Monthly-Fellow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.9%

Resolved

Trades

308

lifetime

Volume

$543

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-08 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 15% $-8

Other

19% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 mad	4	$37	88	44	+44	open	—	04-04 19:44
xrp updown 5m 1775354700	1	$23	29	0	+29	open	—	04-05 02:09
xrp updown 5m 1775352300	3	$21	29	0	+29	open	—	04-05 01:29
highest temperature in chicago on april 3 2026 58forhigher	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-03 06:56
btc updown 5m 1775415600	3	$15	14	8	+7	open	—	04-05 19:04
highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 21c	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-03 06:56
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 1	2	$12	12	11	+1	open	—	04-02 02:38
xrp updown 5m 1775414700	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 18:49
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 draw	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 07:12
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 1am et	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-04 05:32
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 12am et	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-04 04:45
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	2	$7	9	17	-8	open	—	04-02 14:08
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 9am et	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 14:11
btc updown 15m 1775847600	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 19:11
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 1pm et	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 17:51
ethereum up or down april 10 2026 1pm et	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 17:51
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 1pm et	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-04 17:28
btc updown 4h 1775865600	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-11 03:03
sol updown 15m 1775799000	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 05:43
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-02 02:38
sol updown 5m 1775826300	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 13:08
ethereum above 2200 on april 9	4	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 05:57
xrp updown 5m 1775355600	2	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	04-05 02:21
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-02 12:12
btc updown 5m 1775165700	4	$4	5	4	+0	open	—	04-02 21:38
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-11 05:57
ethereum above 2000 on april 5	2	$4	11	10	+1	open	—	04-02 02:38
btc updown 5m 1775336400	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 21:04
btc updown 15m 1775832300	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 14:56
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-11 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:25:18	btc updown 15m 1780931700	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x5493ec…
06-08 15:17:12	btc updown 15m 1780931700	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf6dae4…
06-08 15:13:46	btc updown 5m 1780931400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6910f9…
06-08 15:13:33	xrp up or down june 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2ac3ea…
06-08 15:13:30	solana up or down june 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa0b375…
06-08 15:08:25	bnb updown 5m 1780931100	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5c9372…
06-08 15:07:42	doge updown 5m 1780931100	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x599200…
06-08 15:07:31	sol updown 5m 1780931100	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa7fe02…
06-08 15:02:58	doge updown 5m 1780930800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x72082f…
06-08 14:54:25	eth updown 5m 1780930200	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7d666b…
06-08 14:54:01	btc updown 5m 1780930200	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xab2e1c…
06-07 21:23:52	bnb updown 5m 1780869000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c6dac…
06-07 21:16:52	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x628ec6…
06-03 20:07:12	doge updown 15m 1780516800	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x077568…
06-01 19:06:54	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x192e93…
06-01 18:36:15	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1ec7b2…
06-01 18:12:27	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe626bd…
06-01 04:32:48	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x797a6a…
06-01 04:17:07	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x13e12d…
06-01 04:12:41	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6ed544…
06-01 04:12:18	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x650a55…
05-30 23:27:51	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xb5c4ba…
05-30 23:27:09	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x065a89…
05-30 23:20:49	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbd174b…
05-30 17:48:44	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xabbbac…
05-30 17:42:07	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6ee7e1…
05-30 05:51:40	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe98c21…
05-30 05:47:54	doge updown 15m 1780119900	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcf1197…
05-30 05:22:48	bnb updown 15m 1780118100	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf56de4…
05-30 05:11:09	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7fd8e9…
05-30 05:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5c15c3…
05-30 05:07:15	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x224bf6…
05-30 04:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa74a02…
05-30 00:42:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x477a2d…
05-30 00:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xec2346…
05-29 19:18:57	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaf8b83…
05-29 19:07:03	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x04e27c…
05-07 03:41:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x633dc1…
05-07 03:36:51	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x412a3a…
05-07 03:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x367f7d…
05-07 03:34:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd621b7…
05-07 03:33:49	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xb46f21…
05-07 03:32:59	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x14eb4a…
05-07 03:29:55	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xd385d2…
05-07 03:29:30	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4d8268…
05-05 05:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0dcf96…
05-05 05:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x316b32…
05-04 23:16:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xe5ed3b…
05-04 23:16:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xc49303…
05-04 23:16:48	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe16d56…
05-04 23:08:38	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x86cfd2…
05-04 23:08:30	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x340cc0…
05-04 23:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x15a91b…
05-04 23:02:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3374ec…
05-04 23:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x4913a0…
05-04 23:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcc7d63…
05-04 22:39:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x69f028…
05-04 22:28:30	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1e4172…
05-04 21:36:40	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xabfeb7…
05-04 21:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9e3fcb…
05-04 21:32:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x61f4ca…
05-04 21:11:06	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x08b158…
05-04 20:49:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x354735…
05-04 17:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa518ab…
05-04 17:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0b1bf8…
05-04 03:19:26	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbc7102…
05-04 03:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x587cff…
05-04 03:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd6cb56…
05-04 03:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa581d5…
05-04 03:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x111274…
05-04 02:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x39e143…
05-04 02:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e66f2…
05-04 02:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x026dfb…
05-04 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf51160…
05-03 19:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xff17f1…
05-03 19:56:04	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x39beda…
05-03 19:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1928be…
05-03 19:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0add79…
05-03 19:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe21299…
05-03 19:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x84ad2c…
05-02 23:45:38	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf59b59…
05-02 15:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x46e408…
05-02 15:09:20	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x06a917…
05-02 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x38182c…
05-02 15:01:52	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x854721…
05-02 14:55:08	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x143c8f…
05-02 14:54:46	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb714b0…
05-02 14:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x434ccd…
05-02 14:26:00	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe0a995…
05-02 14:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb1abfc…
05-02 14:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1b2f23…
05-02 14:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3a1eb5…
05-02 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdec58f…
05-02 14:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x076edf…
05-02 14:07:10	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x40220f…
05-02 14:06:56	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2a7ddd…
05-02 14:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7b254f…
05-02 14:06:38	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x40b991…
05-02 14:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xce9abc…
05-02 14:04:26	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf46819…