Bright-Continuity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

-$84

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

229

Trades

399

lifetime

Volume

$4.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$203

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% -$41

Sports

4% 0% -$110

Other

0% 33% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		-238	-$119	86¢	$-203	-$84	05-15 07:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down december 31 10pm et	6	$1.1K	572	572	+0	Down	+$10	01-01 04:18
ethereum up or down december 31 8pm et	12	$629	350	319	+30	Up	+$8	01-01 02:49
ethereum up or down january 1 2am et	9	$446	271	391	-120	Up	-$24	01-01 08:21
ethereum up or down december 31 11pm et	3	$191	108	108	+0	Down	+$25	01-01 06:14
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$119	0	238	-238	open	—	05-15 07:11
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$93	483	0	+483	No	-$93	06-30 01:06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$83	294	294	+0	Yes	-$17	06-30 01:05
ethereum up or down january 1 3am et	4	$78	53	53	+0	Up	+$23	01-01 09:00
bitcoin above 92k on january 12	2	$46	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	01-12 06:33
ethereum up or down january 1 1am et	3	$30	66	0	+66	Down	-$30	01-01 06:23
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$26	21	21	+0	No	+$6	02-01 02:48
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	111	$24	10,000	5,298	+4,702	Yes	+$4	01-06 09:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 09:15 UTC	2	$24	19	19	+0	Down	+$4	01-01 09:28
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 6am et	1	$23	46	0	+46	Down	-$23	03-17 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 09:30 UTC	2	$21	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	01-01 09:38
ethereum up or down march 14 11pm et	1	$20	41	0	+41	Down	-$20	03-15 02:45
ethereum up or down january 1 5am et	1	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$20	01-01 09:42
bitcoin above 98k on january 21	4	$20	10,000	10,000	+0	No	$0	01-21 04:29
bitcoin up or down january 7 7pm et	3	$18	24	12	+12	Up	+$6	01-07 15:58
ethereum up or down january 2 5am et	3	$15	20	10	+11	Up	+$6	01-02 09:55
ethereum up or down january 7 12am et	2	$15	29	0	+29	Down	+$5	01-07 01:32
ethereum up or down january 1 2pm et	2	$15	29	0	+29	Up	-$5	01-01 14:46
ethereum up or down january 5 5pm et	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	01-07 15:59
ethereum up or down january 1 4am et	2	$12	20	20	+0	Up	-$8	01-01 09:45
ethereum up or down january 6 5pm et	2	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$12	01-06 09:25
ethereum up or down january 6 5am et	2	$11	22	0	+22	Up	+$11	01-06 09:24
ethereum up or down january 1 12am et	2	$11	21	17	+4	Up	-$9	01-01 05:32
ethereum up or down january 2 9pm et	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	01-03 01:12
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$10	59	0	+59	No	-$10	02-15 02:45
ethereum up or down february 25 4am et	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	02-25 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 01:06:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	142	27¢	$38	0x915a2f…
06-30 01:05:56	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	294	11¢	$33	0x9ec794…
06-11 09:43:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xef3f8c…
06-11 09:43:06	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	93	16¢	$15	0x00115d…
06-11 09:42:24	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	248	16¢	$40	0x0bfdf6…
06-11 09:42:15	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0xc889f4…
06-10 02:43:34	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x424371…
06-05 09:54:55	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8b566f…
06-03 08:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa39079…
06-03 08:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x708a75…
05-28 03:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc2fb4b…
05-28 03:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x247fa1…
05-20 02:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x70b4d1…
05-20 02:04:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4024f3…
05-20 02:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x11130e…
05-15 07:12:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7cb41b…
05-15 07:12:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x639001…
05-15 07:11:40	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	238	50¢	$119	0x771e03…
05-14 01:59:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf111d4…
05-13 08:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb6ffae…
05-13 02:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x068b4f…
05-12 09:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2df18c…
05-12 02:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x17fd0d…
03-19 09:35:09	ethereum up or down march 19 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4753b6…
03-17 09:12:19	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	46	51¢	$23	0x287681…
03-15 02:45:09	ethereum up or down march 14 11pm et	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xad75a9…
03-04 09:36:29	ethereum up or down march 4 5am et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb6cfc8…
02-25 09:08:30	ethereum up or down february 25 4am et	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4b9713…
02-15 02:45:21	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x907424…
02-15 02:42:45	ethereum up or down february 14 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x813ea9…
02-15 02:42:31	ethereum up or down february 14 10pm et	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xc62e56…
02-01 02:50:18	ethereum up or down february 1 1am et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdd89f6…
02-01 02:50:06	ethereum up or down february 1 12am et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7d70f4…
02-01 02:49:58	ethereum up or down january 31 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5650a4…
02-01 02:49:52	ethereum up or down january 31 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x40851e…
02-01 02:48:58	Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	73¢	$16	0xccadb1…
01-24 03:04:02	ethereum up or down january 23 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9d410e…
01-21 04:29:08	bitcoin above 98k on january 21	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xacfaea…
