Each-Topsail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

2,547

Trades

3,382

lifetime

Volume

$117.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-30 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$222

Politics

0% 50% -$159

Other

0% 56% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+16	$10	72¢	$11	+$1	10-11 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	1	$241	248	+248	Down	-$241	10-14 13:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	1	$241	241	+241	Up	+$0	10-14 12:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:15 UTC	1	$241	242	+242	Down	+$1	10-14 08:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC	1	$240	242	+242	Up	+$2	10-13 09:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$240	240	+240	Up	+$0	10-13 04:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$234	289	+289	Down	+$55	10-02 15:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$234	260	+260	Down	+$26	10-13 00:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	1	$233	252	+252	Down	+$19	09-29 15:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	1	$233	237	+237	Up	+$4	09-30 14:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$233	243	+243	Up	+$9	10-07 16:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$233	262	+262	Down	+$28	10-07 14:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$233	282	+282	Down	+$48	10-02 14:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 15:30 UTC	1	$233	278	+278	Down	+$45	10-05 15:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$233	234	+234	Down	+$1	10-01 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$233	239	+239	Up	+$6	10-08 16:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 02:45 UTC	1	$233	251	+251	Up	+$17	09-30 02:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	1	$233	240	+240	Up	+$6	09-30 12:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$233	240	+240	Down	+$7	10-01 14:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 13:30 UTC	1	$233	237	+237	Up	+$4	09-28 13:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 11:30 UTC	1	$233	238	+238	Up	+$4	09-29 11:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$233	241	+241	Up	+$8	10-11 16:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$233	237	+237	Down	+$3	10-01 14:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$233	236	+236	Up	+$2	10-02 18:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 05:30 UTC	1	$233	238	+238	Up	-$233	09-28 05:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$233	236	+236	Down	+$2	10-12 12:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	1	$233	236	+236	Down	+$2	09-30 14:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$233	236	+236	Down	+$3	10-08 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$233	235	+235	Up	+$2	10-02 09:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$233	234	+234	Down	+$1	10-07 15:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 13:00 UTC	1	$233	234	+234	Down	+$0	09-28 13:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9fde28…
10-30 15:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdf3542…
10-30 14:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xaece53…
10-30 08:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b89ef…
10-30 03:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x169079…
10-30 03:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9db57b…
10-30 03:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8b0dea…
10-30 01:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9767ea…
10-30 01:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	173	82¢	$141	0x502233…
10-30 00:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	146	97¢	$141	0x87b026…
10-30 00:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	164	86¢	$141	0x80e65e…
10-29 22:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	143	90¢	$129	0xd935b8…
10-29 21:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	164	86¢	$141	0x2257ed…
10-29 21:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	215	66¢	$141	0xc2a772…
10-29 15:12:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x4f805e…
10-29 13:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x02d56c…
10-29 10:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0xda4b45…
10-29 02:42:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0x4c13c2…
10-29 02:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0xe61226…
10-28 21:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	217	65¢	$141	0xf80a03…
10-27 14:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xac625d…
10-27 13:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	146	97¢	$141	0xbf9e4f…
10-26 15:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xb13670…
10-26 15:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x77420e…
10-26 13:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0xe1f500…
10-26 03:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xab6a96…
10-26 03:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x374b02…
10-26 01:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x83ea0c…
10-26 00:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	160	88¢	$141	0x3005c1…
10-24 00:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0xf142d9…
10-23 15:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0x751851…
10-23 03:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xe0357a…
10-23 00:12:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x018c23…
10-22 18:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x089be8…
10-22 17:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x328058…
10-22 16:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x49aca4…
10-22 15:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0xc03866…
10-22 13:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xb43e8f…
10-22 06:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x75b1e4…
10-22 01:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0xa2d270…
10-21 19:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xd94174…
10-21 17:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xef92dc…
10-21 16:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	152	93¢	$141	0x4a342c…
10-21 14:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0x603ab6…
10-21 13:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xfe3d52…
10-21 11:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x45f286…
10-21 09:12:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x7fe8ea…
10-21 08:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xd7d143…
10-20 16:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xbb7dda…
10-20 16:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x3158ec…
10-20 13:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	151	93¢	$141	0xfeb366…
10-20 09:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x173849…
10-20 03:12:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x24cf2c…
10-20 00:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x974176…
10-19 18:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xbe0bdb…
10-19 18:12:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x09046e…
10-19 11:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x4b774f…
10-18 19:27:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x0352f0…
10-16 17:27:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xb5f546…
10-16 15:12:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0xe98fb6…
10-16 14:27:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xe81625…
10-16 13:42:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	149	95¢	$141	0x847264…
10-16 12:12:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x55069c…
10-16 06:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xf05bf3…
10-15 13:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x71d17c…
10-15 13:42:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x95291f…
10-15 12:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0x96e3c6…
10-15 12:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	149	95¢	$141	0x2d7ba8…
10-15 02:57:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	148	96¢	$141	0xc0d678…
10-14 22:57:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xa0dfd3…
10-14 21:27:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xc8c03c…
10-14 21:12:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	148	96¢	$141	0x89a369…
10-14 20:42:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x669f46…
10-14 19:42:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0x1bfa49…
10-14 19:12:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0xb46cfb…
10-14 15:12:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x6d6e77…
10-14 14:42:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xd720d0…
10-14 13:12:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	248	97¢	$241	0xd2b55f…
10-14 12:12:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x24da7f…
10-14 08:27:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x79a45a…
10-13 09:42:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	242	99¢	$240	0x46cb87…
10-13 04:42:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xb0bc90…
10-13 00:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	260	90¢	$234	0x885d5a…
10-12 12:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	236	99¢	$233	0xc6bea8…
10-11 16:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	241	97¢	$233	0x9b293f…
10-11 16:38:25	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe3d07c…
10-09 16:33:34	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8ed1ac…
10-09 02:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0x4d287c…
10-08 17:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xc26bd1…
10-08 16:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	239	98¢	$233	0x89392d…
10-08 14:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	236	99¢	$233	0xdb21d0…
10-08 09:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xe6b212…
10-07 16:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	243	96¢	$233	0x43f8dc…
10-07 15:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xf77c89…
10-07 14:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	262	89¢	$233	0x82e162…
10-07 13:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xdd85bb…
10-05 15:42:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	278	84¢	$233	0x562668…
10-02 18:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	236	99¢	$233	0x3e2969…
10-02 15:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	289	81¢	$234	0x507fd1…
10-02 14:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0x85e5dc…