades

64,791

lifetime

Volume

$47.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-27 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

100% 56% +$2,150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 835 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?	46	$118	217	217	+0	Yes	+$1	07-09 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?	72	$108	687	687	+0	Yes	+$36	06-29 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 31?	49	$107	304	304	+0	No	-$46	08-31 22:20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 17?	30	$106	142	142	+0	Yes	+$14	08-17 17:48
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	49	$102	193	193	+0	No	+$8	06-29 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8?	57	$101	470	470	+0	No	+$10	09-08 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?	34	$97	179	151	+28	Yes	+$10	07-23 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?	36	$89	146	146	+0	Yes	+$3	07-11 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	30	$85	181	134	+46	Yes	-$13	07-22 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?	49	$79	214	208	+6	No	+$9	07-22 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 24?	61	$77	697	614	+83	No	+$17	08-24 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 24?	52	$76	392	392	+0	No	+$8	08-24 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8?	32	$70	141	141	+0	Yes	+$8	08-08 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 31?	50	$69	310	310	+0	Yes	+$2	09-01 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 4?	32	$68	265	265	+0	No	+$7	06-04 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?	56	$67	336	336	+0	No	+$2	06-15 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 14?	18	$64	98	98	+1	No	+$9	06-14 19:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 12?	38	$60	340	340	+1	No	+$9	07-12 17:07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?	24	$60	190	190	+0	Yes	+$7	10-25 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?	31	$59	149	149	+0	Yes	+$16	07-12 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 16?	33	$59	110	110	+0	Yes	+$8	08-16 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 20?	16	$59	82	82	+0	No	+$6	08-20 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 1?	24	$58	107	107	+0	Yes	+$11	09-01 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 29?	47	$57	176	175	+1	No	+$1	08-29 17:38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 10?	26	$57	298	298	+0	No	+$0	06-10 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	35	$56	80	80	+0	No	+$4	08-09 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?	30	$55	116	116	+0	Yes	+$6	07-11 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4?	34	$55	85	85	+0	No	+$2	10-04 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 6?	49	$55	1,218	621	+597	No	+$2	09-06 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 8?	15	$54	78	78	+0	No	+$4	09-08 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x935be2…
10-27 14:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x53af7e…
10-27 14:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x0dfac9…
10-27 14:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xfa67eb…
10-27 14:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x48baa8…
10-27 14:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x5813c2…
10-27 14:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x054bde…
10-27 14:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xa895c3…
10-27 14:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x7f9301…
10-27 14:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xaefdf9…
10-27 14:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x3e1597…
10-27 14:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0xcd8f36…
10-27 14:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7a69f0…
10-27 14:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xafadcd…
10-27 14:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0x860d79…
10-27 14:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xb79c50…
10-27 14:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xfe5681…
10-27 14:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x7aacf0…
10-27 14:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf45b67…
10-27 13:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xc7f8be…
10-27 13:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x9bfa6c…
10-27 13:05:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xdd9e9e…
10-27 13:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xbb94c2…
10-27 13:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xf122d9…
10-27 12:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0xe967e4…
10-27 12:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x1230c2…
10-27 12:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x7d124e…
10-27 12:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x6045ee…
10-27 12:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x3e9e7f…
10-27 12:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0xd9da24…
10-27 12:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x69f8e8…
10-27 12:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc0981a…
10-27 12:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x12a4c6…
10-27 11:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5dbb62…
10-27 11:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x87f6fe…
10-27 11:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x3ef156…
10-27 11:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x856c22…
10-27 11:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x96a6a0…
10-27 11:51:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1d4158…
10-27 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xe768db…
10-27 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xbae105…
10-27 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xb4faec…
10-27 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xabbc90…
10-27 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x67bdaa…
10-27 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x41d3ac…
10-27 11:33:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x3252cd…
10-27 11:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe6bfc3…
10-27 11:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4bcb48…
10-27 11:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xd4808e…
10-27 11:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x2384d6…
10-27 11:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	249	0¢	$1	0x7465fc…
10-27 11:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x211547…
10-27 11:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x0cc2ed…
10-27 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x3ced4d…
10-27 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2be073…
10-27 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x224028…
10-27 10:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x467f4a…
10-27 10:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x23d0c2…
10-27 10:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa5b370…
10-27 10:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xfeae31…
10-27 10:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x5e1367…
10-27 10:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xfed93b…
10-27 10:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x66358e…
10-27 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x8b007c…
10-27 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7b6ee3…
10-27 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x0d79bd…
10-27 10:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x136c2c…
10-27 10:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x7917a1…
10-27 10:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xc14962…
10-27 10:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7a32d6…
10-27 09:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	68	6¢	$4	0xeeded5…
10-27 09:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x8a85f4…
10-27 09:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7e78c4…
10-27 09:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0xed9d57…
10-27 09:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x504878…
10-27 09:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x5171b0…
10-27 09:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	46	11¢	$5	0x7cfc05…
10-27 09:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0xebf3fd…
10-27 09:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x83c343…
10-27 09:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0x6dbc75…
10-27 09:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3d3c8d…
10-27 09:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x022183…
10-27 09:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xd5c9c4…
10-27 09:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xba3a41…
10-27 09:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xbe53b6…
10-27 09:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x7372f0…
10-27 09:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	88	3¢	$2	0x6d2d2a…
10-27 09:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x6e2182…
10-27 09:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x076263…
10-27 08:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x52435c…
10-27 08:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x9bf310…
10-27 08:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$1	0x7a6dd6…
10-27 08:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4f01e8…
10-27 08:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd02960…
10-27 08:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x74725c…
10-27 08:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0xdc63c2…
10-27 08:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x0b6d54…
10-27 08:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x0ecbaa…
10-27 08:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x562f41…
10-27 08:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x441887…