Equatorial-Childbirth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

1,020

Trades

1,092

lifetime

Volume

$3.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 09-15 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 85% +$10

Other

15% 64% -$27

Sports

6% 56% -$8

Politics

1% 83% +$1

Tech

0% 40% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	1	$9	9	+9	SS Lazio	+$0	05-17 11:57
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$7	8	+8	Up	+$1	05-08 17:08
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-08 15:39
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 11:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-09 11:44
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-09 13:24
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 01:38
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 01:38
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-09 02:25
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-09 01:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-09 01:24
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-09 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-08 15:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-09 10:37
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 05:24
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-09 01:26
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 01:12
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 14:09
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-09 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-09 04:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-08 16:10
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	-$6	05-09 06:24
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-09 06:07
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 13:26
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-09 03:43
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-09 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 07:01:07	Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x52b4a5…
09-13 13:01:39	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe3c84a…
09-09 18:02:07	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xf4f0d1…
09-09 08:01:21	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1e948d…
09-08 01:00:39	Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x40319b…
09-06 14:00:48	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x8393da…
09-06 13:00:39	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xe9c956…
09-06 03:00:42	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x3d946b…
09-06 01:00:51	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xd87d99…
09-06 00:00:31	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xb204a9…
09-05 01:00:42	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2bd966…
08-28 18:00:48	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x73f4ad…
08-27 19:01:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xc49caa…
08-25 07:00:49	Will Solana reach $120 in August?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xe5aeba…
08-25 06:00:46	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xc7297c…
08-25 04:00:46	will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x657b3f…
08-25 02:00:42	Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xe788e8…
08-25 01:00:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x80eda8…
08-25 00:00:46	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xc9dd14…
08-24 21:00:42	Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x2becad…
08-24 14:00:43	will bitcoin reach 84k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x276635…
08-22 00:00:37	will solana reach 100 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xa94a67…
08-20 18:01:22	will xrp reach 1pt5 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x57fb6e…
08-20 13:00:42	will xrp reach 1pt3 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x433f16…
08-20 11:00:42	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xcfdbe7…
08-19 22:00:33	will ethereum reach 2600 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xbd0017…
08-19 17:00:39	will bitcoin reach 72k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7abc06…
08-19 16:00:39	will ethereum reach 2300 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9f4880…
08-18 22:00:49	will ethereum reach 2000 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x22c1b0…
08-18 16:00:42	will bitcoin reach 68k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2bc009…
08-13 10:00:43	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2c530c…
08-12 18:00:43	will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3e4659…
08-12 17:00:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x177c8d…
08-12 16:00:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x154985…
08-11 20:01:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0f1a6d…
08-11 20:01:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x5bf694…
08-11 00:01:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8281d3…
08-10 19:00:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9f46ae…
08-09 15:00:40	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2348e8…
08-08 12:00:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa866ec…
08-07 17:01:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x52e6bb…
08-07 11:00:45	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5421f7…
08-05 18:00:38	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe971cc…
08-05 13:00:39	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc59a8f…
08-04 07:00:35	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xc68a95…
08-03 23:00:32	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8ea414…
08-03 17:00:39	will bitcoin reach 68k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6447fd…
08-02 06:00:41	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x926c97…
07-31 18:01:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd35fe8…
07-31 16:33:35	will msft reach 465 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x08f686…
07-31 16:00:42	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbe9216…
07-31 10:00:50	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x6297d4…
07-31 02:00:38	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xb2f570…
07-31 01:00:36	will msft reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc32caa…
07-30 19:00:38	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf83d26…
07-30 12:00:33	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xdca23b…
07-29 21:00:39	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf3b5bc…
07-29 16:00:45	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe6881e…
07-28 23:00:31	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2ab776…
07-28 13:00:35	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcdd9bc…
07-28 00:00:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x59d99a…
07-27 18:00:40	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa719b8…
07-25 04:00:46	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xfbc506…
07-25 00:00:40	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc88817…
07-23 19:00:42	will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x321e8e…
07-23 04:00:42	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x4dc5d6…
07-22 00:00:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x9c872f…
07-21 14:00:34	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2430cc…
07-20 12:00:48	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf790c9…
07-18 20:00:37	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xaf6aa2…
07-18 00:00:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x86d6c6…
07-17 19:00:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfc0339…
07-16 04:02:11	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa52a80…
07-15 10:00:46	will ethereum reach 2000 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb80589…
07-14 17:00:44	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x04519f…
07-14 14:00:43	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x050729…
07-14 01:01:19	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x169e3f…
07-12 00:00:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9b6c93…
07-11 23:00:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x71be41…
07-11 18:00:41	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb4fbac…
07-11 09:00:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2eae7f…
07-11 08:00:55	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xca5b52…
07-11 00:00:40	Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x84385e…
05-25 22:23:48	Will Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xdfafde…
05-25 22:23:44	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xed8c19…
05-25 22:13:47	Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2f533d…
05-25 22:06:49	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x86fb1c…
05-25 22:06:46	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x20ff2c…
05-25 22:06:44	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xc254cc…
05-25 20:52:51	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc6292f…
05-25 20:52:46	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x372c82…
05-25 18:12:44	Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xee6cda…
05-25 17:26:44	Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-05-25?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x84fbc6…
05-25 17:12:46	Will FC Rapid 1923 vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb295f3…
05-25 17:02:45	Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd7e212…
05-25 14:37:46	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x804386…
05-25 14:37:44	Will Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xad0a7c…
05-25 14:13:44	Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-25?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x792bb3…
05-25 13:52:46	Will Notts County FC win on 2026-05-25?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x25d89d…
05-25 13:22:47	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x68d5b0…