Windy-Anybody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$307

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

3,340

Trades

16,075

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-25 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

87% 45% +$378

Politics

7% 50% -$91

Sports

4% 67% +$4

Tech

1% 100% +$18

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
which cities face tornado risk on october 8 2026 tampa fl	2	$459	455	455	+0	Yes	+$449	10-09 03:15
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	5	$88	264	264	+0	No	-$86	09-21 19:11
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$85	52	52	+0	Yes	+$5	06-26 18:10
Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 4?	3	$38	35	35	+0	Yes	+$31	09-05 16:30
highest temperature in toronto on february 19 2026 1c	4	$35	35	35	+0	No	+$5	02-20 03:58
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	09-05 13:23
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$30	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	08-31 17:35
highest temperature in dallas on february 21 2026 60 61f	3	$23	39	0	+39	No	+$16	02-21 19:08
highest temperature in atlanta on february 22 2026 54 55f	2	$22	31	0	+31	No	+$9	02-22 05:11
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	3	$21	57	57	+0	No	-$17	09-21 19:27
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	5	$18	12	12	+0	No	+$4	10-22 20:57
highest temperature in toronto on february 21 2026 2c	3	$17	36	36	+0	Yes	-$11	02-21 21:38
highest temperature in dallas on february 28 2026 86 87f	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	02-28 23:10
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$15	24	0	+24	Yes	+$9	09-02 05:05
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$4	09-19 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?	3	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-21 11:23
highest temperature in seattle on february 21 2026 44 45f	2	$14	16	0	+16	No	+$2	02-22 04:49
highest temperature in toronto on february 23 2026 neg 1c	2	$14	16	16	+0	Yes	-$6	02-23 05:08
highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 20c	3	$11	19	8	+11	No	-$5	03-15 22:14
highest temperature in atlanta on february 22 2026 56 57f	2	$11	23	23	+0	No	-$9	02-22 06:01
highest temperature in wellington on march 13 2026 22corhigher	3	$10	10	6	+4	Yes	+$2	03-12 22:34
which cities face tornado risk on october 14 2026 dallas tx	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-14 18:53
highest temperature in toronto on february 23 2026 neg 2c	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	-$10	02-23 05:09
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 4?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 16:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 18:05
highest temperature in atlanta on february 21 2026 65forbelow	2	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	02-21 05:07
highest temperature in seattle on february 20 2026 38 39f	2	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-20 20:49
highest temperature in chicago on february 20 2026 44 45f	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	02-19 16:20
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	4	$7	15	15	+0	Yes	+$7	03-26 06:45
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	-$3	10-25 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:09:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x4aaed8…
10-25 02:25:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xad78ea…
10-25 02:25:36	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6b4fc8…
10-22 20:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x0310b8…
10-22 20:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x506f9a…
10-22 12:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe8fa9d…
10-22 07:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5c290f…
10-22 05:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x069400…
10-22 05:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3b87d8…
10-21 12:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcfbabf…
10-21 12:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xac20ea…
10-21 12:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe9ebfb…
10-21 11:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3eee44…
10-21 11:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdc021e…
10-21 11:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe44e32…
10-21 06:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x99dbf0…
10-21 04:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x46fac4…
10-20 17:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe0807c…
10-20 17:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x474738…
10-20 14:48:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3a4da0…
10-20 03:24:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x60dcb4…
10-15 19:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x721e1e…
10-14 18:53:36	which cities face tornado risk on october 14 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd7d28a…
10-14 06:07:22	where will it rain on october 13 2026 houston tx	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xa8071a…
10-14 05:56:47	where will it rain on october 13 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc6001c…
10-13 20:03:09	which cities face tornado risk on october 13 2026 wichita ks	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a3b9e…
10-13 09:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b371b…
10-10 16:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x953ad4…
10-10 01:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb66e01…
10-10 01:00:22	Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on October 9?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x6092cc…
10-09 23:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x62021c…
10-09 23:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6d0513…
10-09 03:15:02	which cities face tornado risk on october 8 2026 tampa fl	Yes	SELL	455	100¢	$454	0xdc4505…
10-08 12:52:41	which cities face tornado risk on october 8 2026 tampa fl	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x409dc2…
10-05 16:16:41	Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 4?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x85049c…
10-05 00:33:31	where will it rain on october 4 2026 new orleans la	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xb97dc1…
10-01 05:48:53	which cities face tornado risk on september 30 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xc110a7…
10-01 05:48:53	which cities face tornado risk on september 30 2026 fort worth tx	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9b2715…
09-30 16:33:41	which cities face tornado risk on september 30 2026 wichita ks	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0xf11b34…
09-30 16:03:53	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf83ee3…
09-30 12:22:41	which cities face tornado risk on september 30 2026 wichita ks	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x00ae77…
09-29 17:54:33	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xafd6ec…
09-21 19:27:18	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0xc68949…
09-21 19:11:43	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	264	0¢	$1	0xabb648…
09-20 10:18:31	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	90	24¢	$21	0xb2826e…
09-19 19:08:03	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	55	37¢	$21	0x3ec604…
09-19 19:05:45	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9409e3…
09-19 19:04:59	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$9	0xe47128…
09-19 19:03:42	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0xd55d2e…
09-16 15:20:57	where will it rain on september 16 2026 chicago il	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x45cc11…
09-09 18:00:00	Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 9?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb939c4…
09-09 07:39:57	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb4e3a5…
09-05 16:30:04	Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 4?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x104385…
09-05 13:23:54	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x2270e1…
09-05 05:58:21	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x3b56f6…
09-05 05:53:51	Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 4?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x74b876…
09-05 05:32:34	Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 4?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x781064…
09-04 09:01:48	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x86b5d9…
09-04 08:43:24	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x0db8c0…
09-02 05:05:15	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x9ec3ba…
09-01 19:17:24	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc2a60a…
09-01 13:02:52	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x342a4f…
08-31 17:35:54	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x704181…
08-31 17:08:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xa28ebd…
08-30 14:26:57	where will it rain on august 30 2026 chicago il	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28914d…
08-23 19:30:31	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x635124…
07-07 19:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xdbfb98…
07-07 19:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5705ff…
07-07 19:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x17a559…
07-07 19:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x123b6e…
07-07 19:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xbb5496…
07-07 19:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xae344a…
07-07 19:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x40c8c4…
07-07 19:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1053e4…
06-26 18:10:05	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0x2ca110…
06-18 19:55:41	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x051364…
06-01 18:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1b92ea…
06-01 18:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xef0968…
06-01 18:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xdfcb3f…
06-01 06:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd20aec…
06-01 03:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc462ed…
05-31 14:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3f2126…
05-31 14:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8a974d…
05-31 11:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe41399…
05-31 09:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x150212…
05-31 08:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xdc1c83…
05-31 04:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5553aa…
05-31 01:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf71d55…
05-31 01:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x607f2b…
05-31 00:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xc2f982…
05-31 00:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2a8d9e…
05-30 06:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9b1d9a…
05-30 05:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xa98ae9…
05-30 01:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x363cab…
05-30 00:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1978ac…
05-29 23:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9452f8…
05-29 22:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8ff1f7…
05-29 19:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf3ad17…
05-29 15:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4cbd3e…
05-29 14:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x602e67…