Short-Term-Phenotype — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$5.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-23 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

66% 83% +$25

Politics

15% 50% -$47

Sports

10% 40% -$120

Tech

7% 75% +$28

Crypto

2% 20% -$28

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 22?	4	$335	186	186	+0	Yes	+$21	05-22 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	3	$287	157	157	+0	Yes	+$27	05-22 08:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$266	151	151	+0	Yes	+$26	05-16 13:11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	3	$220	125	125	+0	Yes	+$21	05-06 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?	2	$212	124	124	+0	Yes	+$36	05-22 23:01
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$206	113	113	+0	Yes	+$6	05-19 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?	2	$200	213	213	+0	Yes	-$200	05-23 11:16
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	2	$200	118	118	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 22?	2	$189	99	99	+0	Yes	+$9	05-22 23:01
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$186	120	120	+0	Yes	-$14	05-19 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	3	$180	96	96	+0	Yes	+$10	05-06 14:31
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	2	$180	130	130	+0	No	-$20	05-17 09:56
nba ind sas 2026 03 21 total 233pt5	4	$178	300	42	+258	Over	+$122	03-21 13:48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?	2	$169	91	91	+0	No	+$9	05-22 14:30
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	6	$157	125	84	+42	No	+$12	03-20 13:13
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	2	$149	80	80	+0	No	+$9	05-03 13:22
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	2	$145	76	76	+0	Yes	+$5	04-30 07:22
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$143	73	73	+0	Yes	+$3	04-30 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 16?	1	$140	148	0	+148	Yes	+$8	05-16 13:21
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$136	71	71	+0	Yes	+$5	04-30 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	2	$108	58	58	+0	Yes	+$8	05-17 09:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$104	63	63	+0	Yes	+$21	04-14 13:47
nhl ott det 2026 03 24	3	$102	188	0	+188	Senators	-$102	03-24 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	2	$86	46	46	+0	Yes	+$6	05-21 21:48
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$85	124	124	+0	No	+$25	05-06 01:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$82	57	57	+0	Yes	+$2	05-21 23:36
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$74	41	41	+0	Yes	+$8	05-05 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	2	$72	51	51	+0	Yes	-$8	05-05 06:00
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$63	34	34	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	2	$54	29	29	+0	Yes	+$4	05-07 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 11:16:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x874295…
05-23 11:16:50	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xf483f4…
05-23 11:16:47	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x9b74d9…
05-23 11:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?	No	SELL	213	0¢	$0	0x5d8f3a…
05-23 03:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x95404e…
05-22 23:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x623473…
05-22 23:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xe4c8ff…
05-22 23:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xb8f59f…
05-22 14:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	90¢	$90	0x57cbcc…
05-22 14:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x043986…
05-22 13:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	91	88¢	$80	0x81b11f…
05-22 13:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x5a3985…
05-22 11:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	124	71¢	$88	0x8fbda2…
05-22 11:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	97	92¢	$89	0xc9cf45…
05-22 10:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x375e2a…
05-22 10:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	178	84¢	$150	0x0e9666…
05-22 08:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	Yes	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0x8c5469…
05-21 23:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x86e715…
05-21 23:36:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	75¢	$42	0x0fe328…
05-21 21:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	141	3¢	$5	0x8e90b8…
05-21 21:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	Yes	BUY	111	81¢	$90	0x1207fc…
05-21 21:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x89b81d…
05-21 14:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x5b466c…
05-19 09:48:13	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	70¢	$25	0x979670…
05-19 09:47:42	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	72¢	$61	0x46043c…
05-19 09:09:50	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x1e67c9…
05-19 09:09:31	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	113	94¢	$106	0x97d021…
05-19 04:23:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	71¢	$40	0xbd421e…
05-18 03:55:36	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x85c8b3…
05-17 09:56:42	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	SELL	130	62¢	$80	0xb69cfe…
05-17 09:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xe8b20a…
05-17 08:49:41	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x72a5ae…
05-17 04:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x9f3162…
05-16 13:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	148	94¢	$140	0x2c4ff1…
05-16 13:11:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0x517de5…
05-08 03:06:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x8d46ca…
05-08 03:06:06	Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	118	85¢	$100	0x63b1d6…
05-07 13:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x0343c6…
05-07 04:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x774abc…
05-07 02:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xc5c31f…
05-07 02:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc85707…
05-07 02:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x7c9bd6…
05-07 02:11:45	Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x8267a1…
05-06 15:29:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0x408446…
05-06 14:32:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	82¢	$90	0xfb74a7…
05-06 14:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x48dbb4…
05-06 12:47:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0x4037d1…
05-06 12:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x271446…
05-06 11:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0xc7ff72…
05-06 03:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x68d004…
05-06 03:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	19	45¢	$8	0x5fc794…
05-06 03:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8e1e30…
05-06 01:51:02	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	124	44¢	$55	0x439910…
05-05 13:37:20	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x821e6c…
05-05 11:40:16	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x5fac17…
05-05 11:36:08	Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xae5b38…
05-05 08:13:12	Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0xa1a5f2…
05-05 06:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	51	63¢	$32	0x0dfaa5…
05-05 02:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x2bccf7…
05-04 09:37:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc90eac…
05-04 09:37:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	124	24¢	$30	0xd2dca5…
05-03 13:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xff1676…
05-03 13:22:32	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x86ead9…
05-03 08:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xeff3c8…
05-02 15:37:54	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xb375aa…
05-01 14:01:56	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	97¢	$26	0xafdda6…
05-01 14:01:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x2676a6…
05-01 11:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x34e62b…
05-01 04:21:54	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x369c35…
04-30 16:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x24b0d7…
04-30 16:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7e4cbb…
04-30 16:25:22	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x363378…
04-30 15:00:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2f3c1a…
04-30 14:59:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x606bde…
04-30 14:59:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x2c8b35…
04-30 07:28:16	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x5a9889…
04-30 07:22:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x1ad086…
04-30 03:32:50	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0xc1b823…
04-30 03:19:34	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x60bc0e…
04-26 12:00:04	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	92¢	$66	0xc78c4d…
04-26 11:59:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x065979…
04-14 14:52:09	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x87f223…
04-14 14:44:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0x1e1167…
04-14 13:48:33	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x80c8d7…
04-14 13:47:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0xe629c9…
04-08 14:14:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	63	66¢	$42	0xa4ae8f…
03-27 13:25:59	nba uta den 2026 03 27 spread home 18pt5	Nuggets	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0x9981ad…
03-25 04:30:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0x0bdbbc…
03-24 16:19:05	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	97	54¢	$52	0x89afc0…
03-24 15:58:41	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x861e41…
03-24 15:57:15	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x4aca35…
03-24 14:14:51	nba orl cle 2026 03 24 total 229pt5	Under	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x99e614…
03-24 14:10:05	nba den phx 2026 03 24 spread away 5pt5	Nuggets	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x9c6ce0…
03-23 13:30:25	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x1a8e49…
03-22 13:00:17	nba min bos 2026 03 22	Celtics	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xce041b…
03-22 12:59:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x2e2b3f…
03-21 13:48:45	nba ind sas 2026 03 21 total 233pt5	Over	BUY	216	52¢	$113	0x739f70…
03-21 13:02:45	nba ind sas 2026 03 21 total 233pt5	Over	BUY	41	52¢	$21	0x96af65…
03-21 13:01:27	nba ind sas 2026 03 21 total 233pt5	Over	SELL	42	51¢	$21	0x4abe25…
03-21 13:00:41	nba ind sas 2026 03 21 total 233pt5	Over	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x0b5a66…