Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$664

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 03-03 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

85% 29% -$7

Crypto

15% 25% -$23

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$218	220	220	+0	No	-$2	03-01 23:35
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	6	$74	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$6	03-01 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:40 UTC	5	$69	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	03-01 23:42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$68	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	03-01 23:56
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	8	$58	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$4	03-02 01:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$2	03-02 16:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$47	100	100	+0	No	-$3	03-02 15:18
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$44	35	35	+0	Yes	-$2	03-02 16:39
xrp up or down march 3 8am et	27	$13	690	90	+600	Down	-$9	03-03 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:10 UTC	2	$11	100	100	+0	Down	-$7	03-01 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:15 UTC	1	$8	20	0	+20	Up	-$8	03-01 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-03 13:56:07	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	162	0¢	$0	0x545be5…
03-03 13:56:03	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x634305…
03-03 13:55:41	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb82a64…
03-03 13:55:19	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	154	0¢	$0	0xfea215…
03-03 13:55:19	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x477c40…
03-03 13:55:07	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x68371f…
03-03 13:54:53	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x70c754…
03-03 13:54:25	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7cffa5…
03-03 13:53:59	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xeb75c6…
03-03 13:53:37	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x41a547…
03-03 13:53:15	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0875c7…
03-03 13:52:53	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5de5c1…
03-03 13:52:29	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9dcf1b…
03-03 13:52:09	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xad917f…
03-03 13:51:47	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb2d511…
03-03 13:51:25	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x71bdc0…
03-03 13:51:13	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x24e04c…
03-03 13:51:05	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2be0a0…
03-03 13:42:49	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0xef8362…
03-03 13:30:23	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x8d9d6f…
03-03 13:30:19	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xb472a5…
03-03 13:30:15	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc84ee7…
03-03 13:30:15	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x7f7f16…
03-03 13:30:13	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xdb8072…
03-03 13:30:13	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x42ae04…
03-03 13:30:11	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xad8698…
03-03 13:30:09	xrp up or down march 3 8am et	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe43cbd…
03-02 16:41:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x7edccc…
03-02 16:39:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	35	59¢	$21	0x6d929c…
03-02 15:44:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x6f6994…
03-02 15:18:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xd739ba…
03-02 13:58:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x8652f0…
03-02 13:57:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x9a65ea…
03-02 03:19:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xc36c2b…
03-02 01:10:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	SELL	1,000	3¢	$27	0x4d02c2…
03-02 01:08:07	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	424	3¢	$13	0x5555c0…
03-02 01:00:21	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x67a058…
03-02 00:59:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0ce2b7…
03-02 00:59:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x523776…
03-02 00:57:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xfbeb1d…
03-02 00:48:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x158f51…
03-02 00:46:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	457	3¢	$14	0x3d5068…
03-01 23:56:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xa0ce89…
03-01 23:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x42c475…
03-01 23:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x2d22ce…
03-01 23:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x9a437a…
03-01 23:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0x6db2b6…
03-01 23:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x1982a1…
03-01 23:35:31	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	45	75¢	$34	0xbe7a14…
03-01 23:35:13	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x287cef…
03-01 23:35:09	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x446d76…
03-01 23:33:01	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x366fce…
03-01 23:30:57	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x59e5f4…
03-01 23:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x3d3c2d…
03-01 23:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x2718b4…
03-01 23:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd6f195…
03-01 22:58:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x4a644d…
03-01 21:19:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	SELL	1,170	2¢	$23	0xd3c966…
03-01 21:19:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x77ee1d…
03-01 21:18:55	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xb2f842…
03-01 21:18:35	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x6a0cac…
03-01 21:17:33	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0xf871f3…
03-01 21:13:47	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$34	0xfbdf69…
03-01 21:02:51	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x054322…
03-01 21:01:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x0fca75…
03-01 21:01:55	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xf2793c…
03-01 21:01:55	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x24d82c…
03-01 20:15:21	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xc1a7f0…
03-01 20:06:21	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x8197b0…
03-01 19:44:57	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x72c321…
03-01 19:44:51	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x1945d4…
03-01 19:37:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x975c1c…
03-01 19:22:19	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x0455eb…