Flowery-Locality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

438

Trades

815

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

79% 82% -$22

Crypto

16% 78% +$1

Politics

3% 71% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 75% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$71	36	36	+0	No	$0	07-28 11:52
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	5	$71	36	36	+0	No	$0	07-30 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 21?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:49
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-30 19:21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on July 22?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-22 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 19?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-12 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 23?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 09:52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 20?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-20 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 26?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-26 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-26 09:39
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-21 20:09
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	10-12 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	09-11 15:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 24?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-23 16:13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 29?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-28 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 11?	4	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-10 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C or higher on July 30?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-30 09:53
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-30 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 27?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:23
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-28 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 29?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 02:44
solana above 90 on july 22 2026	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-22 02:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 04:47
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 11?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-10 20:03
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-25 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on July 23?	4	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-23 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 20?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-20 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9bae7c…
10-18 17:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 19?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x73f05d…
10-16 07:49:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4d5c62…
10-13 08:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0xf4c88f…
10-13 01:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x2e2eb9…
10-12 02:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x52ea9d…
10-12 02:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x808225…
10-12 02:22:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xdc9b54…
10-12 01:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x44663e…
10-11 23:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7444a7…
10-11 21:59:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x56db80…
10-10 09:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf1e6fb…
10-05 09:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on October 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9c1f3f…
10-02 01:05:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $92,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x43ad64…
10-01 23:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd5982d…
10-01 05:19:27	Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x23b9aa…
09-28 03:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x71797e…
09-27 18:50:35	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2f828…
09-23 19:23:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ff404…
09-22 23:32:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0241df…
09-22 22:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb642c6…
09-22 20:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x63e2bf…
09-22 14:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x737d1d…
09-21 22:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x904c39…
09-19 00:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x444aeb…
09-17 23:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5dc2bc…
09-17 12:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x166f8b…
09-13 04:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x8b236f…
09-11 15:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xca01a8…
09-11 15:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xfa3064…
09-11 01:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2a6f5a…
09-10 19:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe7fb74…
09-07 15:05:48	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdca758…
09-06 12:47:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x16921f…
09-06 08:09:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xae1a3e…
09-05 23:15:18	Will AfD win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf2a1ad…
09-05 08:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xa84942…
09-05 00:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3bca23…
09-04 19:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0a3801…
09-04 15:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x48727f…
09-04 12:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4389de…
09-03 09:59:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x923fa7…
09-03 01:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xff4eab…
09-03 01:10:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x7af177…
09-02 12:06:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb4ee5c…
09-02 06:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb9fe56…
09-01 09:48:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbdb515…
09-01 03:10:22	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xba80b2…
08-31 04:08:51	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x04c176…
08-31 01:40:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb700b5…
08-30 18:58:00	Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xca61f2…
08-30 16:02:22	Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xea6a5a…
08-30 03:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x817368…
08-29 21:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xac6dd7…
08-29 07:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3cc81…
08-28 16:24:28	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xde63a9…
08-28 03:56:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x48d7be…
08-27 14:47:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x35b6c3…
08-27 04:23:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2fad30…
08-27 00:27:48	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x65566b…
08-26 18:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x0f0698…
08-26 12:53:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0db908…
08-25 13:56:10	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x71422d…
08-25 10:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1d90b7…
08-25 05:22:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2fd05c…
08-25 01:26:54	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9f1abe…
08-24 15:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc5617…
08-24 07:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2dbce4…
08-24 03:57:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x045694…
08-23 18:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd947da…
08-14 09:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa874e9…
08-13 18:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dc3f4…
08-13 15:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4fbcaf…
08-13 11:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e70d4…
08-12 23:47:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdc3f16…
08-12 21:03:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x612678…
08-12 03:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8e50a7…
08-11 22:11:13	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x964a9b…
08-11 12:27:25	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x831310…
08-10 23:25:27	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 10	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x83c3e7…
08-10 19:08:13	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x52165d…
08-10 13:21:21	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xe56c36…
08-10 10:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc62925…
08-09 14:28:27	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x27197b…
08-09 10:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xd8c8da…
08-09 04:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe644f9…
08-09 02:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x168db4…
08-08 18:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe9c5a5…
08-08 04:31:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 8?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x853ed6…
08-08 01:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xef1f0c…
08-07 21:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d1680…
08-07 18:43:46	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 7	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5f32ad…
08-07 11:53:07	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdc3f35…
08-07 07:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x07ba59…
08-06 07:47:45	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xee1b5a…
08-06 01:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x82416a…
08-06 00:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb07df2…
08-05 19:28:44	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe30e65…
08-05 14:46:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4fb823…
08-05 10:20:14	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa9c704…