01-21 01:45:32	bitcoin up or down january 20 9pm et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2399cb…
01-20 19:55:44	bitcoin above 98k on january 21	Yes	BUY	9,086	0¢	$9	0xf19a9b…
01-20 19:53:00	bitcoin above 98k on january 21	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x5bd154…
01-20 19:51:48	bitcoin above 98k on january 21	Yes	BUY	833	0¢	$1	0x3826fb…
01-20 09:37:04	Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd7ae5b…
01-20 09:35:08	bitcoin up or down january 20 5am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf89e7a…
01-20 09:31:56	bitcoin up or down january 20 4am et	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe1a840…
01-16 03:36:38	ethereum up or down january 16 3am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeaabbe…
01-16 03:36:32	ethereum up or down january 16 1am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdd9081…
01-16 03:36:28	ethereum up or down january 16 12am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xabc4db…
01-16 03:36:22	ethereum up or down january 15 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x59204d…
01-13 03:56:19	ethereum up or down january 12 11pm et	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb8a76d…
01-12 06:33:56	bitcoin up or down january 12 3am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8cff34…
01-12 06:33:48	bitcoin up or down january 12 2am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x91af1a…
01-12 06:33:14	bitcoin above 92k on january 12	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x4bb90f…
01-12 02:34:58	bitcoin above 92k on january 12	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x15c4b0…
01-12 02:32:10	bitcoin up or down january 11 10pm et	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7cb879…
01-11 13:11:46	bitcoin up or down january 11 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfe9625…
01-11 13:11:08	bitcoin up or down january 11 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb7e449…
01-11 13:10:44	bitcoin up or down january 11 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbcc3df…
01-11 13:10:18	bitcoin up or down january 11 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc40067…
01-11 13:09:52	bitcoin up or down january 11 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1922b7…
01-11 13:09:24	bitcoin up or down january 11 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb95d21…
01-11 13:08:54	bitcoin up or down january 11 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x007953…
01-11 13:08:20	bitcoin up or down january 11 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x226e80…
01-11 13:07:58	bitcoin up or down january 11 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x14b919…
01-11 13:07:34	bitcoin up or down january 11 11am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8b524b…
01-11 13:07:10	bitcoin up or down january 11 10am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7d06aa…
01-11 13:06:42	bitcoin up or down january 11 9am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8405f0…
01-11 13:06:16	bitcoin up or down january 11 8am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbe0d82…
01-11 13:04:54	bitcoin above 94k on january 11	Yes	SELL	798	0¢	$2	0xb35dad…
01-10 15:12:22	bitcoin above 94k on january 11	Yes	BUY	798	1¢	$6	0xf26801…
01-09 04:41:52	bitcoin above 98k on january 9	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe7bb8f…
01-09 03:59:44	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb4d436…
01-09 02:48:22	bitcoin above 80k on january 9	No	BUY	526	0¢	$1	0x0bf862…
01-09 02:47:14	bitcoin above 80k on january 9	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc2f2b6…
01-09 02:47:08	bitcoin above 80k on january 9	No	BUY	473	0¢	$0	0x1d94ae…
01-09 02:45:12	bitcoin above 98k on january 9	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x97f448…
01-09 02:44:26	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x27b33b…
01-09 02:42:40	bitcoin up or down january 9 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6087ca…
01-09 02:42:34	bitcoin up or down january 9 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5350f5…
01-09 02:42:28	bitcoin up or down january 9 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xadcd51…
01-09 02:42:24	bitcoin up or down january 9 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x25cab2…
01-09 02:42:18	bitcoin up or down january 9 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0ad5cc…
01-09 02:42:12	bitcoin up or down january 9 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdae98a…
01-09 02:42:08	bitcoin up or down january 9 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x37aa4f…
01-09 02:42:04	bitcoin up or down january 9 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf7b024…
01-09 02:41:56	bitcoin up or down january 9 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x467f3f…
01-09 02:41:48	bitcoin up or down january 9 11am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdb122b…
01-09 02:41:42	bitcoin up or down january 9 10am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x46be0b…
01-09 02:41:38	bitcoin up or down january 9 9am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbd662d…
01-09 02:41:30	bitcoin up or down january 9 8am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xad4093…
01-09 02:41:26	bitcoin up or down january 9 7am et	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x675acf…
01-09 02:41:20	bitcoin up or down january 9 6am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x91e3ac…
01-09 02:41:16	bitcoin up or down january 9 5am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x495e07…
01-09 02:41:10	bitcoin up or down january 9 4am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1afdba…
01-09 02:39:02	bitcoin up or down january 9 3am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9b457e…
01-09 02:38:58	bitcoin up or down january 9 2am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0f58e0…
01-09 02:38:52	bitcoin up or down january 9 1am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf392a6…
01-09 02:38:46	bitcoin up or down january 9 12am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x600967…
01-09 02:38:38	bitcoin up or down january 8 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdc5267…
01-09 02:38:32	bitcoin up or down january 8 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x299b43…