Dear-Magnitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-04 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$0

Other

23% — —

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	03-22 11:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	03-06 11:01
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	01-22 13:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 11	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	01-11 09:25
bitcoin above 78k on march 4	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	03-02 11:43
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 190 214	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	03-10 12:46
ethereum above 1800 on april 2	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	04-02 11:39
bitcoin above 78k on april 15	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	04-15 12:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 6	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	01-05 11:00
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in march	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	04-08 12:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 15	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	01-14 13:25
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	02-04 11:20
bitcoin above 80k on march 26	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-25 12:34
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-18 09:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-24 10:42
bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-04 11:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?	1	$99	99	0	+99	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:53
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$99	99	0	+99	open	—	04-28 10:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	05-07 13:43
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	03-30 13:55
ethereum above 1900 on march 22	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	03-22 11:45
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 17	1	$85	85	0	+85	open	—	04-17 13:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	04-25 12:05
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 190 214	1	$76	76	0	+76	open	—	03-13 11:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	1	$59	59	0	+59	open	—	04-03 10:27
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	02-10 13:03
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on january 28	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	01-27 13:27
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 215 239	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	02-10 12:35
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-03 10:24
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	1	$41	42	0	+42	open	—	01-27 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 11:05:01	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xac0c0a…
05-24 10:42:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc84d90…
05-07 13:43:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x154b64…
05-04 09:53:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x57ab29…
04-28 10:37:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xba0e1c…
04-25 12:14:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x299d85…
04-25 12:05:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xde2497…
04-25 12:05:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x27601b…
04-18 09:45:44	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd70d00…
04-17 13:28:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 17	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x18e82d…
04-17 13:13:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf06db5…
04-17 13:12:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 17	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x652738…
04-15 12:41:46	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5fccdc…
04-08 12:58:49	will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in march	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xbe2b2b…
04-03 10:27:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x0d1bcd…
04-03 10:24:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb0b30c…
04-02 11:39:17	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x245d29…
03-31 10:37:45	will silver si hit low 40 by end of march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5dd645…
03-30 13:55:19	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	97	99¢	$97	0x1d38e6…
03-25 12:34:59	bitcoin above 80k on march 26	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xee17cb…
03-22 11:45:11	ethereum above 1900 on march 22	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8e93b8…
03-22 11:44:41	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xa71b56…
03-21 08:09:15	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa3219f…
03-19 10:49:13	ethereum above 1900 on march 19	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2265ad…
03-19 10:46:55	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x251542…
03-13 11:35:41	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 190 214	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xabf8a3…
03-13 11:21:51	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 165 189	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1e478b…
03-13 11:18:15	xrp above 1pt3 on march 13	No	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x610803…
03-13 11:16:21	will mrbeasts next video get 76 million or more views on day 6	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd9b652…
03-10 12:46:55	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 190 214	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xff683a…
03-06 11:01:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe52878…
03-02 11:43:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xcf82fd…
02-10 13:03:59	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x5b19c5…
02-10 12:35:59	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 215 239	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x074bfe…
02-04 11:20:32	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x0c6a5a…
01-27 13:50:05	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 190 214	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xec9e3e…
01-27 13:38:07	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	329	1¢	$2	0x694553…
01-27 13:37:35	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x7a01c5…
01-27 13:27:07	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on january 28	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x88080d…
01-22 13:00:28	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x30eea3…
01-14 13:25:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 15	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x8a0fb3…
01-11 09:25:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 11	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x3f4458…
01-05 11:00:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 6	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xdf8288…
01-03 07:33:21	ethereum above 2600 on january 4	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8437ae…
01-03 07:25:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 4	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2d97b3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	29	$52.1K	1,262	06-01 20:20
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	27	$4.00K	2,329	04-16 23:07
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	23	$2.03K	820	06-02 08:58
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	19	$32.3K	621	05-23 21:41
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	17	$105.3K	2,538	04-09 19:46
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	17	$32.7K	291	06-04 14:05
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	17	$6.03K	144	04-07 04:37
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	17	$828	17	06-04 13:20