Official-Anthropology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-21 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

49% 79% $-34

Crypto

42% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 1pt96	3	$111	60	60	+0	open	—	06-10 22:06
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$95	165	0	+165	open	—	06-09 14:26
will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	2	$76	70	70	+0	open	—	06-10 11:04
will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	07-01 11:24
will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	1	$60	70	0	+70	open	—	07-02 13:49
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	4	$51	110	110	+0	open	—	05-19 09:20
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	1	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	06-30 11:03
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	2	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	06-18 09:07
Hamburg European Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoe	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-17 14:26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	2	$41	75	75	+0	open	—	05-22 17:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	05-14 19:38
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$33	45	0	+45	No	$-33	05-11 23:48
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	2	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	05-22 17:39
eth updown 15m 1783174500	2	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	07-04 14:22
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 06:44
eth updown 15m 1781078400	3	$29	60	60	+0	open	—	06-10 08:08
eth updown 15m 1783080000	2	$25	33	33	+0	open	—	07-03 12:07
eth updown 15m 1782909000	2	$24	37	37	+0	open	—	07-01 12:31
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	1	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	07-21 07:30
eth updown 15m 1783078200	2	$22	37	37	+0	open	—	07-03 11:34
eth updown 15m 1782908100	2	$22	36	36	+0	open	—	07-01 12:18
eth updown 15m 1781011800	6	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 13:34
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-13 21:05
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-13 21:06
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$13	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 10:00
will googl reach 360 by july 20 2026	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	07-21 19:54
eth updown 15m 1781076600	2	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	06-10 07:34
eth updown 15m 1783173600	2	$10	45	45	+0	open	—	07-04 14:11
eth updown 15m 1783079100	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	07-03 11:48
eth updown 15m 1783027800	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	07-02 21:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 19:54:21	will googl reach 360 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x2e60f1…
07-21 10:43:54	will nvda dip to 192 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x77ea1b…
07-21 10:42:27	will nvda dip to 196 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdd2f16…
07-21 07:30:48	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x5edd29…
07-04 14:22:25	eth updown 15m 1783174500	Down	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0xdd4131…
07-04 14:16:13	eth updown 15m 1783174500	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x65b754…
07-04 14:11:25	eth updown 15m 1783173600	Down	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x098c31…
07-04 14:01:29	eth updown 15m 1783173600	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xfc8849…
07-03 12:07:02	eth updown 15m 1783080000	Down	SELL	33	44¢	$15	0xb3f6d1…
07-03 12:02:05	eth updown 15m 1783080000	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdcfef1…
07-03 11:48:08	eth updown 15m 1783079100	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x63c4f0…
07-03 11:34:11	eth updown 15m 1783078200	Down	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0x6b85a3…
07-03 11:33:13	eth updown 15m 1783078200	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdbb9ca…
07-02 21:32:08	eth updown 15m 1783027800	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x366c29…
07-02 13:49:11	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	Yes	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0xac4361…
07-01 12:31:32	eth updown 15m 1782909000	Up	SELL	37	39¢	$14	0x85b0d2…
07-01 12:30:50	eth updown 15m 1782909000	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbac497…
07-01 12:18:10	eth updown 15m 1782908100	Down	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0x0c9a91…
07-01 12:16:10	eth updown 15m 1782908100	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x14cbee…
07-01 11:24:29	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xeb5728…
06-30 11:03:26	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0x332923…
06-18 09:07:56	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x81ae39…
06-13 10:28:54	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xc5edc6…
06-10 22:06:34	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 1pt96	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf83528…
06-10 13:52:51	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 1pt96	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x712ee6…
06-10 11:04:18	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	SELL	70	58¢	$41	0x6b3420…
06-10 08:08:27	eth updown 15m 1781078400	Up	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0x756b2f…
06-10 08:01:43	eth updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0x5e6f8a…
06-10 08:01:43	eth updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4b1fb0…
06-10 07:34:25	eth updown 15m 1781076600	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x733a76…
06-10 07:34:22	eth updown 15m 1781076600	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xf1ed39…
06-09 14:26:10	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x2a7102…
06-09 13:34:49	eth updown 15m 1781011800	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x53ba51…
06-09 13:34:12	eth updown 15m 1781011800	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x275416…
06-09 13:34:10	eth updown 15m 1781011800	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x367fac…
06-09 13:31:57	eth updown 15m 1781011800	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xcf6ff3…
06-09 13:31:43	eth updown 15m 1781011800	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaf30bc…
06-09 13:31:43	eth updown 15m 1781011800	Down	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x9b10e6…
06-09 13:01:07	eth updown 15m 1781010000	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x9503df…
06-09 13:00:34	eth updown 15m 1781010000	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x0884cb…
06-09 13:00:28	eth updown 15m 1781010000	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x2c257a…
06-09 12:46:37	eth updown 15m 1781009100	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe9569e…
06-09 12:45:58	eth updown 15m 1781009100	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x0b02a1…
06-09 12:45:57	eth updown 15m 1781009100	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xf48a52…
06-07 17:14:52	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x67b7e4…
06-06 15:06:18	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x9874dc…
05-22 17:39:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xc663f7…
05-22 17:38:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x7420ae…
05-20 14:09:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdd33dd…
05-19 13:45:17	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x440ad8…
05-19 10:00:12	Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2d8970…
05-19 09:43:28	Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4ddf11…
05-19 09:20:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0xe61a79…
05-18 13:47:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	75	50¢	$38	0x13655f…
05-18 03:49:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xee1a3c…
05-17 14:26:42	Hamburg European Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x862967…
05-17 13:28:06	Hamburg European Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x2ff9c6…
05-15 06:44:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0x10a54e…
05-14 19:38:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xa073df…
05-14 19:38:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x8c4728…
05-14 19:38:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x8e656d…
05-13 21:11:49	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1f754f…
05-13 21:06:43	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x9dc1cc…
05-13 21:06:34	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x433954…
05-13 21:05:55	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xb28591…
05-13 21:04:51	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x27f32e…
05-13 11:42:25	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x0d45c1…
05-11 23:48:30	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xaec879…
05-11 20:33:38	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x6872ad…
05-11 12:45:20	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0db276…
05-11 10:46:34	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x972087…
05-11 08:16:39	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xda0794…
05-11 08:16:32	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x076368…
05-08 21:10:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x74fcc2…
05-08 11:31:00	Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7040fe…
05-08 11:30:38	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaa9031…
05-08 07:34:28	Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x52e756…
05-08 07:33:02	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf4d1a7…
05-07 20:05:24	Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbcda2a…
05-07 20:02:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcdedfa…
05-07 19:18:13	Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x632a87…
05-07 19:14:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6dd841…
05-07 11:30:26	Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf0e575…
05-07 05:38:32	Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1c3ae8…
05-07 05:38:11	Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9bcd1e…
05-07 05:37:54	Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd19031…
05-06 20:22:20	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2ee0e7…
05-06 20:22:15	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x01eaae…
05-06 19:09:49	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x32be18…
05-06 19:02:25	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd01849…
05-06 19:01:34	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x9feba2…
05-06 10:51:20	Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc19f88…
05-06 10:45:44	Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8b8743…
05-06 10:42:52	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7eeaaa…
05-06 07:49:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5e470d…
05-06 07:31:30	Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x87412f…
05-06 06:46:36	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6294ab…
05-06 06:45:08	Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x49ad67…
05-05 20:31:40	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x60077c…
05-05 20:31:36	Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x13c8a0…