Weighty-Millstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

185

Trades

1,284

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-04 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 65% +$38

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	8	$142	155	155	+0	open	—	05-27 22:58
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$133	244	244	+0	open	—	05-15 03:35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$132	145	145	+0	open	—	05-15 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ET	4	$126	156	91	+65	open	—	05-28 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	9	$126	178	88	+90	open	—	05-27 14:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11AM ET	5	$126	150	87	+63	open	—	05-28 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10PM ET	3	$126	162	88	+74	open	—	05-28 02:57
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$124	163	163	+0	open	—	05-15 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	6	$122	148	148	+0	open	—	05-28 04:59
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$120	141	141	+0	open	—	05-15 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2PM ET	5	$119	155	67	+88	open	—	05-26 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	6	$116	153	62	+91	open	—	05-27 12:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	4	$107	170	85	+85	open	—	05-28 11:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$100	294	0	+294	open	—	01-09 12:22
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	01-09 12:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2PM ET	7	$78	124	33	+91	open	—	05-26 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	4	$77	78	63	+15	open	—	05-27 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	2	$75	88	88	+0	open	—	05-27 12:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3PM ET	2	$73	81	81	+0	open	—	05-27 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3PM ET	2	$73	85	85	+0	open	—	05-27 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET	2	$72	72	72	+0	open	—	05-26 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET	8	$70	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET	2	$70	67	81	-14	open	—	05-27 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6AM ET	2	$69	70	70	+0	open	—	05-28 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10AM ET	6	$69	74	74	+0	open	—	05-28 14:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5AM ET	2	$62	75	75	+0	open	—	05-27 09:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	5	$55	61	61	+0	open	—	05-25 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5AM ET	4	$51	65	0	+65	open	—	05-27 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	6	$51	87	0	+87	open	—	05-28 12:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10PM ET	1	$51	90	0	+90	open	—	05-28 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 15:11:07	solana up or down june 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xb50f58…
06-04 15:11:07	solana up or down june 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xaa4745…
06-04 15:10:03	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x7252ba…
06-04 14:13:03	solana up or down june 4 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	39	58¢	$23	0x440d8e…
06-04 13:10:03	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x54cd0e…
06-04 12:11:18	solana up or down june 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xa56731…
06-04 12:11:13	xrp up or down june 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa59ef9…
06-04 11:12:03	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x20ecc6…
06-04 11:10:03	solana up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xa45916…
06-04 10:12:03	solana up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xdb8cca…
06-04 08:11:22	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x61f5e1…
06-04 07:14:52	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x513a90…
06-04 07:11:33	solana up or down june 4 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x0450c4…
06-04 06:11:33	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xd3dc1b…
06-04 04:14:57	xrp up or down june 4 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5f4b2c…
06-04 04:13:48	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x94377c…
06-04 02:13:57	xrp up or down june 3 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x29a311…
06-04 02:10:52	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x11d428…
06-04 01:14:03	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xa240a5…
06-04 01:13:33	solana up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0xbdf0a4…
06-04 01:13:33	xrp up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6a8e6f…
06-03 22:14:28	solana up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xbd7e01…
06-03 22:10:03	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x725f05…
06-03 21:13:18	solana up or down june 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0x466f7d…
06-03 20:14:28	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x1f4ab9…
06-03 20:13:37	solana up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xf99fdc…
06-03 18:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x2aad98…
06-03 18:18:48	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xdff7d0…
06-03 17:25:03	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xf70d79…
06-03 17:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xe0b6a9…
06-03 17:10:03	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4ca2a0…
06-03 16:10:43	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xf2bb45…
06-03 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x48cf92…
06-03 16:10:18	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe38895…
06-03 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x58b73b…
06-03 15:10:03	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$19	0x244103…
06-03 13:24:22	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x8c1e32…
06-03 13:19:37	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa5fd12…
06-03 13:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x4d2ac1…
06-03 11:24:42	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x58b741…
06-03 10:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x101f4c…
06-03 10:14:37	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x665374…
06-03 09:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x1ded9e…
06-03 09:17:29	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x31bbab…
06-03 08:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xa12bc7…
06-03 07:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbad3ba…
06-03 06:17:57	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xacb824…
06-03 06:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x338986…
06-03 03:13:32	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x085e06…
06-03 03:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xc95404…
06-03 03:12:38	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8185bf…
06-03 02:25:07	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf5fa17…
06-03 01:12:09	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x172e3f…
06-02 23:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x2d4d27…
06-02 21:17:33	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x189ede…
06-02 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xaf3765…
06-02 20:15:03	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xda2077…
06-02 20:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	70	69¢	$49	0xf03238…
06-02 19:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xdbb093…
06-02 18:11:58	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe88e61…
06-02 18:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x9520f8…
06-02 16:10:33	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x8adc01…
06-02 15:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xbbbff2…
06-02 15:14:33	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x8d2309…
06-02 14:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xee355b…
06-02 14:14:47	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x8f5b56…
06-02 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x654537…
06-02 10:12:07	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x6bab65…
06-02 09:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x3eff15…
06-02 07:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xf31ed6…
06-02 06:11:23	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x380c23…
06-02 06:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x1e4755…
06-02 05:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x47a12f…
06-02 04:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xd285db…
06-02 03:10:03	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x296acf…
06-02 00:14:28	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc7d84a…
06-02 00:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xfcd4df…
06-01 20:12:33	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xe5d4a6…
06-01 18:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0x13932d…
06-01 16:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x20c0b7…
06-01 15:10:43	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x8883dd…
06-01 14:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x255831…
06-01 14:10:03	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x444bf1…
06-01 12:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xf53bf0…
06-01 10:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7c54f4…
06-01 09:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0xcf1b18…
06-01 08:12:33	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xe27ab8…
06-01 06:14:59	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x84f91d…
06-01 06:14:57	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x5828c8…
06-01 03:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x1750f3…
06-01 00:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x65beeb…
05-31 20:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0x3ee7bc…
05-31 15:16:42	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x600853…
05-31 08:19:04	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7a17c5…
05-31 07:17:52	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xe3b8b8…
05-31 04:13:38	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x953537…
05-31 02:14:38	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8f5a68…
05-30 17:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x7b13cb…
05-30 16:34:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x314fb1…
05-30 16:14:47	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa14de1…