Curvy-Bird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$356

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$178

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-31 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

56% 96% +$358

Crypto

23% 100% +$2

Politics

22% 67% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$1.5K	1,498	+1,498	Yes	+$1	05-23 17:52
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	1	$678	679	+679	No	+$1	08-31 19:43
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in May?	1	$436	494	+494	No	+$58	05-25 18:11
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $260 in August?	1	$434	434	+434	No	+$0	08-31 19:46
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$431	898	+898	No	+$467	05-25 18:46
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	1	$324	352	+352	No	+$28	05-25 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	1	$300	300	+300	No	+$0	05-24 18:40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	1	$291	291	+291	No	+$0	05-24 18:40
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 24?	1	$267	267	+267	No	+$0	05-24 18:39
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	1	$230	298	+298	Yes	-$230	05-25 17:54
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $192 in August?	1	$219	219	+219	No	+$0	08-31 19:45
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $368 in August?	1	$219	219	+219	No	+$0	08-31 19:44
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in August?	1	$166	166	+166	No	+$0	08-31 19:45
will ethereum reach 2450 on may 24	1	$127	127	+127	No	+$0	05-24 18:39
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	1	$122	122	+122	No	+$0	08-31 19:43
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-24 18:40
Will BNB dip to $400 in September?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	09-23 05:26
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 24?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-24 18:38
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 24?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-24 18:40
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	08-28 02:28
Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 24?	1	$98	98	+98	No	+$0	05-24 18:38
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	1	$76	76	+76	No	+$0	10-31 12:46
will ethereum dip to 1800 on may 24	1	$69	69	+69	No	+$0	05-24 18:39
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	1	$66	95	+95	No	+$28	05-25 17:50
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28?	1	$63	63	+63	No	+$0	08-28 02:37
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	08-28 02:33
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$53	54	+54	No	+$1	08-28 06:38
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 24?	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	05-24 18:38
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$35	36	+36	No	+$1	08-28 02:42
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$33	34	+34	No	+$1	08-28 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 12:46:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x23d06e…
10-31 12:43:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9e5be0…
09-23 05:26:20	Will BNB dip to $400 in September?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7a8839…
08-31 19:46:10	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $260 in August?	No	BUY	434	100¢	$434	0x3950e4…
08-31 19:45:54	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in August?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x4f6e6f…
08-31 19:45:28	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $192 in August?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x5e558b…
08-31 19:44:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $368 in August?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x783a7d…
08-31 19:43:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x09275b…
08-31 19:43:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	No	BUY	679	100¢	$678	0x45d474…
08-28 06:38:45	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x1d5c2a…
08-28 02:43:15	will msft reach 547 50 by august 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d99f1…
08-28 02:42:49	will msft reach 547 50 by august 24 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1361c8…
08-28 02:42:16	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x05c355…
08-28 02:37:55	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x7270c3…
08-28 02:33:57	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xd319b1…
08-28 02:29:51	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x18b3d9…
08-28 02:28:43	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f4564…
08-28 02:28:01	Will Meta (META) finish week of August 24 above $610?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x90fb85…
08-28 02:26:28	will meta reach 630 by august 24 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9c669f…
08-28 02:26:10	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3f1222…
05-30 03:10:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x1a1177…
05-25 18:47:24	Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41f9e8…
05-25 18:46:09	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	898	48¢	$431	0x8ef95c…
05-25 18:11:35	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	No	BUY	352	92¢	$324	0x4d6cfd…
05-25 18:11:00	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in May?	No	BUY	494	88¢	$436	0x2e94eb…
05-25 17:54:04	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	298	77¢	$230	0xd97356…
05-25 17:50:37	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	70¢	$66	0xece173…
05-24 18:40:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x73d532…
05-24 18:40:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xef297c…
05-24 18:40:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x0bd73a…
05-24 18:40:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6d1d56…
05-24 18:39:33	will ethereum dip to 1800 on may 24	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xcb43c5…
05-24 18:39:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 24?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0x8e380f…
05-24 18:39:19	will ethereum reach 2450 on may 24	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xda9525…
05-24 18:38:49	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 24?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x2c5467…
05-24 18:38:40	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4febf0…
05-24 18:38:19	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 24?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe024ab…
05-23 17:52:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,498	100¢	$1,497	0x05e344…
05-23 17:50:30	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb9dcc8…